December 2018: Sunshine Returns New Years Eve
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Many indices I have seen and read about across the Interwebs say the Arctic will return soon...
- srainhoutx
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I am seeing indications in the longer range ensembles suggesting some very chilly air arrives around December 5th/6th. The progressive zonal flow that we have been experiencing looks to be replaced by a very deep trough across much of the Nation. We also need to monitor this weekend as December begins as a storm system organizes and brined a potential of strong to possibly some severe storms across portions of the Lone Star State.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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Site looks good!!
- Texaspirate11
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Woohooooooo!!!
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Glad everyone enjoys it so far. Now we can have some great weather discussion and keep our fingers crossed for some December winter weather!
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Dec 1st & overnight low in the 70s, but lows in the 30s forecast for Mon & Tue night - more weather whiplash !
Code: Select all
261
FXUS64 KHGX 010937
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
337 AM CST Sat Dec 1 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Sct shra and a few elevated tstms along the dryline/front will
continue to sag southeastward and off the coast in the next
several hours. Drier airmass will filter in behind with clearing
skies and fog dissipation following in its wake. A warm start to
the day combined with msunny skies & a dry airmass should lead to
high temperatures well above normal today. That same setup should
allow for readings to drop fairly quickly after sunset.
Not many changes were made to the ongoing forecast package as
overall forecast pattern and thinking remains about the same.
Look for another front to move across the area on Monday. It
should be moisture starved so am not expecting much in the way of
precip with it. High pressure building in its wake will lead to
mclr, dry and cool wx thru Wed-Thurs.
The next storm system is expected to approach from the west probably
sometime Friday. Medium range solutions are still indicating the
potential for some fairly impressive dynamics with this system and
will be something to keep an eye on next week. 47
&&
.MARINE...
Patchy dense sea fog will continue through these early morning hours
over the bays and nearshore waters but the arrival of a weak Pacific
cold front around mid morning will help to improve visibilities with
the influx of slightly cooler/drier air. Generally light to moderate
N/NW winds are expected this afternoon in the wake of this front and
could persist into tonight. A light/variable pattern is expected for
Sun as high pressure moves over the area. The next cold front is now
forecast to move off the coast early Mon, with the stronger (colder)
air not reaching the marine zones until early Mon afternoon. Caution
and/or Advisory flags will likely be required by mid/late Mon after-
noon on into Tue. East winds on Wed are then forecast to transition
to a strengthening S/SE flow by Thurs. We may have to watch for some
stormy weather late Fri ahead of the next cold front early Sat. 41
&&
.AVIATION...
The 12Z TAF package should see improving conditions from the NW with
the passage of the weak cold front across SE TX. However...out ahead
of this line, CIG/VIS restrictions will prevail. The strong cap over
the region is helping to keep activity along this front rather limit-
ed so far this morning...and will likely keep with VCSH unless/until
storms get close enough to a TAF site. VFR conditions should prevail
across the region by this afternoon and tonight. 41
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 77 49 74 47 59 / 0 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 80 52 79 49 65 / 0 0 0 10 0
Galveston (GLS) 77 60 76 58 66 / 10 0 0 10 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for the following
zones: Brazoria Islands...Galveston Island and Bolivar
Peninsula...Matagorda Islands.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for the following
zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to
Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 2 PM CST this
afternoon for the following zones: Coastal waters from
Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal
waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Waters
from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60
NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60
NM.
&&
$$
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