APRIL 2019: Warm & Muggy WX to End The Month

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APRIL 2019: Warm & Muggy WX to End The Month

Post by BlueJay » Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:53 am

I am wish-casting a perfect Chamber of Commerce like weather for Easter weekend on April 20th and 21st.

But, what is really going to happen?.

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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Spring Continues

Post by Andrew » Sun Mar 24, 2019 3:59 am

GFS and ECMWF to a certain degree have been relatively consistent at upper-level flow turning more meridional towards the end of the month into the beginning of April. Could see some increases in rain chances during that period and a good late season front. April may start a little bit on the chilly side if models continue in this direction.
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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Spring Continues

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Mar 25, 2019 6:19 pm

We should have a better idea as April comes closer. April has severe weather.

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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Spring Continues

Post by srainhoutx » Tue Mar 26, 2019 6:04 am

April is looking like it may start off rather chilly. The overnight guidance suggest low 40's possibly upper 30's are not out of the question for morning lows. There may be some over running clouds and showers around as April begins as well.
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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Spring Continues

Post by Cpv17 » Tue Mar 26, 2019 7:02 am

Man, the GFS is very wet! Crickets on the Euro.

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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Cool WX To Start. When Will Rain Return?

Post by Katdaddy » Mon Apr 01, 2019 4:46 am

A cold April morning across SE TX with temps in the upper 30s and 40s. Tuesday will be a beautiful day with lots of sun and high around 70F. Rain and thunderstorm chances increase Wednesday and Thursday. The upcoming weekend continues to look wet.
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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Cool WX To Start. When Will Rain Return?

Post by srainhoutx » Mon Apr 01, 2019 6:34 am

We dropped to 38F this morning in NW Harris County. If the clouds clear out, it could be a couple of degrees colder in the morning!
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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Cool WX To Start. When Will Rain Return?

Post by srainhoutx » Mon Apr 01, 2019 8:01 am

Monday morning weather briefing from Jeff:

Unusually strong cold front for early April has progressed well into the Gulf of Mexico this morning with a cold Canadian air mass in place over the region. BUSH IAH has fallen to 39 degrees this morning tying the record low from 1987.

A short wave in the westerly flow aloft is currently moving across TX, but a large layer of dry air below the cloud bearing level is preventing much more than an increase in clouds and a few showers from College Station to Huntsville. Clouds will continue to increase this afternoon with a few isolated showers over the area.

Southeast winds begin to return on Tuesday as the large Canadian surface high moves off to the east. A prolonged onshore flow will develop through the end of the week allowing moisture to gradually build. Models are noting a short wave for Thursday afternoon that may be able to work with the increasing moisture and result in a round of showers and thunderstorms. A few of the storms could be strong with hail being the main threat.

Area should see a break in any weather on Friday, before a fairly potent looking storm system approaches from the west this weekend. Moisture values really increase on Saturday with PWS rising over 1.5 inches and nearly to 1.80 inches Saturday evening. A sub-tropical jet stream structure will be in place with upper level winds showing decent looking divergence over the area by Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Upper trough ejects into TX and then begins to slow down some while taking on a slight negative tilt. All this points to high rain chances starting Saturday and likely lasting into Sunday morning. Strong and potentially severe thunderstorms also look possible along with heavy rainfall should the track of this system be maintained over the next few days.
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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Cool WX To Start. When Will Rain Return?

Post by jasons2k » Mon Apr 01, 2019 8:36 am

Mother Nature:

It’s springtime!!!!!!

April Fools!!!

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Re: APRIL 2019 -- Cool WX To Start. When Will Rain Return?

Post by Belmer » Mon Apr 01, 2019 1:20 pm

"No April Fool's joke here"... NWS Houston tweeted about several reports of sleet up near College Station.
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