August 2019: Weak Cold Front/Rain Chances To End August

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tireman4
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Well, what might we have? :)
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MontgomeryCoWx
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tireman4 wrote: Thu Jul 25, 2019 3:51 pm Well, what might we have? :)
The month that College Football starts!
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Texaspirate11
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Another cold front...
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:40 am
tireman4 wrote: Thu Jul 25, 2019 3:51 pm Well, what might we have? :)
The month that College Football starts!
Yay! And Pro Football preseason!
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srainhoutx
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I am seeing some indications of another deep trough developing in about 7 to 10 days from the Plains on East. It's too soon to know the details, but perhaps a stalled boundary along the Gulf Coast could increase areal rain chances. We will see.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx wrote: Sun Jul 28, 2019 3:06 pm I am seeing some indications of another deep trough developing in about 7 to 10 days from the Plains on East. It's too soon to know the details, but perhaps a stalled boundary along the Gulf Coast could increase areal rain chances. We will see.
The 12z GFS looks good! Lock it in!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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33 days until Fall!
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:28 pm 33 days until Fall!

OR,

55 days, 13 hours and 26 minutes until Autumn (or Fall)
https://days.to/until/autumn-or-fall
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Texaspirate11
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Nice bit o thunder and incoming rain by the bay - no complaints here :-)
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BlueJay wrote: Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:47 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:28 pm 33 days until Fall!

OR,

55 days, 13 hours and 26 minutes until Autumn (or Fall)
https://days.to/until/autumn-or-fall

Climatological Fall is 33 days away. :D

Granted, September is basically Summer Lite most years.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Got an inch of rain up here today. Nice surprise.
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DoctorMu
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GFS ushers in a cold front on August 8th. The Canadian sniffs out more of a backdoor front on Aug 4/5.

Pretty amazing if it pans out - 2 relatively potent fronts in July then August.
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Texaspirate11
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Jul 29, 2019 5:13 pm GFS ushers in a cold front on August 8th. The Canadian sniffs out more of a backdoor front on Aug 4/5.

Pretty amazing if it pans out - 2 relatively potent fronts in July then August.
Let's shut down cane season!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Texaspirate11 wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:16 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Jul 29, 2019 5:13 pm GFS ushers in a cold front on August 8th. The Canadian sniffs out more of a backdoor front on Aug 4/5.

Pretty amazing if it pans out - 2 relatively potent fronts in July then August.
Let's shut down cane season!
Hell, let’s do that and bring Fall a month early!
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 2:23 pm
Texaspirate11 wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:16 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Jul 29, 2019 5:13 pm GFS ushers in a cold front on August 8th. The Canadian sniffs out more of a backdoor front on Aug 4/5.

Pretty amazing if it pans out - 2 relatively potent fronts in July then August.
Let's shut down cane season!
Hell, let’s do that and bring Fall a month early!
I'm on board with that!
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aunneste
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Texaspirate11 wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:16 pmLet's shut down cane season!
No. Plenty of areas in Texas missed out on quite a bit of rain during July. And if a hurricane is what is needed, then I'll gladly take it.
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aunneste
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Just looking at all the plant life around makes me realize how gross it is to have wet winter, dry summer weather patterns. I really don't know how the people in Mediterranean climates manage that type of pattern, the opposite is better by far.
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aunneste wrote: Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:58 pm
Texaspirate11 wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:16 pmLet's shut down cane season!
No. Plenty of areas in Texas missed out on quite a bit of rain during July. And if a hurricane is what is needed, then I'll gladly take it.
after 58 inches of rain from Harvey, I'll pass. thank you.
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srainhoutx
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Thursday morning Tropical Weather briefing from Jeff:

An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located roughly 1000 miles SW of the Cape Verde Islands. This feature remains fairly disorganized due to unfavorable upper level winds and dry air associated with the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. This wave is moving westward at 15-20mph and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn toward the WNW. As 96L approaches the eastern/northeastern Caribbean Sea over the next 5 days (late this weekend into early next week) upper level winds may become more favorable for the formation of a tropical depression or storm. There are still some obstacles that lay ahead of this feature and any development may be slow.

The National Hurricane Center currently gives the area a 20% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 70% chance over the next 5 days.

After 5 days the track and intensity are fairly uncertain with a large scale trough along the US east coast and interaction of the system with the Caribbean Islands it is unclear in what form 96L will be by the middle of next week.
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Texaspirate11 wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2019 12:03 am
aunneste wrote: Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:58 pm
Texaspirate11 wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 1:16 pmLet's shut down cane season!
No. Plenty of areas in Texas missed out on quite a bit of rain during July. And if a hurricane is what is needed, then I'll gladly take it.
after 58 inches of rain from Harvey, I'll pass. thank you.
Right - don't tempt fate around here. Nothing more than a wave, thank you.
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