definitely check before you head out
https://traffic.houstontranstar.org/layers/
https://traffic.houstontranstar.org/cctv/transtar/
http://map.blitzortung.org/#8.53/30.0945/-95.5852
August 2019: Weak Cold Front/Rain Chances To End August
Wooho! Stafford getting some rain!
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
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- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
We had a extremely noisy late afternoon with absolutely crazy cloud to ground lightning followed by some very welcome rainfall. My yard is grateful!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Damn. Blew my loose fence (from dry clay) to a lean and ripped up a few shingles. Just what I want to work on to fix when it's hot as hell.
Well at least some of y’all got some rain. Hardly a thing for the whole western part of the viewing area.
Just a few drops in Kingwood - but the wind is nice.
Both the euro and GFS are now on the same page. Both have the disturbance that will be coming thru the caribbean waiting till it's in the BoC before trying to organize. Looks like a weak ts around corpus sometime next weekend. Sure there will be further differences but we're closing in on a window to take a potential threat more seriously...
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Texaspirate11
- Posts: 1278
- Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 12:24 am
- Contact:
LOVED the sound of rain and thunder - good to hear it again last night
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
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CrashTestDummy
- Posts: 187
- Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:44 pm
- Location: Pearland, Texas
- Contact:
1.4" in northern Brazoria county last night. Temps dropped from about 95 -> 72. There was a LOT of lightning, too.
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas
"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."
Pearland, Texas
"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."
Nice wall cloud on 288 near Rosharon and Manvel yesterday evening.
A surprising 0.4 in of rain deposited IMBY last evening. Green grass on August 15. Mark that date!
I noticed TWC has been relying a lot on the new GFS. Omega block? ...or not. We're traveling way up north, and the forecast has been undergoing huge "mood swings" the past few days. lol We're getting close to NOOA range. Euro, CNC. Legacy should come to an agreement soon.
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 4480
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
00
FXUS64 KHGX 151539
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1039 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019
.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Saturday]...
Surface analysis has rather diffuse frontal boundary stalled
across SE Texas with an outflow boundary out in the Gulf
supporting scattered showers and storms. Overall expectation is
for a few showers and storms to start initiating with daytime
heating. 500mb heights are a little lower today and there is still
a good slug of 2 inch PWAT airmass south of the stalled front and
in the vicinity of the outflow boundary. These conditions should
be favorable for more showers and storms to form. Latest HRRR and
WRF runs seem to support this idea as the stalled front could
become a focus for storms.
Overpeck
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 600 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019/...
.AVIATION...
VFR. Few to Sct 3-5k ft cu with a sct ci deck. Higher threat for
isolated pop up morning showers transitioning to warmth-of-the-
afternoon storms generally closer to the coast. Festering daytime
convection (-TSRA or SHRA) may even work its way as far north as
HOU or IAH, but many inland terminals will likely remain dry
through the period. A weak northerly breeze will slowly veer east
to southeast through early Friday. 31
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 98 77 100 77 99 / 0 0 10 0 20
Houston (IAH) 96 79 97 80 96 / 40 10 10 10 40
Galveston (GLS) 92 83 90 84 90 / 10 30 50 30 50
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Overpeck
FXUS64 KHGX 151539
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1039 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019
.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Saturday]...
Surface analysis has rather diffuse frontal boundary stalled
across SE Texas with an outflow boundary out in the Gulf
supporting scattered showers and storms. Overall expectation is
for a few showers and storms to start initiating with daytime
heating. 500mb heights are a little lower today and there is still
a good slug of 2 inch PWAT airmass south of the stalled front and
in the vicinity of the outflow boundary. These conditions should
be favorable for more showers and storms to form. Latest HRRR and
WRF runs seem to support this idea as the stalled front could
become a focus for storms.
Overpeck
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 600 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019/...
.AVIATION...
VFR. Few to Sct 3-5k ft cu with a sct ci deck. Higher threat for
isolated pop up morning showers transitioning to warmth-of-the-
afternoon storms generally closer to the coast. Festering daytime
convection (-TSRA or SHRA) may even work its way as far north as
HOU or IAH, but many inland terminals will likely remain dry
through the period. A weak northerly breeze will slowly veer east
to southeast through early Friday. 31
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 98 77 100 77 99 / 0 0 10 0 20
Houston (IAH) 96 79 97 80 96 / 40 10 10 10 40
Galveston (GLS) 92 83 90 84 90 / 10 30 50 30 50
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Overpeck
Models are really beginning to look interesting for us late next week. Anxious to see what the 12z Euro will show.
I totally agree it's becoming increasingly possible that see may a tropical system in the GOM going into next weekend.Scott747 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 15, 2019 5:54 am Both the euro and GFS are now on the same page. Both have the disturbance that will be coming thru the caribbean waiting till it's in the BoC before trying to organize. Looks like a weak ts around corpus sometime next weekend. Sure there will be further differences but we're closing in on a window to take a potential threat more seriously...
Could someone post a few model screenshots?
I’m about to drive from Dallas and can’t look them all up.
Thanks in advance.
I’m about to drive from Dallas and can’t look them all up.
Thanks in advance.
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Kingwood36
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
- Contact:
Not much going on with the Euro..
Some cells now popping in northern Montgomery County, moving south. Please please hold together and give me some rain - I tried to water this morning and only two zones out of 8 came on!! If I don’t get any rain I’ll have to water the old fashioned way until I can fix my control valves.