December 2018: Mid Week Rain/Christmas Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
mcheer23
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by mcheer23 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 10:35 am

don wrote:
Thu Dec 06, 2018 10:19 am
12z GFS and 12z CMC have both shifted the axis of heaviest rain closer to the 59 corridor which would put more of the metro area in risk of flash flooding.

Yup very concerning.. need to stay weather aware tomorrow. If you have any plans tomorrow night....I'd reconsider.

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Thu Dec 06, 2018 11:23 am

High temp forecast is gonna bust big time in Magnolia today. I’m out here at the railroad depot on 1774 for 41s procession and it is chilly. Rain is moving in too.
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snowman65
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by snowman65 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:05 pm

Our local high school has a football playoff game in Porter, Tx tomorrow and they have not cancelled or moved it as of yet....crazy.

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tireman4
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by tireman4 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:13 pm

Houston Flash Flood Threat
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NWS Houston Flash Flood Threat 12 06 18.PNG

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tireman4
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by tireman4 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:14 pm

Difference between Flash Flood Watch and Warning..
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tireman4
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by tireman4 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:15 pm

Jeff advises, via Twitter, to bookmark these sites...
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tireman4
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by tireman4 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:16 pm

Houston Flash Flood Watch....
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Flash Flood Watch 12 06 18.PNG

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tireman4
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by tireman4 » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:50 pm

snowman65 wrote:
Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:05 pm
Our local high school has a football playoff game in Porter, Tx tomorrow and they have not cancelled or moved it as of yet....crazy.
Yes, West Orange Stark is still playing outside...as of now...
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Andrew
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by Andrew » Thu Dec 06, 2018 1:10 pm

The biggest thing we need to watch for with flooding tomorrow is the location of the early to late afternoon activity. GFS has a shortwave in the midlevels rotating through Southeast Texas during that time, focusing some of the heavier precipitation in this region. If that happens that is where you really could run into some flooding issues especially with the main line of storms coming through shortly later overnight. If we can escape the early afternoon training, the line of storms overnight will likely move through quickly enough that street flooding will be the biggest cause of concern (assuming we don't have any training ahead of the line). Unfortunately, as many of our heavy rain events go, we will have to wait until the radar lights up to know exactly where that heaviest rainfall threat exists.
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Re: December 2018: Friday/Saturday Heavy Rainfall Potential

Post by stormlover » Thu Dec 06, 2018 1:21 pm

What is euro showing

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