NOVEMBER 2018: Thanksgiving Outlook

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BlueJay
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NOVEMBER 2018: Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by BlueJay » Mon Oct 22, 2018 12:37 pm

November 2018 will host our mid-term elections nationwide and Thanksgiving. The weather plays an important role for both of these special events. Will we need an umbrella? Sunglasses? Sweater? Coat?

Lets talk about it.

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snowman65
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018

Post by snowman65 » Mon Oct 22, 2018 12:47 pm

BlueJay wrote:November 2018 will host our mid-term elections nationwide and Thanksgiving. The weather plays an important role for both of these special events. Will we need an umbrella? Sunglasses? Sweater? Coat?

Lets talk about it.
This is Southeast Texas.....you will need ALL OF THE ABOVE....

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srainhoutx
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018

Post by srainhoutx » Fri Oct 26, 2018 2:58 pm

The reliable ensembles suggest November will begin colder than normal and wetter than normal.
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DoctorMu
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018

Post by DoctorMu » Tue Oct 30, 2018 2:38 pm

srainhoutx wrote:The reliable ensembles suggest November will begin colder than normal and wetter than normal.
Canadian and Japanese models come in colder than GFS, but we should actually have some pleasant weather ahead in November.

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Re: NOVEMBER 2018

Post by Cpv17 » Tue Oct 30, 2018 5:17 pm

It’s beginning to look like another severe weather outbreak will be possible Sunday or Monday.

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srainhoutx
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Nov 01, 2018 6:14 am

November begins with a highly amplified pattern with quick moving troughs and upper air disturbances lending to a changeable weather pattern into the weekend and early next week. Amplifies progressive patterns bring much uncertainty to our sensible weather forecast, so expect day to day changes as we head into Saturday regarding any weather worries Saturday night into Sunday. Take a jacket today. It's breezy and much cooler than this time yesterday morning. Cheers!
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Post by BlueJay » Thu Nov 01, 2018 8:57 am

It's a sunglasses, coat and, for me, a scarf, kind of day.

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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Nov 01, 2018 1:29 pm

The 12z Euro shows about 2-8” of rain for SETX in the 7-9 day timeframe.

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srainhoutx
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Nov 01, 2018 2:01 pm

Last night's cold front has pushed well out into the Gulf. I'm not convinced we will have enough moisture at the lower levels to support any heavier rainfall in our part of the World in the very fast progressive pattern that is expected. There is some mid level moisture from the Eastern Pacific streaming over Central Mexico, but I doubt enough deep rich tropical moisture will be available from the SE before the next shortwave arrives Saturday afternoon into early Sunday.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Nov 01, 2018 6:46 pm

The FV3 has a huge front in about a week or so, but the GFS doesn’t have it. Which one to believe?

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