September 2019 - Warm End of September

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by jasons2k » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:09 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 8:47 am
Visible Meso Imagery focused over the NW Gulf is beginning to suggest a bit of spin and possibly a weak surface low developing offshore of The Upper Texas/SW Louisiana Coast.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis
Looks at the edge of the clouds on satellite. You could remove the land masses from the image, draw a line along the edge of the clouds, and you’d have a map of the coast from Corpus all the way past Panama City.


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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by unome » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:29 am

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/sta ... 9235500032
Still can't sleep on the gulf disturbance, which has an elliptical but closed circulation.

Slow movement expected, and it may be Tues night before it comes ashore, so a quick TS is not out of the question.

Regardless, lots of rain coming. 6+ inches forecast along coastal TX.

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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by jasons2k » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:30 am

Looks like it’s closing off to me.

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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by jerryh421 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:42 am

Anyone check the 12z NAM? Wow. Just adds to the Euro and CMC.

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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by TexasBreeze » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:49 am

Theres still seems to be some dry air to overcome around here. Hardly a cloud in the sky. We're on the dry side of the low so far. The rain bands will take time to get inland and may have to wait till it we get on the wet side of it to rain. The increasing model support for 10 + in of rain is getting harder to ignore though.

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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by brooksgarner » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:51 am

Are you guys seeing the QPF being pumped out on these NAM/GEM/EURO solutions? Wowza
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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by Cromagnum » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:53 am

Link to the NAM etc for those of us that dont know where to get the graphics?

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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by Texashawk » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:53 am

I’m sorry to be the voice if moderation, but “I’ll believe it when I see it” feels about right. Really hoping for some rain in Mo City, though. My lawn is gasping.

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Re: September 2019 - Gulf Mess Rain Chances. Work Week Heavy Rainfall Threat

Post by mcheer23 » Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:54 am

Cromagnum wrote:
Mon Sep 16, 2019 9:53 am
Link to the NAM etc for those of us that dont know where to get the graphics?
https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/mo ... 91612&fh=1

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