NOVEMBER 2018: Thanksgiving Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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djmike
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harp wrote:
snowman65 wrote:Would be cool if it makes it way here to Orange area. We are getting sleet right now.
djmike wrote:Quite a bit of flurries now in Beaumont!
What are your temperatures there?
My thermo has not reached above 39 so far today.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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srainhoutx
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LightningBolt wrote:Is the sky likely to completely clear tonight in our region?
To answer your question, clouds are thinning just above the surface to the N and W, but there are some high clouds streaming along he sub tropical jet that may at least temporarily prevent us from completely clearing out. Maybe after midnight the entire area will finally clear as the upper trough orients itself closer to Dallas.
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djmike
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My thermo has not reached above 39 here in Beaumont all day. I have a feeling the 45 high local mets forecasted are going to be a big bust.
Mike
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Cpv17
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djmike wrote:My thermo has not reached above 39 here in Beaumont all day. I have a feeling the 45 high local mets forecasted are going to be a big bust.
Too much cloud cover for a high of 45. Not gonna happen unless you get a break in the clouds which probably won’t happen till later this evening into the overnight hours.
Cromagnum
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If the clouds don't clear out, how far south will the freezing temps actually reach? I'm south of Pearland and need to cover my Meyers lemons if it's actually going to get in the upper 20's for any extended period. If it's a couple hours at 30, I'm not going to bother.
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srainhoutx
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Cromagnum wrote:If the clouds don't clear out, how far south will the freezing temps actually reach? I'm south of Pearland and need to cover my Meyers lemons if it's actually going to get in the upper 20's for any extended period. If it's a couple hours at 30, I'm not going to bother.
The back edge of the clouds both high and lower level are nearing Bay City. We may also have a bit of a cold air advective freeze as winds are still up a bit and may not fully decouple or relax due to the proximity of the upper trough and some minor gradient with High Pressure settling in near the Panhandle.
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Texaspirate11
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41 degrees by the bay
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jasons2k
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Didn’t run this morning...too cold and windy. Was going to run after work but after looking outside at the trees swaying in the wind, I’m thinking no. It looks cold, miserable, gray and depressing out there. Sorry cold lovers but I just don’t have many nice adjectives for this dreary weather. It’s just not fun to be out in it.
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DoctorMu
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djmike wrote:Quite a bit of flurries now in Beaumont!
Fantastic!
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DoctorMu
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djmike wrote:
harp wrote:
snowman65 wrote:Would be cool if it makes it way here to Orange area. We are getting sleet right now.
What are your temperatures there?
My thermo has not reached above 39 so far today.
38°F for the high here.

28°F tonight and SUNNY tomorrow. Upper 40s, clear, sunny, and lighter words. Should feel great tomorrow!
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Texaspirate11
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Windchill could make it feel like its 17 degrees outside tomorrow morning
I for one am waiting for my weekend 70's
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Bring on more cold and keep it this way until April or May.
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srainhoutx
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Heavy frost this morning across NW Harris County. Currently flirting with 28F as a low this morning in my backyard. The coldest I've seen via the reporting stations is Caldwell where it is 26F. Bay City, Victoria on East to Dickinson have all dropped to 32F or below. Temperatures in the morning may bring freezing temperatures very close to Galveston Island.

Temperatures may struggle to hit 50F today for highs. A slow warming trend is expected for the remainder of the week into the Weekend. A cold front arrives next Monday, although it is not nearly as cold as this one. All eyes turn to next Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day when a Coastal trough/low combined with a strong storm system traveling across California, Arizona and New Mexico arrives and an attending cold front look to bring a very good chance of potentially a heavy rainfall and strong thunderstorm event to our Region. Stay Tuned!
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CrashTestDummy
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Sat down at my office desk this morning to 31.7 deg-F in northern Brazoria county. Brrrrrrrrr.
Gene Beaird,
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djmike
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Woke up to a Brrrr-eezing temp of 32 degrees here in Beaumont! Tonight into Thursday morning will be the coldest since last winter so far for is with a forecasted low of 29. Many areas will flirt and possibly even reach a breif 27-28 before the warming trend of Thursday begins. Bundle up folks! Hope to see many more wintery surprises this year like we saw yesterday! This winter is forecasted to be a wetter one than last, so the possibility is alive! Cheers!
Mike
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BlueJay
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It's a sunglasses and coat kind of day. 8-)

So nice to see the sun! It makes the cold a bit more tolerable.
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FV3 model is interesting in the long range.
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The 12z Euro has most of the rain offshore for next week.
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tireman4
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HGX Weather Forecast Tonight..
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Katdaddy
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Ready for Spring and Summer 2019 however if Winter 2018-2019 brings some snow; I will enjoy and stay warm.
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