NOVEMBER 2018: Thanksgiving Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Nov 14, 2018 8:49 pm

Katdaddy wrote:Ready for Spring and Summer 2019 however if Winter 2018-2019 brings some snow; I will enjoy and stay warm.
It already has once lol I believe a lot more will come. This setup is looking fantastic!

unome
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by unome » Thu Nov 15, 2018 6:14 am

Hooks hasn't reported since last night https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KDWH

https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap reads anywhere from 28 to 34 for my immediate area

cheapo patio thermometer reads 34, but it's on the house wall, which is likely warmer

I'm done with winter for now, bring back my sun & warming rays !

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snowman65
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by snowman65 » Thu Nov 15, 2018 6:40 am

Now that this big freeze event will be over today, when is the NEXT one?? That's all I want to know....lol....keep on bringin em....

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srainhoutx
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:42 am

The forecast for the very busy Thanksgiving travel period looks messy across the Texas Gulf Coast. While there remains some uncertainty this far out, the computer guidance does indicate a Coastal trough develops near Brownsville after the next cold front arrives Sunday. That trough appears to deepen Tuesday and into Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms developing and some potential for heavy rainfall depending on the actual track of a strong Coastal Low. Travel may be impacted particularly Wednesday into Thanksgiving Day and possibly extending into next Friday. We will be monitoring carefully as many of us have travel plans. Stay Tuned!
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jasons
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by jasons » Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:45 am

Saturday: Mostly Sunny and 70F. I can't wait!!!

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:55 am

December is starting to look very cold and stormy! We may be locking in an epic Winter in a couple weeks.

Long range has flipped to much Colder.
Team #NeverSummer

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srainhoutx
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:07 am

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:December is starting to look very cold and stormy! We may be locking in an epic Winter in a couple weeks.

Long range has flipped to much Colder.
The longer range guidance will be playing cat up with these new Updated Teleconnection Indices. Impressive Hemispheric Pattern developing as we end November and begin December. Siberia is running well below normal temperature wise for mid November. A massive Northern latitude blocking regime establishes a very negative NAO and AO. That positive PNA suggests a Western Ridge and a negative EPO delivers storms system at the higher latitudes up and over the Bering Sea/Western Alaska dumping cold air across the North Pole into North America. Above normal snowfall across the Northern Hemisphere also suggests less airmass modification as we roll forward in time.
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snowman65
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by snowman65 » Thu Nov 15, 2018 12:04 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:December is starting to look very cold and stormy! We may be locking in an epic Winter in a couple weeks.

Long range has flipped to much Colder.
I hope you're right!!

CrashTestDummy
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by CrashTestDummy » Thu Nov 15, 2018 12:54 pm

And I'm wishcasting that the models are wrong! We finally got a good crop of oranges and grapefruit this year. Praying we don't get a setback with freezing weather this fall/winter.
Gene Beaird,
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snowman65
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by snowman65 » Thu Nov 15, 2018 1:51 pm

The longer range guidance will be playing cat up with these new Updated Teleconnection Indices. Impressive Hemispheric Pattern developing as we end November and begin December. Siberia is running well below normal temperature wise for mid November. A massive Northern latitude blocking regime establishes a very negative NAO and AO. That positive PNA suggests a Western Ridge and a negative EPO delivers storms system at the higher latitudes up and over the Bering Sea/Western Alaska dumping cold air across the North Pole into North America. Above normal snowfall across the Northern Hemisphere also suggests less airmass modification as we roll forward in time.[/quote]

This is what I read: The longer range ndfgoijhdgh[ne[hoerhoh Novemebr and begin December. A massive i;apiohvihvfqhphnpuihafguiomvehp[iomhcwaemhe. Above normal snowfall.......

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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