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Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:43 pm
by Cromagnum
Halo around my house in Rosharon. Outflow boundaries blowing out in adjacent storms so will either get Jack squat or a deluge.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2019 7:10 pm
by Cromagnum
And...looks like I'm not going to get one drop from all of this.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2019 7:34 pm
by DoctorMu
unome wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:33 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:20 pm lol We hit 100°F. I believe that's the first triple digit day for us.
hopefully not a harbinger of Aug temps !

cooler air has arrived here in NW Harris, fingers crossed for rain
Yeah, we're even seeing a robust outflow up here. Not betting on any rain. Just south of Navasota could get a mini-deluge.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2019 8:09 pm
by jasons2k
Got .65” here and some gusty winds.

This summer has been fantastic.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2019 11:06 pm
by Cpv17
Nothing here in Wharton.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 12:53 am
by djjordan
No rain gauge here but we had some good downpours for the lawn and trees here. Gusty winds as well. Much needed.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:34 am
by Cromagnum
Lots of activity just offshore with pretty tall anvils easily seen from far away.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 11:41 am
by Cromagnum
Damn. The new storms today just missed my house to the South by a mile and are already fizzling out. So freaking lame.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 12:10 pm
by aunneste
The day is still young, I think the southern half of the metro still has opportunity. Summer is a fake dry season in Texas, not authentic at all.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 5:44 pm
by jasons2k
Radar today is disappointing. There were more showers this morning than there is this afternoon.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 6:55 pm
by Cromagnum
Yep, everything fell apart to the north of home yesterday and south of home today. The Rosharon dome strikes again and I've seen less than a half inch for all of July now

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:44 pm
by unome
96L, now on weather sites - 0/70% over 2/5 days

Code: Select all

AL, 96, 2019072812,   , BEST,   0, 109N,  156W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019072818,   , BEST,   0, 106N,  171W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019072900,   , BEST,   0, 103N,  186W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019072906,   , BEST,   0, 101N,  202W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019072912,   , BEST,   0,  99N,  217W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019072918,   , BEST,   0,  97N,  233W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073000,   , BEST,   0,  95N,  249W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073006,   , BEST,   0,  94N,  264W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073012,   , BEST,   0,  94N,  279W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073018,   , BEST,   0,  94N,  293W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073100,   , BEST,   0,  94N,  307W,  20,    0, LO,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073106,   , BEST,   0,  94N,  320W,  15, 1010, LO,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073112,   , BEST,   0,  94N,  333W,  25, 1009, LO,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019073118,   , BEST,   0,  95N,  345W,  25, 1009, LO,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1013,  200, 100,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS010,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, 
AL, 96, 2019080100,   , BEST,   0,  96N,  357W,  25, 1009, LO,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1013,  200, 100,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 010, SPAWNINVEST, al722019 to al962019, 

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 7:56 pm
by aunneste
Cromagnum wrote: Wed Jul 31, 2019 6:55 pm The Rosharon dome strikes again and I've seen less than a half inch for all of July now
Induce a bit of regularity in such dryness, and you basically have what occurs right on the South Texas Gulf along Corpus Christi and Brownsville.

The dry spells in Texas are just so weird, even when factoring in the reasonings.

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Fri Aug 02, 2019 8:17 am
by tireman4
014
FXUS64 KHGX 021145
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
645 AM CDT Fri Aug 2 2019

.AVIATION...

Could see some SHRA/TSRA development today, mainly this
morning near the coast and this afternoon inland. The
12Z TAFs currently have VCSH, and will need to update
if TSRA do materialize. If anything does develop, it
should be gone by sunset. Tomorrow has the potential
to be a little more active, so have included VCSH
starting mid-morning at IAH. 42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT Fri Aug 2 2019/

SHORT TERM...

Southeast Texas remains on the eastern edge of upper level
ridging centered off to our west and northwest. With daytime
heating, look for another day with possible late morning
through afternoon shower and thunderstorm development.
A weak shortwave or two (evident on some of the latest
models) could move south through the area and bring slightly
better storm coverage, but it currently looks like this will
be setting up over the weekend. High temperatures are once
again expected to range from the upper 80s to around 90 at
the coast to the mid to upper 90s well inland. Any activity
that does develop during the day will be gone by sunset, and
low temperatures are expected to be mostly in the mid to
upper 70s inland to around 80 near the coast. 42

LONG TERM...

Precipitation chances increase going into the weekend as a shortwave
enters the region from the north, but there are some pretty big
differences in the models. The GFS is the wettest solutions with
precipitation reaching the area Saturday afternoon with off and on
showers continuing through Sunday. The EC and NAM are drier with
Saturday mostly dry and showers not arriving until Sunday.
Temperatures this weekend will depend on how much moisture gets into
the region... more clouds and rain = cooler, sunnier and drier =
warmer.

The workweek starts with some lingering moisture Monday afternoon,
but then building heights will bring warmer and drier weather by
midweek.

Fowler

MARINE...

A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will persist for the
end of the week, through the weekend and on into the start of next
week. Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible, with
the best chances probably occuring over the weekend and into the
start of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 96 76 94 74 93 / 0 10 30 40 40
Houston (IAH) 94 77 93 76 92 / 30 10 40 30 40
Galveston (GLS) 90 82 91 80 89 / 20 10 20 20 30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Re: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

Posted: Fri Aug 02, 2019 8:18 am
by tireman4
August 2nd Outlook