June 2019: Showers/Storms Increasing To End June

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Cpv17
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Euro is looking pretty good for rain. GFS not so much.
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jasons2k
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Along I-10 north of Panama City - it looks like a bomb went off with all the downed trees
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srainhoutx
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Tricky forecast ahead for the next 24 to 36 hours. Currently there is a vigorous cold upper trough to our NW that has been bringing snow above 9000 feet in the Southern Rockies. To the East, humid and warm unstable air as allowed thunderstorms to develop and that should continue today across the Southern Plains. A squall line and associated Mesoscale Convective System look to organize this afternoon/evening NW of Dallas/Ft Work and begin to march South and East overnight. The models do want to weaken the line of storms as they near our area early in the morning. Not completely sold on the idea the models are painting right now as there are some uncertainties such as a possible strong cold pool aloft and unforeseen mesoscale features that could be present later this evening. The SPC currently has our Northern areas bordering on a Slight Risk of Severe Storms with a Marginal Risk outlined all the way to the Coast for our SE Texas Region. The WPC has a large Marginal Risk for Excess Rainfall outlined for tomorrow. Watch the storms later this afternoon developing around the Metroplex. We will see if they can spread SE in to our Region overnight.
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06232019 Day 2 ER WPC 98ewbg.gif
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Cromagnum
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Already ready for fall if this is what summer has to offer. Not looking forward to July and August.
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DoctorMu
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A very brief shower here. Most of the streamer showers are just missing us. Dewpoint still around 77°F. Range from 76°F to 79°F yesterday.

Severe storms up near Wichita Falls, but we're pretty done with severe season. The Big Suck Continues.

*Allegedly* a few degrees cooler and slightly lower DP early in the week.

Jason - Yeah, Matthew just bombed out to that CAT 5 approaching the panhandle shore. All those pine trees flattened or the top halves sheared off.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Jun 23, 2019 8:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 4:15 pm A very brief shower here. Most of the streamer showers are just missing us. Dewpoint still around 77°F. Rants from 76°F to 79‡F yesterday.

Sever storms up near wichita Falls, but were pretty done with severe season. The Big Suck Continues.

*Allegedly* a few degrees cooler and slightly lower DP early in the week.

Jason - Yeah, Matthew just bombed out to that CAT 5 approaching the panhandle shore. All those pine trees flattened or the top halves sheared off.
It was pretty incredible to see that, that far inland. For a couple of miles, every thing was leveled. Everything. Just grass and weeds. It looked like parts of the Lost Pines after the fires of 2011. Eerie.
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DoctorMu
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At 1:20 pm The Big Suck registered the highest dewpoint I've seen in College Station: 81°F

At least there was a breeze this afternoon with passing streamer cells. Severe action near DFW after harassing Wichita Falls this afternoon. Outflows heading in our general direction - may arrive about dawn.
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DoctorMu
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jasons wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 5:53 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 4:15 pm A very brief shower here. Most of the streamer showers are just missing us. Dewpoint still around 77°F. Rants from 76°F to 79‡F yesterday.

Sever storms up near wichita Falls, but were pretty done with severe season. The Big Suck Continues.

*Allegedly* a few degrees cooler and slightly lower DP early in the week.

Jason - Yeah, Matthew just bombed out to that CAT 5 approaching the panhandle shore. All those pine trees flattened or the top halves sheared off.
It was pretty incredible to see that, that far inland. For a couple of miles, every thing was leveled. Everything. Just grass and weeds. It looked like parts of the Lost Pines after the fires of 2011. Eerie.
That was a horrible fire and summer. I thought Bastrop was going to go up in flames.

Wow. God's eraser. I had heard about severe damage 30 miles inland the evening after Matthew's landfall, because of wet ground and sustained hurricane force winds.

I've seen some lines wooded areas like this flattened near the coast of NC after a hurricane over a decade ago.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:08 pm Already ready for fall if this is what summer has to offer. Not looking forward to July and August.
haha Countdown to SEC football season!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 8:47 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:08 pm Already ready for fall if this is what summer has to offer. Not looking forward to July and August.
haha Countdown to SEC football season!
Amen
Team #NeverSummer
unome
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this is interesting, north of I-10 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/
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Ptarmigan
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unome wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 9:11 pm this is interesting, north of I-10 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/
Not often you see that in Southeast Texas.
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DoctorMu
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e: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX125CFEF90430.SevereThunderstormWatch.125CFEFA0790TX.WNSWOU8.a60b6cdd7c6506cce9092c8f0bf900de from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 21:36 CDT on 06-23-2019
Effective: 21:35 CDT on 06-23-2019
Expires: 04:00 CDT on 06-24-2019
Event: Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Alert:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 438 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
TX

. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BOSQUE
BRAZOS BROWN BURLESON
BURNET CALLAHAN CHEROKEE
COMANCHE CORYELL EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FREESTONE GRIMES HAMILTON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HOUSTON JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMPASAS LEE LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MADISON
MCLENNAN MILAM MILLS
NAVARRO RAINS ROBERTSON
SAN SABA SMITH SOMERVELL
TRINITY VAN ZANDT WALKER
WILLIAMSON WOOD
Instructions:
Target Area:
Anderson
Bell
Bosque
Brazos
Brown
Burleson
Burnet
Callahan
Cherokee
Comanche
Coryell
Eastland
Ellis
Erath
Falls
Freestone
Grimes
Hamilton
Henderson
Hill
Hood
Houston
Johnson
Kaufman
Lampasas
Lee
Leon
Limestone
Llano
Madison
McLennan
Milam
Mills
Navarro
Rains
Robertson
San Saba
Smith
Somervell
Trinity
Van Zandt
Walker
Williamson
Wood
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DoctorMu
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unome wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 9:11 pm this is interesting, north of I-10 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/
Yeah, MCS in the DFW area headed our way.
unome
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nice to wake up to the sound of rain after the oppressive heat this last weekend
unome
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coming up on 2 inches in the last 3 hrs:

https://www.harriscountyfws.org/GageDet ... v=rainfall
unome
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from lows in the 80s to the 60s - happy dance...

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KDWH

wv.jpg
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Katdaddy
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A line of heavy thunderstorms is steadily approaching the Houston area just in time for the morning rush hour. The storms are below severe limits but will produce locally heavy rain this morning as the storms push through the area and off the coast later this morning.
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unome
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approaching 4.5", Willow Creek @ 249 https://www.harriscountyfws.org/GageDet ... v=rainfall
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