February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?

[lpweather]

This is going to be an interesting evening. Hoping for some snow like Dec 2008 down in Deer Park area.

[C2G]

You guys think if I go outside and do a snow dance it will help our odds here on the coast

You're not quite on the coast there, rnmmm. In fact you're just about ten miles south of me. You may see a flake or two later.

[brazoria_county22]

You guys think if I go outside and do a snow dance it will help our odds here on the coast

You're not quite on the coast there, rnmmm. In fact you're just about ten miles south of me. You may see a flake or two later.

us folks on the coast have a good chance of seeing it fall but it will be after sunset more like around midnite or after

[rnmm]

After midnight is not a good time for me since I like to sleep I wonder if I can talk it into coming sooner

[srainhoutx]

E-mail from Jeff...

Heavy snow falling along I-35 from N of San Antonio to Waco moving eastward toward SE TX. Webcams show great big flakes (around the size of a half dollar) leading to quick accumulations in the heavy bursts. Heavy sleet was reported the last hour in College Station and Hearne, TX had about 1.5” on the ground of snow.

Slowly but surely the RA/SN line is marching SE and will enter into our NW counties shortly. Convective looking radar out of C TX supports very heavy snowfall rates of 1-2” per hour with quick accumulations even with surface temperatures above freezing as noted thus far along I-35 with visibilities dropping below .25 of a mile in very heavy snow. Radar SW of HOU shows increasing echoes which will help start cooling the lower air column. May see some IP/RA mix over the metro area this afternoon and then the change to SN/RA mix late afternoon/early evening.

Will not mess with accumulations at this time as the event is unfolding, although overall totals will be hard to determine as much will melt on impact and between the heavy snow bursts. Will let the previous accumulations go forward…a lot of us will see snow, but many will not see much on the ground…if only for a short while.

Still looking like there could be issues early Wednesday morning as the freezing line get deeper into the area and meltwater begins to freeze into a glaze on area bridges/overpasses. Not sure exactly where the 32F line will end up…but current indications place it from just N of Wharton to Katy to Kingwood to Liberty…north of that will likely see any water freeze up.

[redneckweather]

Here is an interesting comparison of local obs. My ranch is on the outskirts of North Zulch in Madison County. Right now it says that they are sitting at 32 degrees with a DP of 30 with light snow. Just 10 minutes to the east in Madisonville it is 39 degrees with a DP of 36. That's a big difference.

[Karen]

Yesterday channel 2 was showing a future cast, it was showing that the snow did not make it any farther south than the Austin area. Watching the line this morning it looks like this may be true. I hope I am wrong.

[sleetstorm]

In case any of you care, it seems like the city of Sealy is currently getting a mix of rain and sleet or snow. It is somewhat arduous for to be able to decipher, but I do believe that they are at last receiving a witry mix. Please feel free to rectify me if I am not quite right about that.

[HouTXmetro]

Yesterday channel 2 was showing a future cast, it was showing that the snow did not make it any farther south than the Austin area. Watching the line this morning it looks like this may be true. I hope I am wrong.

Channel 2 FAIL

http://www.corad.org/texas_radar.htm

The snow Line is Well South of Austin now.

[TexasMetBlake]

Surface temps awfully warm and dewpoints awfully high. My phone is rung off the hook this morning, "hey, where's my snow?! You've been preaching this for a week!"

[tireman4]

Surface temps awfully warm and dewpoints awfully high. My phone is rung off the hook this morning, "hey, where's my snow?! You've been preaching this for a week!"

Rough being a meteorologist....Eh Cane?....LOL I am just messing with ya....

[redneckweather]

Well my dad just called my up here at my office. He lives not too far from where I do and said he just saw a few stray flurries in the air behind his house. I see that a large precip shield is moving in the area where he lives. He says it was snow but I'm a skeptic. I told him to call me when he sees more than a couple.

[HouTXmetro]

Surface temps awfully warm and dewpoints awfully high. My phone is rung off the hook this morning, "hey, where's my snow?! You've been preaching this for a week!"

Snow was not suppose to start until Late afternoon early Evening. Looks like everything is still on schedule.

[wxdata]

HGX:

report from RLO and TXDOT of sleet in Brazos and Burleson counties AT 1235 pm.

KBTX-TV Bryan "...pretty heavy sleet here at the studio (just about on the Bryan/College Station line) some sleet starting to accumulate on the cars in the parking lot"

[don]

not to get off topic but Euro looks interesting early next week...

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ECMWF_12z/f168.gif

[Mr. T]

Surface temps awfully warm and dewpoints awfully high. My phone is rung off the hook this morning, "hey, where's my snow?! You've been preaching this for a week!"

Everything is on schedule

patience grasshoper

[rnmm]

Pre-teens do not understand the word patience when it comes to snow mine are driving me crazy with texts and stuff about what you all are saying for our chances here LOL

[Mr. T]

Wouldn't be suprised if our snow comes from that stuff around Del Rio

CLL should be seeing some snow, if not in the next 30 minutes.

[wxman57]

I think that things still look to be on track for a late afternoon/early eventing period of 1-2 hours of at least occasional snow across the city. South side would have a shorter period, north side toward the longer end of that range. Surface temps will likely be in the 34 (north) to 36 (south) range during the snow, so it'll be melting as it hits the ground. But if we get a strong enough burst of snow in some areas, it could easily accumulate on cars and grassy surfaces for at least long enough to measure the accumulation. Such a burst could drop an inch of snow in a very short period of time, but I suspect any measured accumulations across Houston would tend to be in the 1/4"-1/2" range. Temps 3-5F above freezing means it wont last long, so look fast! It's just really difficult to predict if and when these snow bursts will occur and how long they'll last, so predicting any temporary accumulations is next to impossible.

Here's a new meteogram for IAH. Nothing too exciting after today. Next Monday's storm is looking like a cold rain event for us. Probably a bit colder than the GFS meteogram below is indicating for next Monday.

[ticka1]

I am a mean mom - I told my DD14 is wasn't going to snow - we were too far south and it was too warm.....so if it does snow its a complete surprise but she won't pester me. Gotta love being the parent.