September 2019 - Warm End of September

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
davidiowx
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:04 pm Not liking the medium/longer range guidance AT ALL...sigh
Details please! :shock:
Kingwood36
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Rip76 wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:08 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:04 pm Not liking the medium/longer range guidance AT ALL...sigh
Not good?
David paul was just saying radar is showing moving south..models r saying its moving south then showed tonight and tomorrow and no rain?
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srainhoutx
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Let's look at next week later. Too much going on today with our current weather worries. It does look wet though.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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jasons2k
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Texashawk wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:03 pm Seems like activity is backbuilding on the north side. Does no good if one line moves out if another one takes its place!
Yep, now the sun is doing its thing. The NW areas are now popping with activity.
Tx2005
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:11 pm Let's look at next week later. Too much going on today with our current weather worries. It does look wet though.
Is there a chance that tropical wave you mentioned earlier today in the Caribbean could hit us?

:(
unome
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https://twitter.com/NWS/status/1174752786921078785
We are currently experience issues with our main radar website, http://radar.weather.gov . We are working to resolve the issue as quickly as possible.

To see radar data on our site in the meantime, visit https://go.usa.gov/xVyC8 , our Enhanced Data Display (EDD).
I already had them fav'd love this site: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?&zoom=7&s ... opacity=70
Ounce
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Heat of the day (95 in Austin) showers popping west of Austin to Sonora and moving south.
sau27
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More views of buffalo bayou from my office. This is behind the Omni hotel.
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Cpv17
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Wow guys, it’s beginning to flood here at my job in Rosenberg. I was almost 100% sure that I wouldn’t see this here from Imelda, but once again it just goes to show you can’t predict Mother Nature. It’s not quite as bad yet as the May 7th flood, but it’s getting there.
redneckweather
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:04 pm Not liking the medium/longer range guidance AT ALL...sigh
Come on with it. I've only gotten just under 4" but would love it to stop seeing all the devastation around me
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DoctorMu
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Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX125D1090E5F0.FlashFloodWarning.125D10915B20TX.HGXFFWHGX.09fbb16f627679a4f6a74852f1070878 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 14:00 CDT on 09-19-2019
Effective: 14:00 CDT on 09-19-2019
Expires: 17:00 CDT on 09-19-2019
Event: Flash Flood Warning
Alert:
...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR PORTIONS OF MONTGOMERY, LIBERTY,
CHAMBERS, AND NORTHEAST HARRIS COUNTIES...
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southwestern San Jacinto County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Texas...
Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 500 PM CDT.

* At 156 PM CDT, emergency management reported heavy rain across the
warned area. Life threatening flash flooding is already occurring.
Numerous areas have roads closed, water in structures, flooded
highways and possible high water rescues.
THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR PORTIONS OF MONTGOMERY,
LIBERTY, CHAMBERS, AND NORTHEAST HARRIS COUNTIES. THIS IS A
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Conroe, Humble, Liberty, Cleveland, Dayton, Willis, Kingwood,
Spring, Crosby, northern Mont Belvieu, Anahuac, Panorama Village,
Splendora, Patton Village, Roman Forest, Woodbranch, Old
River-Winfree, Cut And Shoot, Ames and Daisetta.
Instructions: Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become unstable and unsafe.
Target Area:
Chambers
Harris
Liberty
Montgomery
San Jacinto
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srainhoutx
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redneckweather wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:27 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:04 pm Not liking the medium/longer range guidance AT ALL...sigh
Come on with it. I've only gotten just under 4" but would love it to stop seeing all the devastation around me
At least a surge or two of deep tropical moisture of the Gulf and a weak frontal boundary dropping down later next week. More later.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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The Flash Flood Emergency that DoctorMu posted is a Re Issue from earlier...just so folks know this isn't something new. It extends that current Flood Warning
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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CAK
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Do we know what the models are predicting with our current situation and when this will be over?
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srainhoutx
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CAK wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:32 pm Do we know what the models are predicting with our current situation and when this will be over?
Looks like the heavy stuff here in SE Texas will shift away tonight. Fingers crossed for a much calmer Friday and weekend!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Belmer
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Buffalo Bayou now out of its banks. Watching for more storms firing to the NW, might see a resurgence of another feeder band develop...

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Blake
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Cpv17
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Beginning to see some new development over Wharton County now.
Ounce
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Belmer wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:36 pm Buffalo Bayou now out of its banks. Watching for more storms firing to the NW, might see a resurgence of another feeder band develop...


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And this is with both Addicks and Barker Dam flood gates closed.
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Belmer
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Ounce wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:37 pm
Belmer wrote: Thu Sep 19, 2019 2:36 pm Buffalo Bayou now out of its banks. Watching for more storms firing to the NW, might see a resurgence of another feeder band develop...


2220.png
And this is with both Addicks and Barker Dam flood gates closed.
Good news in that both Addicks and Barker are well within their reservoirs. No plan to release water into the bayous at this time.
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Ounce
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Radar appears to show a collision over Hungerford on SW Frwy with the cells from the southwest and the NNW to SSE train is about to happen.
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