September 2019 - Warm End of September

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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Update from Jeff:

NWS has issued a flash flood warning for SE Harris County until 715pm.

Training band of very heavy rainfall with rates of 1-3 inches per hour is falling over areas that have already experienced 5-6 inches over the last 24 hours. Rapid onset street flooding and rises on local creeks and bayous is possible.

This band of heavy rainfall extends back to the west to near Bellaire and will track over the same areas for the next 1-2 hours.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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don
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Ive noticed that also on the HRRR... im getting concerned that there could be another training feeder band tonight/tomorrow but this time it could be located further inland than the one that setup along the coast last night.
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srainhoutx
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Watching closely new development in Waller County. I also see some potential development over Western Montgomery County as another band of showers pinwheel to the S.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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ccbluewater
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Storms have really taken off just to the South of me towards Katy. Looks like It may merge in with that nasty band Jeff is talking about.
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srainhoutx
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Jeff reports extensive street flooding in Westbury and Meyerland.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Cromagnum
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Nice tornado hit between Crosby and Mont Belvieu
Cpv17
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Picked up 1”. I’m satisfied now.
unome
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TexasBreeze wrote: Wed Sep 18, 2019 6:52 pm There has been a long string of HRRR runs showing a line forming and back building in the central/nw part of the area overnight and in the morning. The mesoscale precip discussion mentions the black circled area above in unome post. That could be the deluge for the Harris county area for the night along with the current area now in the south part.
the tails of the center's circulation, like a whip from a Balrog (plz excuse my Tolkien geek reference)

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/Rad ... /loop.html
jabcwb2
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Sunshine in Cypress
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djmike
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Looks like Beaumont is about to get hammered AGAIN with a nasty training band. Part of that one extending to you guys in Houston. Have a feeling this may be “the one” that sets up over hou and Bmt overnight.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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djmike
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Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning
TXC199-245-190200-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0076.190918T2359Z-190919T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
659 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2019

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Hardin County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 900 PM CDT.

* At 656 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain associated with
Tropical Depression Imelds across the warned area. Up to two
inches of rain has fallen in the last hour on already saturated
ground. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Sour Lake, Nome, Bevil Oaks and China.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to three inches is possible in
the warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3017 9444 3028 9412 3026 9411 3026 9410
3024 9412 3022 9412 3020 9409 3019 9411
3016 9412 3014 9410 3014 9411 3012 9407
3008 9409 3008 9405 3006 9404 2993 9444

$$

MM
Mike
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(IH-10 & College Street)
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Kludge
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djmike wrote: Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:25 pm Looks like Beaumont is about to get hammered AGAIN with a nasty training band. Part of that one extending to you guys in Houston. Have a feeling this may be “the one” that sets up over hou and Bmt overnight.
We live 100 miles apart
You're praying for it to stop
I'm praying for it to start :cry:
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djmike
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Beaumont Flooding Imelda
Beaumont Flooding Imelda
All i can say is ptsd harvey is real! The bottom just fell out here and its a nice big training band. Im talking heavy rain!!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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jasons2k
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:18 pm Picked up 1”. I’m satisfied now.
Yes! Yes! I am so glad you got some much-needed rain!

I'm just catching-up again and noticed that WPC discussion. I'm inside that dreaded "black circle." Looking at the radar, seems like that band is slowly starting to set up. Concerning.
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Ptarmigan
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Things could get hairy tonight.
davidiowx
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Ptarmigan wrote: Wed Sep 18, 2019 7:58 pm Things could get hairy tonight.
For those East of Houston, it certainly looks like it will be. So far for the ones in Ft Bend and westward it looks like it’s all but done. Barely got 1.5” which I’m grateful for, but would have like 4-5”!

Those on the east side and towards the golden triangle, stay safe tonight and tomorrow!
unome
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https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1174486574957903872
A HIGH risk is in effect in our Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook. More details: http://go.usa.gov/cu3Dw
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djmike
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The two bands combined into one big training band over Beaumont and not moving. Just went outside to inspect and we are all flooded in our neighborhood. If large trucks drive, it will push water to peoples garages and porches. This is gonna be a long long long night...
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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don
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Raining very heavy right now in the Heights.
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djmike
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Solid red extremely heavy rainband sitting over Beaumont. Not good. Since yesterday, 12” and counting fast... im actually nervous to go to bed. Work sent out another message tonight for all of is to stay home tomorrow as the road we use is now again flooded.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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