January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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mcheer23 wrote: Mon Jan 28, 2019 11:48 am
jasons wrote: Mon Jan 28, 2019 11:32 am What’s the exact timing on the rain this evening? Our first baseball practice of the season is scheduled for 7:30. Trying to figure out if we need to reschedule...
Starting north of I-10 around 6pm.
South of I-10 around 8pm
Galveston around 9pm
Thank you!!
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 281754
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1154 AM CST Mon Jan 28 2019

.AVIATION...
Southeastern Texas is within that 12 hour window of experiencing
a cold frontal passage. This overnight boundary passage will
produce periods of showers with gusty winds. The lowest ceilings
will likely stick in the MVFR category and occur from around
midnight through the pre-dawn hours. The tight offshore post-
frontal pressure gradient in association with cold air advection
will create 8 to 12 hours of strong north winds with frequent
gusts...more pronounced winds persisting into the afternoon hours
along the immediate coastline. 31

&&
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jasons2k
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72f outside right now. Not bad for January - I’ll take it!

Reading the afternoon AFD (it came early), we may not even get a freeze from this week’s front. Wouldn’t that be something considering what they have up north?
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wxman57
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I see Brooks Garner tweeting about an "Arctic Blast" arriving tomorrow. I don't know, but lows in the mid to upper 30s doesn't seem like Arctic air, to me. It's only about 8 deg below normal. The Midwest is seeing the Arctic blast, where temps may drop below -30F. Upper 30s to upper 40s is an average winter cold front for Houston. Big warm-up starting Friday - 70s and maybe close to 80 degrees.
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wxman57 wrote: Mon Jan 28, 2019 3:47 pm I see Brooks Garner tweeting about an "Arctic Blast" arriving tomorrow. I don't know, but lows in the mid to upper 30s doesn't seem like Arctic air, to me. It's only about 8 deg below normal. The Midwest is seeing the Arctic blast, where temps may drop below -30F. Upper 30s to upper 40s is an average winter cold front for Houston. Big warm-up starting Friday - 70s and maybe close to 80 degrees.
I mean the cold air is coming from the artic and even though it is a glancing blow, highs will struggle to get out of the 40s. The main thing that is keeping temperatures from being in the 20s for lows is cloud cover and timing of the front. I would still call it an artic blast even if it isn't a direct hit.
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To cover the plants or not to cover the plants? That is the question.
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BlueJay wrote: Mon Jan 28, 2019 4:11 pm To cover the plants or not to cover the plants? That is the question.
You probably will be good unless you are the far northern parts of SE Texas where temperatures could get below freezing for a couple hours.
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jasons2k
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Looks like the rain will hold off until after practice...
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Andrew wrote: Mon Jan 28, 2019 4:29 pm
BlueJay wrote: Mon Jan 28, 2019 4:11 pm To cover the plants or not to cover the plants? That is the question.
You probably will be good unless you are the far northern parts of SE Texas where temperatures could get below freezing for a couple hours.
Thank you Andrew!
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jasons2k
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NWS has me at 34 tonight and 33 tomorrow night. Wxunderground App shows 34 both nights.
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I don’t think Weather Bug for my area got the memo...70% chance of SNOW! 😂😂😂😂
:ugeek: CRASHWX :ugeek:
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Coldest air is lagging behind just enough to keep lows in the upper 30s instead of the mid to lower 30s. Looks like a cold day with highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s with lows tomorrow morning back in the 30s.
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The strong cold front arrived late last night. Breezy N winds today with highs near 50. After a cold night with lows mostly in the mid 30s; a warming trend begins. Highs will reach 70F by Friday and low 70s for the weekend. Chances for rain and showers ahead from Thursday through the weekend and into next week. 31 days until the first day of Spring 2019.
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snowman65
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I don't know if I've ever seen as many long range models that didn't verify or even really come close as I have this winter.
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srainhoutx
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Just dropped to 35F in NW Harris County. That wind is COLD!!
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jasons2k
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Dropped to 35 here as well with a dew point of 23. My forecast low for tonight was raised to 36, but I may opt to cover the plants tonight just in case there aren’t any surprises. Any time the dew point gets that low, you have to be careful.
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jasons wrote: Tue Jan 29, 2019 7:42 am Dropped to 35 here as well with a dew point of 23. My forecast low for tonight was raised to 36, but I may opt to cover the plants tonight just in case there aren’t any surprises. Any time the dew point gets that low, you have to be careful.
Yea, I think they are banking on clouds moving in. I see you mention your plants like in every post so I definitely would cover them just in case.
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jasons2k
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Forecast low was knocked back down to 35F. Will be watching the trends today very carefully. Will probably cover the plants just to be safe...there is also frost to worry about.

Edit - just stepped outside to grab lunch. It is cold out there, especially with the wind. I hope this is the last really cold day of the season.
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christinac2016
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Are there anymore fronts on the horizon?
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christinac2016 wrote: Tue Jan 29, 2019 1:40 pm Are there anymore fronts on the horizon?
Possibly around Thursday of next week.
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