March 2019: Strong Front/Rain Chance To End March
-
CrashTestDummy
- Posts: 187
- Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 3:44 pm
- Location: Pearland, Texas
- Contact:
Looking at 30.6-deg F here in northern Brazoria county. We covered the stuff that is really sensitive to the cold, and brought other stuff in, just in case the wind dropped lower than forecasted. But luckily, it stayed up. Hopefully things stayed mixed enough to protect the citrus blooms. We'll probably see by this weekend.
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas
"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."
Pearland, Texas
"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19615
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
833 AM CST TUE MAR 5 2019
...24 HOUR LOW TEMPERATURE REPORTS...
LOCATION TEMP TIME/DATE
...TEXAS...
...AUSTIN COUNTY...
8 ENE FAYETTEVILLE 26 F 0710 AM 03/05
SAN FELIPE 28 F 0712 AM 03/05
7 NE EAGLE LAKE 28 F 0710 AM 03/05
BELLVILLE 29 F 0725 AM 03/05
8 WNW SEALY 29 F 0620 AM 03/05
...BRAZORIA COUNTY...
2 E SWEENY 28 F 0620 AM 03/05
2 S BAILEY'S PRAIRIE 29 F 0630 AM 03/05
WEST COLUMBIA 29 F 0730 AM 03/05
ALVIN 30 F 0724 AM 03/05
8 SE NEEDVILLE 30 F 0710 AM 03/05
3 SW ALVIN 30 F 0700 AM 03/05
2 NE DANBURY 30 F 0625 AM 03/05
1 S WEST COLUMBIA 31 F 0739 AM 03/05
4 NW WEST COLUMBIA 31 F 0716 AM 03/05
6 SSE DANBURY 31 F 0628 AM 03/05
2 ENE FRESNO 31 F 0657 AM 03/05
BRAZORIA COUNTY AIRPORT 31 F 0653 AM 03/05
1 W BONNEY 32 F 0500 AM 03/05
1 ESE FREEPORT 32 F 0752 AM 03/05
1 NE QUINTANA 32 F 0730 AM 03/05
CLOVER FIELD AIRPORT 32 F 0753 AM 03/05
9 SW JONES CREEK 32 F 0729 AM 03/05
2 SSE HILLCREST 32 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 NW FREEPORT 34 F 0300 AM 03/05
WEST COLUMBIA 1 ESE 34 F 0800 AM 03/05
...BRAZOS COUNTY...
1 S COLLEGE STATION 24 F 0702 AM 03/05
4 WNW UP403 24 F 0605 AM 03/05
COULTER FLD AP 25 F 0715 AM 03/05
3 SSE COLLEGE STATION 25 F 0725 AM 03/05
UR089 25 F 0735 AM 03/05
EASTERWOOD FIELD AIRPORT 26 F 0653 AM 03/05
7 W BRYAN 27 F 0705 AM 03/05
2 ESE BRYAN 28 F 0723 AM 03/05
2 SSE BRYAN 29 F 0120 AM 03/05
3 NW NAVASOTA 31 F 0620 AM 03/05
...BURLESON COUNTY...
3 ENE CALDWELL 21 F 0315 AM 03/05
CALDWELL 24 F 0713 AM 03/05
4 NNE SNOOK 25 F 0658 AM 03/05
6 NE DIME BOX 25 F 0640 AM 03/05
4 NNW SOMERVILLE 28 F 0755 AM 03/05
...CHAMBERS COUNTY...
ANAHUAC 27 F 0719 AM 03/05
8 SSW STOWELL 29 F 0712 AM 03/05
1 WSW OLD RIVER-WINFREE 30 F 0733 AM 03/05
3 SSW MONT BELVIEU 31 F 0724 AM 03/05
...COLORADO COUNTY...
4 E WEIMAR 28 F 0731 AM 03/05
7 E ELLINGER 28 F 0725 AM 03/05
7 WSW COLUMBUS 28 F 0730 AM 03/05
10 ENE COLUMBUS 28 F 0715 AM 03/05
4 E WEIMAR 28 F 0610 AM 03/05
6 S WEIMAR 28 F 0710 AM 03/05
6 NE EAGLE LAKE 29 F 0635 AM 03/05
COLUMBUS 29 F 0710 AM 03/05
COLORADO RIVER AT GARWOOD 29 F 0600 AM 03/05
12 SW EAGLE LAKE 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
7 NW EAGLE LAKE 30 F 0640 AM 03/05
...FORT BEND COUNTY...
3 N BEASLEY 25 F 0730 AM 03/05
RICHMOND 26 F 0749 AM 03/05
3 W ROSENBERG 26 F 0605 AM 03/05
3 NW RICHMOND 27 F 0720 AM 03/05
3 SSE KATY 28 F 0719 AM 03/05
3 NE FULSHEAR 28 F 0719 AM 03/05
2 WNW FIRST COLONY 28 F 0715 AM 03/05
4 SE KATY 29 F 0734 AM 03/05
5 SSE KATY 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
5 W MISSION BEND 29 F 0716 AM 03/05
1 WNW ARCOLA 30 F 0555 AM 03/05
1 SE MISSOURI CITY 30 F 0753 AM 03/05
4 N PECAN GROVE 30 F 0745 AM 03/05
1 W STAFFORD 30 F 0703 AM 03/05
1 ENE STAFFORD 30 F 0710 AM 03/05
2 SE RICHMOND 30 F 0731 AM 03/05
4 WSW FIRST COLONY 30 F 0752 AM 03/05
1 NNW PECAN GROVE 30 F 0746 AM 03/05
8 SSE THOMPSONS 30 F 0724 AM 03/05
STAFFORD 31 F 0731 AM 03/05
2 SW ROSENBERG 31 F 0810 AM 03/05
SUGAR LAND MUN AP 31 F 0653 AM 03/05
FIRST COLONY 31 F 0739 AM 03/05
...GALVESTON COUNTY...
2 ENE HILLCREST 31 F 0721 AM 03/05
2 W LEAGUE CITY 31 F 0718 AM 03/05
2 SW KEMAH 31 F 0734 AM 03/05
2 WSW SANTA FE 31 F 0735 AM 03/05
LA MARQUE 31 F 0646 AM 03/05
FRIENDSWOOD 31 F 0749 AM 03/05
1 SSE TEXAS CITY 31 F 0750 AM 03/05
2 E LA MARQUE 31 F 0727 AM 03/05
NWS HGX - LEAGUE CITY, TX 31 F 0600 AM 03/05
1 E NASSAU BAY 32 F 0646 AM 03/05
1 NNE LEAGUE CITY 32 F 0746 AM 03/05
1 WSW CLEAR LAKE SHORES 32 F 0739 AM 03/05
1 NE LEAGUE CITY 32 F 0710 AM 03/05
2 N BAYOU VISTA 32 F 0715 AM 03/05
1 SE WEBSTER 32 F 0635 AM 03/05
SANTA FE 33 F 0740 AM 03/05
1 NW SAN LEON 33 F 0816 AM 03/05
1 W KEMAH 33 F 0744 AM 03/05
2 W LEAGUE CITY 33 F 0750 AM 03/05
SCHOLES INTL AT GALVESTON 35 F 0652 AM 03/05
...GRIMES COUNTY...
NAVASOTA 25 F 0725 AM 03/05
8 SE NAVASOTA 26 F 0701 AM 03/05
3 NNW TODD MISSION 29 F 0730 AM 03/05
...HARRIS COUNTY...
SPRING 25 F 0720 AM 03/05
2 WNW BUNKER HILL VILLAGE 26 F 0716 AM 03/05
2 WNW SPRING 26 F 0740 AM 03/05
4 NNW ALDINE 26 F 0525 AM 03/05
1 E HILSHIRE VILLAGE 27 F 0709 AM 03/05
5 S TOMBALL 27 F 0701 AM 03/05
2 NNW WALLER 27 F 0637 AM 03/05
6 WSW JERSEY VILLAGE 27 F 0702 AM 03/05
2 E WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE 27 F 0720 AM 03/05
6 WSW SPRING 27 F 0635 AM 03/05
2 WSW KINGWOOD 27 F 0705 AM 03/05
3 W JACINTO CITY 27 F 0709 AM 03/05
2 WNW SPRING 27 F 0709 AM 03/05
5 NW JERSEY VILLAGE 28 F 0705 AM 03/05
9 WNW JERSEY VILLAGE 28 F 0712 AM 03/05
9 SSW STAGECOACH 28 F 0745 AM 03/05
9 ESE WALLER 28 F 0738 AM 03/05
3 NE JERSEY VILLAGE 28 F 0700 AM 03/05
3 NW HEDWIG VILLAGE 28 F 0744 AM 03/05
3 WSW BUNKER HILL VILLAGE 28 F 0709 AM 03/05
5 ESE SOUTHSIDE PLACE 28 F 0650 AM 03/05
2 NE HOUSTON 28 F 0719 AM 03/05
3 NE TOWN WEST 28 F 0655 AM 03/05
4 ESE HOUSTON 28 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 NE PEARLAND 28 F 0750 AM 03/05
1 SSE PINEY POINT VILLAGE 28 F 0719 AM 03/05
4 ENE KATY 28 F 0729 AM 03/05
3 NE SOUTH HOUSTON 28 F 0730 AM 03/05
4 W SPRING 28 F 0749 AM 03/05
3 SSE TOMBALL 28 F 0739 AM 03/05
1 NNW DEER PARK 28 F 0600 AM 03/05
WEBSTER 28 F 0725 AM 03/05
7 N JERSEY VILLAGE 29 F 0719 AM 03/05
5 NW MISSION BEND 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
3 WNW CROSBY 29 F 0701 AM 03/05
9 WNW JERSEY VILLAGE 29 F 0735 AM 03/05
5 WNW JERSEY VILLAGE 29 F 0719 AM 03/05
5 W JERSEY VILLAGE 29 F 0754 AM 03/05
9 SW TOMBALL 29 F 0717 AM 03/05
7 WSW JERSEY VILLAGE 29 F 0716 AM 03/05
6 WSW JERSEY VILLAGE 29 F 0708 AM 03/05
1 NW TOMBALL 29 F 0504 AM 03/05
DEER PARK 29 F 0745 AM 03/05
DAVID WAYNE HOOKS MEMORIAL A 29 F 0653 AM 03/05
6 W SPRING 29 F 0712 AM 03/05
4 WSW THE WOODLANDS 29 F 0730 AM 03/05
7 S TOMBALL 29 F 0746 AM 03/05
1 SSE SOUTHSIDE PLACE 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
1 E WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE 29 F 0709 AM 03/05
4 SSE ALDINE 29 F 0724 AM 03/05
2 NE MEADOWS 29 F 0720 AM 03/05
1 SE HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE 29 F 0740 AM 03/05
1 ESE HOUSTON 29 F 0804 AM 03/05
HILSHIRE VILLAGE 29 F 0754 AM 03/05
4 S ALDINE 29 F 0720 AM 03/05
1 N CLOVERLEAF 29 F 0649 AM 03/05
HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE 29 F 0725 AM 03/05
5 N FRESNO 29 F 0719 AM 03/05
3 SW GALENA PARK 29 F 0720 AM 03/05
4 NNW HOUSTON 29 F 0725 AM 03/05
2 SE HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE 29 F 0654 AM 03/05
1 NNW HILSHIRE VILLAGE 29 F 0704 AM 03/05
1 N WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE 29 F 0649 AM 03/05
3 E HOUSTON 29 F 0754 AM 03/05
PINEY POINT VILLAGE 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 NE SOUTH HOUSTON 29 F 0725 AM 03/05
2 NNW PASADENA 29 F 0725 AM 03/05
2 NNE SOUTH HOUSTON 29 F 0730 AM 03/05
EL LAGO 29 F 0750 AM 03/05
2 S BELLAIRE 29 F 0729 AM 03/05
2 SE HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE 29 F 0720 AM 03/05
TOMBALL 29 F 0744 AM 03/05
HOUSTON 29 F 0710 AM 03/05
4 SSW HUMBLE 29 F 0605 AM 03/05
3 W BUNKER HILL VILLAGE 29 F 0720 AM 03/05
4 WSW JERSEY VILLAGE 30 F 0716 AM 03/05
2 NNW HEDWIG VILLAGE 30 F 0731 AM 03/05
5 NW SHELDON 30 F 0740 AM 03/05
2 S HOUSTON 30 F 0739 AM 03/05
1 WNW SPRING 30 F 0743 AM 03/05
1 NE HOUSTON 30 F 0717 AM 03/05
1 NNE HOUSTON 30 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 NNE FRIENDSWOOD 30 F 0746 AM 03/05
3 WSW SPRING 30 F 0724 AM 03/05
SPRING VALLEY 30 F 0730 AM 03/05
1 SE PASADENA 30 F 0721 AM 03/05
2 NW HOUSTON 30 F 0720 AM 03/05
4 W SOUTH HOUSTON 30 F 0724 AM 03/05
4 NNE FRESNO 30 F 0800 AM 03/05
TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE 30 F 0750 AM 03/05
1 NNW HOUSTON 30 F 0800 AM 03/05
4 NE HILSHIRE VILLAGE 30 F 0654 AM 03/05
1 SE SOUTHSIDE PLACE 30 F 0719 AM 03/05
SOUTHSIDE PLACE 30 F 0715 AM 03/05
HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL 30 F 0653 AM 03/05
7 SW JERSEY VILLAGE 30 F 0805 AM 03/05
2 E WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE 30 F 0735 AM 03/05
2 ESE PASADENA 30 F 0630 AM 03/05
3 WSW JACINTO CITY 30 F 0705 AM 03/05
4 NE ALDINE 30 F 0700 AM 03/05
WEBSTER 31 F 0746 AM 03/05
BELLAIRE 31 F 0719 AM 03/05
3 WNW TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE 31 F 0739 AM 03/05
1 ENE WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE 31 F 0746 AM 03/05
NASSAU BAY 31 F 0801 AM 03/05
3 ENE PEARLAND 31 F 0731 AM 03/05
1 SSW PINEY POINT VILLAGE 31 F 0644 AM 03/05
3 NW WEBSTER 31 F 0746 AM 03/05
WEBSTER 31 F 0731 AM 03/05
BELLAIRE 31 F 0746 AM 03/05
WILLIAM P HOBBY AIRPORT 31 F 0653 AM 03/05
2 NNE HOUSTON 31 F 0729 AM 03/05
1 N BELLAIRE 31 F 0645 AM 03/05
2 ESE HOUSTON 31 F 0720 AM 03/05
5 N HILSHIRE VILLAGE 31 F 0704 AM 03/05
1 SE LA PORTE 31 F 0739 AM 03/05
1 ENE MORGAN'S POINT 31 F 0748 AM 03/05
1 WNW JERSEY VILLAGE 31 F 0700 AM 03/05
3 NNW NASSAU BAY 32 F 0730 AM 03/05
2 NNW WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE 32 F 0824 AM 03/05
2 W BELLAIRE 32 F 0646 AM 03/05
TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE 32 F 0800 AM 03/05
PINEY POINT VILLAGE 32 F 0743 AM 03/05
5 SE HUMBLE 32 F 0735 AM 03/05
10 SSW STAGECOACH 32 F 0625 AM 03/05
1 SW TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE 32 F 0552 AM 03/05
...HOUSTON COUNTY...
9 W CROCKETT 23 F 0715 AM 03/05
1 S LATEXO 23 F 0520 AM 03/05
3 NE KENNARD 24 F 0702 AM 03/05
CROCKETT 25 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 NNW LOVELADY 28 F 0710 AM 03/05
...JACKSON COUNTY...
9 SE INEZ 29 F 0625 AM 03/05
4 SSE EDNA 30 F 0710 AM 03/05
7 E LA WARD 30 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 W LA WARD 30 F 0735 AM 03/05
7 S GANADO 31 F 0736 AM 03/05
6 WSW LA WARD 31 F 0728 AM 03/05
EDNA 31 F 0707 AM 03/05
9 W LA WARD 31 F 0717 AM 03/05
GANADO 31 F 0807 AM 03/05
5 S LA WARD 31 F 0719 AM 03/05
LA WARD 31 F 0716 AM 03/05
...LIBERTY COUNTY...
5 SW DAYTON 27 F 0520 AM 03/05
3 NE SPLENDORA 28 F 0720 AM 03/05
1 NNW LIBERTY 28 F 0724 AM 03/05
4 ENE CLEVELAND 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
4 NW DAYTON 29 F 0622 AM 03/05
4 E DEVERS 29 F 0515 AM 03/05
KENEFICK 31 F 0505 AM 03/05
4 W DEVERS 31 F 0705 AM 03/05
HARDIN 32 F 0600 AM 03/05
...MADISON COUNTY...
MADISONVILLE 24 F 0730 AM 03/05
7 S NORMANGEE 24 F 0715 AM 03/05
5 ENE MADISONVILLE 25 F 0711 AM 03/05
8 SW MADISONVILLE 25 F 0705 AM 03/05
...MATAGORDA COUNTY...
10 NNW PALACIOS 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
9 W MARKHAM 30 F 0655 AM 03/05
BAY CITY 31 F 0715 AM 03/05
14 S SWEENY 31 F 0726 AM 03/05
5 WSW SWEENY 31 F 0630 AM 03/05
2 W BAY CITY 32 F 0740 AM 03/05
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 32 F 0653 AM 03/05
4 SE MARKHAM 34 F 0525 AM 03/05
...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
3 NW WOODLOCH 25 F 0715 AM 03/05
2 ENE MONTGOMERY 26 F 0748 AM 03/05
5 WNW WILLIS 27 F 0730 AM 03/05
MONTGOMERY COUNTY AIRPORT 27 F 0653 AM 03/05
5 N CUT AND SHOOT 27 F 0735 AM 03/05
2 W STAGECOACH 27 F 0800 AM 03/05
3 NNW TOMBALL 27 F 0330 AM 03/05
4 NNW SHENANDOAH 28 F 0703 AM 03/05
4 N TOMBALL 28 F 0740 AM 03/05
3 ENE PINEHURST 28 F 0730 AM 03/05
OAK RIDGE NORTH 29 F 0752 AM 03/05
3 E SPRING 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
5 W PANORAMA VILLAGE 29 F 0815 AM 03/05
3 WNW THE WOODLANDS 29 F 0730 AM 03/05
1 SE CHATEAU WOODS 29 F 0745 AM 03/05
OAK RIDGE NORTH 29 F 0736 AM 03/05
4 NW THE WOODLANDS 29 F 0749 AM 03/05
2 SSE OAK RIDGE NORTH 29 F 0440 AM 03/05
WILLIS 29 F 0515 AM 03/05
4 W WILLIS 30 F 0736 AM 03/05
4 NW THE WOODLANDS 30 F 0748 AM 03/05
2 NE SPRING 30 F 0745 AM 03/05
...POLK COUNTY...
CORRIGAN 29 F 0740 AM 03/05
4 NNE LIVINGSTON 29 F 0625 AM 03/05
...SAN JACINTO COUNTY...
5 SSE COLDSPRING 27 F 0702 AM 03/05
4 N COLDSPRING 31 F 0823 AM 03/05
3 NE COLDSPRING 32 F 0445 AM 03/05
...TRINITY COUNTY...
2 S TRINITY 29 F 0715 AM 03/05
...WALKER COUNTY...
4 N NEW WAVERLY 23 F 0635 AM 03/05
HUNTSVILLE 24 F 0635 AM 03/05
5 WNW HUNTSVILLE 25 F 0706 AM 03/05
HUNTSVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 26 F 0653 AM 03/05
5 W OAKHURST 27 F 0610 AM 03/05
...WALLER COUNTY...
8 N HEMPSTEAD 26 F 0730 AM 03/05
6 NNE PRAIRIE VIEW 27 F 0715 AM 03/05
6 W STAGECOACH 28 F 0724 AM 03/05
3 W KATY 28 F 0720 AM 03/05
4 ENE BROOKSHIRE 28 F 0715 AM 03/05
...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
BRENHAM 25 F 0700 AM 03/05
5 SE SOMERVILLE 26 F 0723 AM 03/05
6 ESE BURTON 26 F 0704 AM 03/05
4 NNE BURTON 26 F 0650 AM 03/05
BRENHAM 27 F 0655 AM 03/05
10 E BRENHAM 27 F 0715 AM 03/05
...WHARTON COUNTY...
8 SE EAGLE LAKE 27 F 0730 AM 03/05
5 W EAST BERNARD 28 F 0640 AM 03/05
WHARTON 29 F 0655 AM 03/05
EAST BERNARD 29 F 0711 AM 03/05
BOLING-IAGO 30 F 0733 AM 03/05
1 W DANEVANG 30 F 0700 AM 03/05
8 N GANADO 30 F 0700 AM 03/05
WHARTON 30 F 0725 AM 03/05
8 WSW BOLING-IAGO 31 F 0740 AM 03/05
1 NW EL CAMPO 31 F 0700 AM 03/05
6 W WHARTON 31 F 0800 AM 03/05
...MARITIME STATIONS...
1 ESE SAN LEON 33 F 0754 AM 03/05
3 NNE SAN LEON 33 F 0758 AM 03/05
17 ESE PALACIOS 33 F 0756 AM 03/05
1 E QUINTANA 33 F 0758 AM 03/05
13 E BAYOU VISTA 34 F 0748 AM 03/05
8 ESE MAGNOLIA BEACH 34 F 0754 AM 03/05
4 NNE GALVESTON 35 F 0816 AM 03/05
2 ENE GALVESTON 35 F 0730 AM 03/05
29 E GALVESTON 37 F 0740 AM 03/05
BRAZOS 451 37 F 0755 AM 03/05
29 E GALVESTON 39 F 0600 AM 03/05
25 ESE GALVESTON 42 F 0300 PM 03/04
71 S QUINTANA 45 F 0800 AM 03/05
OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURES. WE THANK ALL VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVERS
FOR THEIR DEDICATION. NOT ALL DATA LISTED ARE CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Just stepped out for lunch - that cold north wind is relentless!!
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19615
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Some of the guidance suggest areas N of I-10 may drop to freezing again tonight. HGX states that a Freeze Warning may be required.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19615
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
328 PM CST TUE MAR 5 2019
...FREEZE WARNING FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
.HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20'S NORTH OF A BRENHAM TO
CONROE TO CLEVELAND LINE AND TO AROUND 30 DEGREES SOUTH OF THIS
LINE.
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GRIMES-HOUSTON-
INLAND BRAZORIA-INLAND HARRIS-INLAND JACKSON-INLAND MATAGORDA-
MADISON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN LIBERTY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
SOUTHERN LIBERTY-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ALVIN, ANAHUAC, ANGLETON, BAY CITY,
BELLVILLE, BRENHAM, BROOKSHIRE, BRYAN, CALDWELL, CLEVELAND,
COLDSPRING, COLLEGE STATION, COLUMBUS, CONROE, CORRIGAN,
CROCKETT, DAYTON, DEVERS, EAGLE LAKE, EDNA, EL CAMPO,
FIRST COLONY, GANADO, GROVETON, HEMPSTEAD, HOUSTON, HUNTSVILLE,
LIBERTY, LIVINGSTON, MADISONVILLE, MISSION BEND, MISSOURI CITY,
MONT BELVIEU, NAVASOTA, OLD RIVER-WINFREE, PEARLAND, PECAN GROVE,
PRAIRIE VIEW, ROSENBERG, SEALY, SHEPHERD, SOMERVILLE, STOWELL,
SUGAR LAND, THE WOODLANDS, TRINITY, WALLER, WEIMAR, WHARTON,
AND WINNIE
328 PM CST TUE MAR 5 2019
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST WEDNESDAY.
* EVENT...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO BETWEEN 26 AND 32 DEGREES BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* TIMING...BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
328 PM CST TUE MAR 5 2019
...FREEZE WARNING FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
.HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES, LIGHT
WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20'S NORTH OF A BRENHAM TO
CONROE TO CLEVELAND LINE AND TO AROUND 30 DEGREES SOUTH OF THIS
LINE.
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GRIMES-HOUSTON-
INLAND BRAZORIA-INLAND HARRIS-INLAND JACKSON-INLAND MATAGORDA-
MADISON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN LIBERTY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
SOUTHERN LIBERTY-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ALVIN, ANAHUAC, ANGLETON, BAY CITY,
BELLVILLE, BRENHAM, BROOKSHIRE, BRYAN, CALDWELL, CLEVELAND,
COLDSPRING, COLLEGE STATION, COLUMBUS, CONROE, CORRIGAN,
CROCKETT, DAYTON, DEVERS, EAGLE LAKE, EDNA, EL CAMPO,
FIRST COLONY, GANADO, GROVETON, HEMPSTEAD, HOUSTON, HUNTSVILLE,
LIBERTY, LIVINGSTON, MADISONVILLE, MISSION BEND, MISSOURI CITY,
MONT BELVIEU, NAVASOTA, OLD RIVER-WINFREE, PEARLAND, PECAN GROVE,
PRAIRIE VIEW, ROSENBERG, SEALY, SHEPHERD, SOMERVILLE, STOWELL,
SUGAR LAND, THE WOODLANDS, TRINITY, WALLER, WEIMAR, WHARTON,
AND WINNIE
328 PM CST TUE MAR 5 2019
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST WEDNESDAY.
* EVENT...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO BETWEEN 26 AND 32 DEGREES BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* TIMING...BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
One the way home, there was one brave soul out on the basketball courts. One. The rest of us will be waiting for warmer weather.
I did get my run in. It wasn’t bad once I warmed-up. 42 here with a dew point of 25. We’ll see if we get one last freeze tonight and then hopefully we can declare spring is here!
I believe we still have a shot at seeing some mid to upper 30’s over the next 2 weeks.
Dang, it’s already down to 38. 35 a few streets over.
our area temps are sitting at 33 this morning - goodbye plant covers, may we not have to use them again til next season !
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/
Code: Select all
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
408 AM CST Wed Mar 6 2019
.DISCUSSION...
Freezing temperatures expected inland for one last night, but
we'll see a warmup through the rest of the week. The onshore flow
may also bring a return of some sea fog at the end of the week. A
front on Saturday will bring another chance of showers and
storms, and though the most significant activity will likely be to
our northeast, we'll have to keep an eye on potential for severe
weather and/or heavy rain. Though Sunday looks to be dry, an
active pattern continues, with at least low chances for showers in
place for much of the first half of next week.
.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
Temperatures across the region are falling to values well below
seasonal averages across Southeast Texas. Freezing temperatures
are being seen generally north of I-10 (though warmer in the
Houston heat island). But, with several hours to go, clear skies,
and light winds, suspect that the freeze warning is still in
pretty good shape. A little worried that a hard freeze may yet
emerge in Houston, Madison, and Trinity counties, but Crockett has
been holding at 27 degrees as of 9Z despite calm winds, which is a
bit reassuring.
Temperatures should bottom out shortly after sunrise, and though
temps right at freezing may be seen at the current expiration time
of the warning, they'll be quickly working their way upwards
under sunny skies. If temps are slower to come up in the far
north, may have to locally extend the freeze warning an hour or
so, but in general the timing should hold. After that, we'll look
for the return of warmer, more moist air as onshore flow
establishes itself through the day. This should help boost temps
into the 50s today, though I did shave highs down just a bit well
inland and on the upper coast, as those areas are on the wrong
side of the theta-e gradient late this afternoon.
.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Friday]...
As higher theta-e air shoves in on the onshore flow, we should see
our typical isentropic upglide become a factor, increasing clouds
overnight. This setup will likely keep temperatures from falling
very far overnight, setting us up for a big warmup Thursday with
even highs in the 70s creeping into the southwest part of the
area. Widespread 70s are expected for highs on Friday.
Though 850 flow is southwesterly and should keep things capped,
there looks to be enough moisture in place that there is at least
a chance of some drizzle or showers near the coast as early as
tonight. There looks to be a better chance of getting some light
showers tomorrow, but rainfall totals should be light - generally
less than a quarter inch through Friday. Guidance does suggest
some more instability as low level flow backs some in advance of
an upper trough coming off the Rockies, so some thunderstorms and
locally higher rainfall may be possible Friday afternoon.
.LONG TERM [Friday Night Through Wednesday]...
As the upper trough moves into the Great Plains, and lee
cyclogenesis occurs, I would generally expect rain chances to
increase through the night, albeit with a bit of a lull early in
the evening. While the guidance all shares this broad concept,
there are still frustrating differences in the specifics, and
their ramifications on Southeast Texas.
The GFS is the strongest with this trough, digging the upper
trough axis south of the Red River into Texas, and driving modest
midlevel height falls and a cold front to the Gulf Coast by
Saturday evening. Along the front, it should spark showers and
thunderstorms. 850 flow will still be generally southwesterly, and
for the southwestern portion of the area, would expect things to
remain capped. But as you creep to the northeast, potential for
showers and storms should increase. We're still far enough from
the best upper support and capping is enough of a question that I
think that even in this most aggressive scenario, we should avoid
a strong potential for severe weather and/or heavy rainfall.
The NAM and Euro are further north still with the whole setup,
and thus keeps us limited to what would most likely be a squeegee
line of showers and an isolated lightning strike. Though they
enter our area with a weakening front, it looks to largely
dissipate before reaching the coast. To account for the spread at
this time, I have relatively high PoPs in the north decreasing
toward the coast, and tone down the potential for thunder across
the area.
Beyond that, the increasing divergence in the guidance makes
specific scenarios difficult to spell out, particularly as there's
question as to how significant a cold front Saturday's event will
even bring us. Ultimately, the upper fields suggest continued
activity, so after a dry Sunday, I keep at least low PoPs in place
early next week. The thought is as we draw closer, we'll be able
to flesh out more specific periods where rainfall is most likely.
For now, Tuesday night/Wednesday morning looks best for another
front and higher rain potential, but want to avoid committing too
hard on that just yet, so have undercut the guidance on PoPs in
that period. Similarly, temperatures are also largely a blend of
the guidance, which suggests being a bit cooler to start the week,
but not particularly cold. If things trend towards the GFS, we
may have to cool things down...but if not, we may need to nudge
temps up slightly in the coming days.
&&
.AVIATION [06Z TAF Issuance]...
VFR conditions will prevail through the end of the TAF period.
High pressure across central TX will continue to produce N winds
at 10 knots or less overnight, becoming ESE to SE Wednesday
morning as the high pressure moves eastward. Ceilings are
expected to decrease Wednesday late afternoon/evening as low
level moisture increases over the area and a low pressure moves
across western Gulf waters. Passing showers can be expected
Wednesday night through Thursday. 24
&&
.MARINE...
Northeast winds early this morning will turn to the east
today and then to the southeast tonight as high pressure
moves off to the east. The gradient tightens beginning
Thursday night or Friday as pressures begin to fall in/
around the Texas Panhandle area, and this will likely
bring caution and/or advisory level south winds and
rising seas back to parts of our area for the end of the
week and into the start of the weekend. Still expecting
to have sea fog (some possibly dense) return to the region
beginning Thursday afternoon or Thursday night and it
could persist into Saturday night or early Sunday morning.
Rain chances that come back into the forecast beginning
tonight are currently expected to peak on Saturday with
the passage of our next cold front. East winds at the end
of the weekend and on into the start of next week will
become southeast and gradually strengthen through Tuesday
(look for rising seas too resulting in caution and/or
advisory flags). Another cold front is currently expected
to move off the coast Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. 42
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 55 46 70 61 74 / 0 10 20 10 20
Houston (IAH) 55 48 70 63 75 / 0 20 40 20 50
Galveston (GLS) 56 56 69 64 72 / 0 20 40 20 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for the following
zones:
Austin...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers...Colorado...Fort
Bend...Grimes...Houston...Inland Brazoria...Inland
Harris...Inland Jackson...Inland
Matagorda...Madison...Montgomery...Northern
Liberty...Polk...San Jacinto...Southern
Liberty...Trinity...Walker...Waller...Washington...Wharton.
GM...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...Luchs
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM...Luchs
AVIATION...24
MARINE...42
Temperatures didn't get quite as cold as the previous night. Those north, northwest and northeast saw temperatures dip below freezing into the upper 20's. Closer to town here in Houston and south remained above freezing with temperatures at Bush staying 34 most of the night except at 4:53a the airport observed 33F.
Hobby never dropped below 36F.
This should be the last morning for a widespread freeze across the area climatologically speaking. Upper 30s still seem reasonable for a few more weeks, though.
EDIT TO ADD: As soon as I typed this up I refreshed the conditions at Bush which has now observed 32F at 6:20a.
Let the warm-up begin!
Hobby never dropped below 36F.
This should be the last morning for a widespread freeze across the area climatologically speaking. Upper 30s still seem reasonable for a few more weeks, though.
EDIT TO ADD: As soon as I typed this up I refreshed the conditions at Bush which has now observed 32F at 6:20a.
Let the warm-up begin!
Blake
Boomer Sooner
Boomer Sooner
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19615
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Enjoy the warm up! Looks like a fast progressive pattern and a return to rain, fog and unsettled weather as we head into Thursday and again Friday into Saturday. Folks across East/NE Texas and Western Louisiana need to pay close attention to Saturday as a strong storm system existing the Southern Rockies may bring a round of severe weather to those areas. Metro Houston looks OK for now, but areas NE and East of Downtown could see some rough severe storms. More on that later.
Early next week also looks stormy and wet as the next storm system exits the Southern Rockies. The 7 Day QPF charts continue to advertise a much wetter period. The early next week storm system may bring some severe weather closer to Central and SE Texas as well.
- Attachments
-
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Got down to 28.8 here (yesterday was 28.7). I hope this is it until next season...
-
redneckweather
- Posts: 1022
- Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:29 pm
- Location: Montgomery, Texas
- Contact:
27 here at my house for the second morning in row west of Conroe near the dam.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 4471
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
000
FXUS64 KHGX 061158
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
558 AM CST Wed Mar 6 2019
.AVIATION...
As winds come around to the east and southeast, cloud coverage
will be on the increase with lowering decks developing tonight.
Some light rain/drizzle/showers expected to develop overnight too
and should spread across the area tomorrow when MVFR and possible
IFR conditions can be expected. 42
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CST Wed Mar 6 2019/
DISCUSSION...
Freezing temperatures expected inland for one last night, but
we`ll see a warmup through the rest of the week. The onshore flow
may also bring a return of some sea fog at the end of the week. A
front on Saturday will bring another chance of showers and
storms, and though the most significant activity will likely be to
our northeast, we`ll have to keep an eye on potential for severe
weather and/or heavy rain. Though Sunday looks to be dry, an
active pattern continues, with at least low chances for showers in
place for much of the first half of next week.
NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
Temperatures across the region are falling to values well below
seasonal averages across Southeast Texas. Freezing temperatures
are being seen generally north of I-10 (though warmer in the
Houston heat island). But, with several hours to go, clear skies,
and light winds, suspect that the freeze warning is still in
pretty good shape. A little worried that a hard freeze may yet
emerge in Houston, Madison, and Trinity counties, but Crockett has
been holding at 27 degrees as of 9Z despite calm winds, which is a
bit reassuring.
Temperatures should bottom out shortly after sunrise, and though
temps right at freezing may be seen at the current expiration time
of the warning, they`ll be quickly working their way upwards
under sunny skies. If temps are slower to come up in the far
north, may have to locally extend the freeze warning an hour or
so, but in general the timing should hold. After that, we`ll look
for the return of warmer, more moist air as onshore flow
establishes itself through the day. This should help boost temps
into the 50s today, though I did shave highs down just a bit well
inland and on the upper coast, as those areas are on the wrong
side of the theta-e gradient late this afternoon.
SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Friday]...
As higher theta-e air shoves in on the onshore flow, we should see
our typical isentropic upglide become a factor, increasing clouds
overnight. This setup will likely keep temperatures from falling
very far overnight, setting us up for a big warmup Thursday with
even highs in the 70s creeping into the southwest part of the
area. Widespread 70s are expected for highs on Friday.
Though 850 flow is southwesterly and should keep things capped,
there looks to be enough moisture in place that there is at least
a chance of some drizzle or showers near the coast as early as
tonight. There looks to be a better chance of getting some light
showers tomorrow, but rainfall totals should be light - generally
less than a quarter inch through Friday. Guidance does suggest
some more instability as low level flow backs some in advance of
an upper trough coming off the Rockies, so some thunderstorms and
locally higher rainfall may be possible Friday afternoon.
LONG TERM [Friday Night Through Wednesday]...
As the upper trough moves into the Great Plains, and lee
cyclogenesis occurs, I would generally expect rain chances to
increase through the night, albeit with a bit of a lull early in
the evening. While the guidance all shares this broad concept,
there are still frustrating differences in the specifics, and
their ramifications on Southeast Texas.
The GFS is the strongest with this trough, digging the upper
trough axis south of the Red River into Texas, and driving modest
midlevel height falls and a cold front to the Gulf Coast by
Saturday evening. Along the front, it should spark showers and
thunderstorms. 850 flow will still be generally southwesterly, and
for the southwestern portion of the area, would expect things to
remain capped. But as you creep to the northeast, potential for
showers and storms should increase. We`re still far enough from
the best upper support and capping is enough of a question that I
think that even in this most aggressive scenario, we should avoid
a strong potential for severe weather and/or heavy rainfall.
The NAM and Euro are further north still with the whole setup,
and thus keeps us limited to what would most likely be a squeegee
line of showers and an isolated lightning strike. Though they
enter our area with a weakening front, it looks to largely
dissipate before reaching the coast. To account for the spread at
this time, I have relatively high PoPs in the north decreasing
toward the coast, and tone down the potential for thunder across
the area.
Beyond that, the increasing divergence in the guidance makes
specific scenarios difficult to spell out, particularly as there`s
question as to how significant a cold front Saturday`s event will
even bring us. Ultimately, the upper fields suggest continued
activity, so after a dry Sunday, I keep at least low PoPs in place
early next week. The thought is as we draw closer, we`ll be able
to flesh out more specific periods where rainfall is most likely.
For now, Tuesday night/Wednesday morning looks best for another
front and higher rain potential, but want to avoid committing too
hard on that just yet, so have undercut the guidance on PoPs in
that period. Similarly, temperatures are also largely a blend of
the guidance, which suggests being a bit cooler to start the week,
but not particularly cold. If things trend towards the GFS, we
may have to cool things down...but if not, we may need to nudge
temps up slightly in the coming days.
MARINE...
Northeast winds early this morning will turn to the east
today and then to the southeast tonight as high pressure
moves off to the east. The gradient tightens beginning
Thursday night or Friday as pressures begin to fall in/
around the Texas Panhandle area, and this will likely
bring caution and/or advisory level south winds and
rising seas back to parts of our area for the end of the
week and into the start of the weekend. Still expecting
to have sea fog (some possibly dense) return to the region
beginning Thursday afternoon or Thursday night and it
could persist into Saturday night or early Sunday morning.
Rain chances that come back into the forecast beginning
tonight are currently expected to peak on Saturday with
the passage of our next cold front. East winds at the end
of the weekend and on into the start of next week will
become southeast and gradually strengthen through Tuesday
(look for rising seas too resulting in caution and/or
advisory flags). Another cold front is currently expected
to move off the coast Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. 42
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 55 46 70 61 74 / 0 10 20 10 20
Houston (IAH) 55 48 70 63 75 / 0 20 40 20 50
Galveston (GLS) 56 56 69 64 72 / 0 20 40 20 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for the following
zones: Austin...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers...Colorado...
Fort Bend...Grimes...Houston...Inland Brazoria...Inland
Harris...Inland Jackson...Inland Matagorda...Madison...
Montgomery...Northern Liberty...Polk...San Jacinto...
Southern Liberty...Trinity...Walker...Waller...Washington...
Wharton.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
FXUS64 KHGX 061158
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
558 AM CST Wed Mar 6 2019
.AVIATION...
As winds come around to the east and southeast, cloud coverage
will be on the increase with lowering decks developing tonight.
Some light rain/drizzle/showers expected to develop overnight too
and should spread across the area tomorrow when MVFR and possible
IFR conditions can be expected. 42
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CST Wed Mar 6 2019/
DISCUSSION...
Freezing temperatures expected inland for one last night, but
we`ll see a warmup through the rest of the week. The onshore flow
may also bring a return of some sea fog at the end of the week. A
front on Saturday will bring another chance of showers and
storms, and though the most significant activity will likely be to
our northeast, we`ll have to keep an eye on potential for severe
weather and/or heavy rain. Though Sunday looks to be dry, an
active pattern continues, with at least low chances for showers in
place for much of the first half of next week.
NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
Temperatures across the region are falling to values well below
seasonal averages across Southeast Texas. Freezing temperatures
are being seen generally north of I-10 (though warmer in the
Houston heat island). But, with several hours to go, clear skies,
and light winds, suspect that the freeze warning is still in
pretty good shape. A little worried that a hard freeze may yet
emerge in Houston, Madison, and Trinity counties, but Crockett has
been holding at 27 degrees as of 9Z despite calm winds, which is a
bit reassuring.
Temperatures should bottom out shortly after sunrise, and though
temps right at freezing may be seen at the current expiration time
of the warning, they`ll be quickly working their way upwards
under sunny skies. If temps are slower to come up in the far
north, may have to locally extend the freeze warning an hour or
so, but in general the timing should hold. After that, we`ll look
for the return of warmer, more moist air as onshore flow
establishes itself through the day. This should help boost temps
into the 50s today, though I did shave highs down just a bit well
inland and on the upper coast, as those areas are on the wrong
side of the theta-e gradient late this afternoon.
SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Friday]...
As higher theta-e air shoves in on the onshore flow, we should see
our typical isentropic upglide become a factor, increasing clouds
overnight. This setup will likely keep temperatures from falling
very far overnight, setting us up for a big warmup Thursday with
even highs in the 70s creeping into the southwest part of the
area. Widespread 70s are expected for highs on Friday.
Though 850 flow is southwesterly and should keep things capped,
there looks to be enough moisture in place that there is at least
a chance of some drizzle or showers near the coast as early as
tonight. There looks to be a better chance of getting some light
showers tomorrow, but rainfall totals should be light - generally
less than a quarter inch through Friday. Guidance does suggest
some more instability as low level flow backs some in advance of
an upper trough coming off the Rockies, so some thunderstorms and
locally higher rainfall may be possible Friday afternoon.
LONG TERM [Friday Night Through Wednesday]...
As the upper trough moves into the Great Plains, and lee
cyclogenesis occurs, I would generally expect rain chances to
increase through the night, albeit with a bit of a lull early in
the evening. While the guidance all shares this broad concept,
there are still frustrating differences in the specifics, and
their ramifications on Southeast Texas.
The GFS is the strongest with this trough, digging the upper
trough axis south of the Red River into Texas, and driving modest
midlevel height falls and a cold front to the Gulf Coast by
Saturday evening. Along the front, it should spark showers and
thunderstorms. 850 flow will still be generally southwesterly, and
for the southwestern portion of the area, would expect things to
remain capped. But as you creep to the northeast, potential for
showers and storms should increase. We`re still far enough from
the best upper support and capping is enough of a question that I
think that even in this most aggressive scenario, we should avoid
a strong potential for severe weather and/or heavy rainfall.
The NAM and Euro are further north still with the whole setup,
and thus keeps us limited to what would most likely be a squeegee
line of showers and an isolated lightning strike. Though they
enter our area with a weakening front, it looks to largely
dissipate before reaching the coast. To account for the spread at
this time, I have relatively high PoPs in the north decreasing
toward the coast, and tone down the potential for thunder across
the area.
Beyond that, the increasing divergence in the guidance makes
specific scenarios difficult to spell out, particularly as there`s
question as to how significant a cold front Saturday`s event will
even bring us. Ultimately, the upper fields suggest continued
activity, so after a dry Sunday, I keep at least low PoPs in place
early next week. The thought is as we draw closer, we`ll be able
to flesh out more specific periods where rainfall is most likely.
For now, Tuesday night/Wednesday morning looks best for another
front and higher rain potential, but want to avoid committing too
hard on that just yet, so have undercut the guidance on PoPs in
that period. Similarly, temperatures are also largely a blend of
the guidance, which suggests being a bit cooler to start the week,
but not particularly cold. If things trend towards the GFS, we
may have to cool things down...but if not, we may need to nudge
temps up slightly in the coming days.
MARINE...
Northeast winds early this morning will turn to the east
today and then to the southeast tonight as high pressure
moves off to the east. The gradient tightens beginning
Thursday night or Friday as pressures begin to fall in/
around the Texas Panhandle area, and this will likely
bring caution and/or advisory level south winds and
rising seas back to parts of our area for the end of the
week and into the start of the weekend. Still expecting
to have sea fog (some possibly dense) return to the region
beginning Thursday afternoon or Thursday night and it
could persist into Saturday night or early Sunday morning.
Rain chances that come back into the forecast beginning
tonight are currently expected to peak on Saturday with
the passage of our next cold front. East winds at the end
of the weekend and on into the start of next week will
become southeast and gradually strengthen through Tuesday
(look for rising seas too resulting in caution and/or
advisory flags). Another cold front is currently expected
to move off the coast Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. 42
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 55 46 70 61 74 / 0 10 20 10 20
Houston (IAH) 55 48 70 63 75 / 0 20 40 20 50
Galveston (GLS) 56 56 69 64 72 / 0 20 40 20 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for the following
zones: Austin...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers...Colorado...
Fort Bend...Grimes...Houston...Inland Brazoria...Inland
Harris...Inland Jackson...Inland Matagorda...Madison...
Montgomery...Northern Liberty...Polk...San Jacinto...
Southern Liberty...Trinity...Walker...Waller...Washington...
Wharton.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
I for one am happy to see the sun. It's been far too cloudy and miserable for the last month or so. Gotta love or hate that noisy sub-tropical jet!!!
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
Doesn’t look too favorable for areas south of 10.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Wed Mar 06, 2019 7:01 am Enjoy the warm up! Looks like a fast progressive pattern and a return to rain, fog and unsettled weather as we head into Thursday and again Friday into Saturday. Folks across East/NE Texas and Western Louisiana need to pay close attention to Saturday as a strong storm system existing the Southern Rockies may bring a round of severe weather to those areas. Metro Houston looks OK for now, but areas NE and East of Downtown could see some rough severe storms. More on that later.
03062019 SPC Day 4 day4prob.gif
Early next week also looks stormy and wet as the next storm system exits the Southern Rockies. The 7 Day QPF charts continue to advertise a much wetter period. The early next week storm system may bring some severe weather closer to Central and SE Texas as well.
As time gets closer, details will become a little bit more clear regarding next week's storm potential. But next Tuesday/Wednesday is looking worrisome for much of TX as a strong cutoff upper-level low digs in the Baja region advancing eastward. This will set up a sharp dry line out in west TX interacting with near 70F dew points along the TX coast and mid 60s for central and east TX. Look for our first quasi-linear convective system (QLCS) to develop. These are fairly common around here in the Spring and this looks to be our first one coming up... a potent one at that.
Something to keep in mind for those who have any Spring Break plans next week.
Something to keep in mind for those who have any Spring Break plans next week.
Blake
Boomer Sooner
Boomer Sooner