September 2019 - Warm End of September
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking TS Dorian
Also for all the eastward tug the GFS has shown the 12Z ensemble swings back out over the gulf, making the 12z operational run more of an outlier.
We've got more swings than a kindergarten playground here.
We've got more swings than a kindergarten playground here.
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking TS Dorian
Hurricane now.
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking TS Dorian
Could this make it to texas?
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking TS Dorian
Most likely not, but never say never when a system is so far out there. It’ll all depend on the placement and strength of the ridge.
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking TS Dorian
And right on cue, climatology wise the average date for the 2nd North Atlantic Hurricane of the season is August 28th.
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
Every run is getting more and more west. Starting to smell like Ike (hopefully not)
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
Ridge looks stronger on the 12Z Euro than the 00Z
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
I said all along this will be a south Florida storm and then it’s anyones guess after that. Ukmet and ICON have had a good handle on this so far. I could even see Dorian going through the Straits.
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
I could see this getting as close to lousiana