August 2019: Weak Cold Front/Rain Chances To End August

[mckinne63]

7 days until College Football starts!

Climatological Fall is in 15 days.... give me some cold fronts. Summer sucks!

Yay on Football! And yay on cold fronts! Agree on summer. Though this one has not been as bad as some years past. July was fairly pleasant. We knew that probably would not last into August. LOL

[Cpv17]

12z Euro has a depression or weak tropical storm into Beaumont/Port Arthur. A ton of rain for LA. Crickets here.

[Scott747]

After a few days of the models backing off any development of the gom system next week the afternoon runs have shown some tepid life. Operational GFS at least shows some more energy and a few more members of the ensemble have something anywhere from the mid Texas coast to c la. Along with the euro it develops as it nears the coast.

[srainhoutx]

36 years ago tonight we were hunkering down for the arrival of Hurricane Alicia. Little did I know that my personal life would eventually be changed by the first named storm of the season in 1983.

[Cpv17]

After a few days of the models backing off any development of the gom system next week the afternoon runs have shown some tepid life. Operational GFS at least shows some more energy and a few more members of the ensemble have something anywhere from the mid Texas coast to c la. Along with the euro it develops as it nears the coast.

We need this to come in south of Matagorda as a weak sloppy mess.

[Katdaddy]

36 years ago this evening I knew that Hurricane Alicia would be my first hurricane experience as she approached the Upper TX Coast as a CAT 3.

[Scott747]

0z GFS aligns up with the 12z euro. Pulses on Friday and then tries to organize as it's off the mid/upper tx coast before going inland late Saturday night into early Sunday around the border.

[Scott747]

Not that I have much faith in it but the 0z ICON is now developing a system off the mid/upper tx coast into a tropical storm and moving it ne towards Louisiana.

[Cpv17]

Not that I have much faith in it but the 0z ICON is now developing a system off the mid/upper tx coast into a tropical storm and moving it ne towards Louisiana.

That’s pretty much what the other models are showing too.

[Ptarmigan]

0z GFS aligns up with the 12z euro. Pulses on Friday and then tries to organize as it's off the mid/upper tx coast before going inland late Saturday night into early Sunday around the border.

Not going to put much stock into forecast models that are over a week ahead.

[Cpv17]

The 12z GFS is looking good for some rain for the first couple counties inland. Has a hard time making it north though. Most of it stays south of 59.

[Cromagnum]

The rain train is coming on the south side. Lots of little 10 minute popups.

[jasons2k]

First outflow passing through. Hopefully it’s early enough in the day for things to recover...

[Cpv17]

Pretty quiet on the radar today. Another day with no rain here.

[Katdaddy]

The tropic watch ramps up this upcoming week.

[Rip76]

The tropic watch ramps up this upcoming week.

Yes it does.

[djmike]

This humidity though...almost unbearable.

[jasons2k]

Almost everything dissipates north of I-10...

[Kingwood36]

Is it fall yet?

[Cpv17]

The Euro offers no hope. I hope the GFS is right.