MAY 2019: Wednesday Storm Complex/Scattered Showers To End May

[Texashawk]

Looks like we’re kind of in the middle of all the rain to either side. Are we getting lucky or is this just fools gold?

[Belmer]

Having a chance to get on for a quick moment. I am currently out of the state and will be so through Sunday (attending my brothers college graduation). I'm enjoying quite the contrast in weather with high temps in the 50s and lows potentially dropping into the upper 30s to low 40s.
I'll be monitoring what is going on back at home when I am able to. Hate to say that I hope models get this wrong, because we would like to see them be right to a certain degree so we're able to have better confidence in future situations like this one. However, with the poor recent model performance, especially on Tuesday and much of the grounds already saturated, I do hope models don't produce the rainfall totals I'm seeing projected.

This community plays an important role in getting vital messaging out to those who need it and overall just staying weather aware in times like this. With that said, please use common sense when the weather starts to deteriorate. If you don't have to be out on the roadways, don't! I'm sure much of the local news will be extensively covering the flooding with their reporters out in this.

Hope everyone is able to get through this event unscathed!

[sambucol]

894BD864-B2EA-4E00-8BDC-25CC5B490492.jpeg

How does that road look now? Is it open? Flooded? Thabnks

[srainhoutx]

The Storm Prediction Center issues a Mesoscale Discussion suggesting a Weather Watch may be possible for the Middle and Upper Texas Coast...

Mesoscale Discussion 0604
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0540 PM CDT Thu May 09 2019

Areas affected...Upper Texas Coast vicinity

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 092240Z - 100015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Convection is being monitored across the Middle and Upper
Texas Coast vicinity. A watch may be needed this evening if
confidence increases in an isolated damaging wind and large hail
threat.

DISCUSSION...Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed in
low level confluence zone ahead of the surface cold front in Harris
and Liberty Counties southward toward Wharton County. Additional
strong to severe storms had developed near the intersection of this
confluence zone and an outflow boundary across far southeast TX,
from Polk to Orange Counties northward to Jasper and Newton
Counties. While this convection is north of the outflow, surface
analysis shows temperatures are in the mid 70s to low 80s with low
70s dewpoints and strong instability, resulting in likely
surface-based storms. The more isolated activity to the southwest is
likewise occurring in a very unstable environment with midlevel
lapse rates around 7-7.5 C/km.

Forcing across the area is generally weak at this moment, but should
increase over the next few hours as the cold front sags southward
and a subtle impulse over northern/central Mexico shifts east across
southern TX and the western Gulf of Mexico. As a result, convection
could increase in intensity across the Middle and Upper Texas Coast
vicinity the next few hours. Latest HRRR, 18z 4km NAM and 20z RAP
guidance all suggest development in this vicinity by around 00z.
Should this scenario play out, locally damaging winds and large hail
will be the main concern. Low level flow is rather weak with latest
KHGX VWP data indicating only 5 kt of sfc-1 km shear. Nevertheless,
backed low level flow in a very moist environment could result in a
brief tornado. Convective trends will continue to be monitored and a
watch is possible at some point this evening.

..Leitman/Hart.. 05/09/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...CRP...EWX...

[Cromagnum]

Lots of cells firing up right on time just south of Rosenberg

[djmike]

894BD864-B2EA-4E00-8BDC-25CC5B490492.jpeg

How does that road look now? Is it open? Flooded? Thabnks

Oh no, its still flooded. Gulf states road in Beaumont. Unless you drive a large high vehicle you wont make it. I HAD to drive thru it unfortunately because where o work its the ONLY road in and out. I left before it got too bad. By now im sure its barricaded.

[Cpv17]

It’s popping here in the Wharton /El Campo area. Storms just started exploding on radar.

[Rip76]

Thunder here in Pearland.

[jabcwb2]

Hi Pros,

Thank you for all you do!
I am confused with all the posts on here.
I realize the weather is going to get treacherous however, I am so confused now, as to where.


Is the line along I 10 and south of same now? Into Sugarland or as far west as Katy?
Thank you!

[mckinne63]

Hearing thunder in Stafford.

[jabcwb2]

[spadilly]

Quite a storm here in the spring branch neighborhood.
Tons of lightning, thunder, heavy rain. Power has already started flickering.

[srainhoutx]

Hi Pros,

Thank you for all you do!
I am confused with all the posts on here.
I realize the weather is going to get treacherous however, I am so confused now, as to where.


Is the line along I 10 and south of same now? Into Sugarland or as far west as Katy?
Thank you!

Unfortunately the "where" is yet to be determined. Storms are rapidly developing and it's time for folks to get off the roads as soon as possible and ride out the storms at home. Stay safe everyone!

[srainhoutx]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming for all SE Texas areas except for the Coastal Counties and the Counties farthest North until 1:00 AM CDT

[mckinne63]

Unfortunately the "where" is yet to be determined. Storms are rapidly developing and it's time for folks to get off the roads as soon as possible and ride out the storms at home. Stay safe everyone!

Hubby is not home yet and he usually is home by now. He doesn't watch the weather like I do. Hopefully he will be home soon.

[ajurcat]

Rain and thunder Hwy 290 & BW8 area.

[Ounce]

Hi Pros,

Thank you for all you do!
I am confused with all the posts on here.
I realize the weather is going to get treacherous however, I am so confused now, as to where.


Is the line along I 10 and south of same now? Into Sugarland or as far west as Katy?
Thank you!

Check this or check a radar on one of the TV stations webpages
http://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/HGX_l ... dafa385956

[Ounce]

Tstorm warning Gonzales county

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC177-100015-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0104.190509T2328Z-190510T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
628 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Gonzales County in south central Texas...

* Until 715 PM CDT.

* At 627 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Gonzales,
moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Gonzales, Little New York, Nickle, Dilworth and Hamon.

[jasons2k]

I’ll tell y’all one thing - maybe stating the obvious - but today was the first day all summer it really felt like summer. The heat and humidity were very tropical feeling today.

I’m grilling fajitas and sweating bullets right now, watching the radar.

Hey — it may be hot, my t-shirt may be drenched, but this is still 100x more tolerable than freezing cold!!!

[Ounce]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC015-089-157-481-100015-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0085.190509T2324Z-190510T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
624 PM CDT Thu May 9 2019

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
East central Colorado County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Austin County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 715 PM CDT.

* At 624 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Kendleton, or
near Wharton, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
Wharton, East Bernard, Wallis, Simonton, Kendleton and Hungerford.