December 2018: Sunshine Returns New Years Eve
Well, if there is very cold air that's supposed to come down at the end of the month, and into January, it still hasn't shown up on the GFS. The latter part of each run is completely different and no arctic air..... *sigh*
- MontgomeryCoWx
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- Location: Weimar, TX
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FV3 GFS has chilly air and the indices point toward a below normal time period. The old GFS can’t make up its mind between chilly or seasonal.
Team #NeverSummer
- Katdaddy
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- Location: League City, Tx
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Showers and thunderstorms are expected during the early morning hours ahead of the upper level low. A few of the storms could become severe across along and E of I-45. Some brief heavy rain will also be possible but the storm motion will be rapid. The strong winds will be the highlight beginning tomorrow afternoon into Friday. Wind Advisories in effect for all but NE portions of SE TX with Gale Warnings for the coastal waters. Winds gusting 30-40MPH inland and possible up to 50MPH over the coastal waters. Again make sure your Christmas decorations are anchored. I would not like to see Snoopy blowing over the house but the Grinch maybe.
- Katdaddy
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- Location: League City, Tx
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
855 PM CST Wed Dec 12 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Showers with embedded thunderstorms are still expected to develop
by midnight and especially during the overnight hours and then spread
eastward through or shortly after sunrise. Overall strong/severe
threat looks to be on the low side (see SPC`s 654 PM Day 1 Convective
Outlook for more details). Current POP configuration looks to be
mostly on track. Cold front will move through the area during the
day tomorrow with increasing winds developing in its wake as the
pressure gradient tightens (Wind Advisory and Gale Warning will go
into effect tomorrow afternoon).
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
855 PM CST Wed Dec 12 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Showers with embedded thunderstorms are still expected to develop
by midnight and especially during the overnight hours and then spread
eastward through or shortly after sunrise. Overall strong/severe
threat looks to be on the low side (see SPC`s 654 PM Day 1 Convective
Outlook for more details). Current POP configuration looks to be
mostly on track. Cold front will move through the area during the
day tomorrow with increasing winds developing in its wake as the
pressure gradient tightens (Wind Advisory and Gale Warning will go
into effect tomorrow afternoon).
Latest HRRR has some pretty good storms coming through overnight. Some areas could easily pick up another inch of rain.
That HRRR is looking too slow.
- Katdaddy
- Global Moderator
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- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
- Location: League City, Tx
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Rain and thunderstorms E of I-45 moving away from the Houston-Galveston areas and into SW LA this morning. The front will move across SE TX this afternoon bringing strong gusty winds this evening and overnight especially along the coastal areas. The weekend weather is looking very nice with mostly sunny skies and highs the upper 50s and 60s and lows in the 40s.
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I'm going on record to say that this will be the most mundane/boring winter in many years. This will make colder weather haters happy.....lol
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2356
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
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You’ll be wrong. There’s nothing that suggests that in the long range pattern or weeklies.
And you clearly don’t remember 2015 and 2016 Winters which were terrible. 2008-2014 Winters were great for the most part.. I think this Winter will compare to 2009 and 2013 mainly because of the warm waters in NPac and help from a Weak to moderate Nino.
Team #NeverSummer
Sustained wind reports in the 40s in the panhandle - highest reported here at the moment is 48 mph in Happy, TX, south of Amarillo
WPC's Local Storm Reports: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/lsr ... autoreload
Amarillo weather conditions: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.p ... AMA&num=24
ZFW-Fort Worth ARTCC: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php?map=zfw
WPC's Local Storm Reports: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/lsr ... autoreload
Amarillo weather conditions: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.p ... AMA&num=24
ZFW-Fort Worth ARTCC: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php?map=zfw