February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Kludge
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When the 'bullseye' is almost on top of your house... life is good.

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srainhoutx
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The prudent thing to do is wait until all the guidance come in. HGX will likely make a call with the early morning AFD. ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Andrew
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rnmm
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Thank you to all who have responded to my request about our snow chances for my kiddos. We will wait and see and I know that is all we can do! You all have a great night!!
My name is Nicole and I love weather!!
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Alicia, Allison, Rita, Ike
TexasMetBlake
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You know back in college, my best friend Robin spelt the word ridiculous with an "e" (rediculous). I made the point that "rediculous" was spelt with an I. We had a good laugh. After a hardy chuckle, we now claim that when one of us is being "extra" ridiculous, we say "your being ridiculous with an E for extra."

Ed, your E stands about as big as a highrise and stands for many more things than Extra. Enormously, Erroneous, Extra, and several other words come to mind.

I'm not a moderator, but if your going to make claims, PROVIDE EVIDENCE AND LINKS TO YOUR STATEMENTS! :evil:
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Mr. T
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Ed Mahmoud wrote:Banned or ignore for saying the GFS shows snow in the air but not sticking between 39ºF and 35ºF?
I have a BS in Petroleum Engineering. Nope, never made a cent on the weather. Do you have a Bachelor of Science in anything? BA in communication from East idaho U?
And this gives you an advantage over forecasting and model analysis, how? I don't care how many pieces of paper you have, this has nothing to do with the weather and what we're dealing with tonight.
Maybe the model is too warm, or precip is heavier, CLL is a close call based on the GFS and may get snow accumulations on snow and grassy surfaces, Waco and Corsicana look quite good. Maybe snow will stick, we'll all be happy.
Snow can stick with surface temperatures in the mid 30s if the precipiation is heavy enough, as it occured on Dec 4th. Even if CLL never reached freezing (certainly possible), several inches of snow is still possible. And, it'll be the sweet spot if a snow band sets up over that area.
swmmom
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Can't we just all get along and be nice to each other? I know nothing of reading the maps or trends but find weather fascinating, especially types of weather I do not normally get to see. And there is just something about snow that makes most people smile and especially children and especially those of which have never seen it before or gotten to play in it.

Being from Bryan I hope I get a foot of it Tuesday but I also know that when wishing for snow in south central Texas you pretty much believe it is snowing when you see it on the ground.

I appreciate all the people who come on this board and talk about what they are seeing and why and I think it gives me more knowledge. But I really hate to come on here and read what takes up a page of hurtful writing.

I hope everyone lets at least something white on the ground by Wednesday morning!!!!

Swimmom to future Olympian
txsnowmaker
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Did anyone pick up on the 0z GFS forecast for Monday, March 1? Hours 174-180 seem to indicate a decent amount of frozen precip (snow?) for a good part of the city of Houston.
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don
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I know were dealing with the possible Tuesday event right now but the GFS looks interesting early next week also FWIW

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_168m.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_174m.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_180m.gif
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Ptarmigan
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I notice when it is about to snow, it warms up. The most optimal temperature for snow is between 30 to 35 degrees. We do not need freezing temps to have snow in Houston. The probability of seeing +0.01 or more than a trace of snow is every 5 years on average. So seeing two +0.01" snowfall happens every 25 years.

Above Trace Snowfall
1 Snowfall=Every 5 years
2 Snowfall=Every 25 years
3 Snowfall=Every 125 years
4 Snowfall=Every 625 years
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Mon Feb 22, 2010 4:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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