July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
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Pretty neart looking orange stormy sky's to the east
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Rip76
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Totally orange here.
Kingwood36
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Didnt know port author was in a tropical storm warnin
Edit: nevermind it looked like it was on the map
Last edited by Kingwood36 on Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rip76
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Just looking at normal radar apps, is this whole thing moving W/WSW ?
Kingwood36
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Rip76 wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:53 pm Just looking at normal radar apps, is this whole thing moving W/WSW ?
What radar apps do you use?
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Rip76
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My radar (That’s what it’s called)
Scott747
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Rip76 wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:53 pm Just looking at normal radar apps, is this whole thing moving W/WSW ?
Last two recon fixes has it barely moving. I'm guessing the next update will remain w @ 3 mph.
TexasBreeze
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The slower movement may signal a change in movement coming soon or is it just the steering currents have collapsed overall currently?
davidiowx
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Rip76 wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:57 pm My radar (That’s what it’s called)
I use that app religiously for our area. It’s a very good radar in my opinion.
sau27
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TexasBreeze wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 9:45 pm The slower movement may signal a change in movement coming soon or is it just the steering currents have collapsed overall currently?
I don’t think it’s ready to turn yet. Really not supposed to make that north turn until tomorrow night.
Andrew
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There have been multiple eddies that are rotating around the larger broad low. That is why you probably see periods of SW movement. Until dry air and shear lessen I don't see much improvement in the structure.
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Kingwood36
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Andrew wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 10:17 pm There have been multiple eddies that are rotating around the larger broad low. That is why you probably see periods of SW movement. Until dry air and shear lessen I don't see much improvement in the structure.
What are "eddies"? Like LLc?
Andrew
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Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 10:25 pm
Andrew wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 10:17 pm There have been multiple eddies that are rotating around the larger broad low. That is why you probably see periods of SW movement. Until dry air and shear lessen I don't see much improvement in the structure.
What are "eddies"? Like LLc?
"Eddies" may not be the best term, but overall you are just seeing smaller circulations in the broader overall low. Think of it as a circulation within a circulation really.
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Scott747
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Oz GFS may get a little further w this run.
Scott747
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Maybe 10mi at best. Still similar to 18z.
Andrew
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Scott747 wrote: Thu Jul 11, 2019 11:03 pm Maybe 10mi at best. Still similar to 18z.
If the UKMET doesn't make a huge jump east tonight I will be speechless. It will be incredible to have this much discrepancy between models this far out.
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bdog38
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Alicia, its been awhile. Welcome back



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djmike
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When is the next Ukmet run?
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Ukmet finally folds!! Has it east
Kingwood36
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Good run uk...good run lol
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