August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
relic57
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Ptarmigan wrote:
Rip76 wrote:Not a fan of that Northward movement.
I am seeing a northward movement too. I wonder if it is a wobble.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_l ... P&loop=yes
Okay, so I am not the only one...sure looks to me to be moving in a more Northerly direction.
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Rip76
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Lots of lightning with these outer bands.
Waded
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I'm worried about this Jeff guy that has been live streaming from Rockport. He was last seen sheltering next to a Walmart. Those are lightly constructed buildings. Big box stores have a poor record in storms. Unless he broke into the auto bay and is sheltering below ground in the oil change pit I fear his chose his shelter poorly.
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DoctorMu
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Ptarmigan wrote:
Rip76 wrote:Not a fan of that Northward movement.
I am seeing a northward movement too. I wonder if it is a wobble.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_l ... P&loop=yes
Looks like a wobble to me.
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Pretty significant velocity return near Alvin / Rosharon indicating a tornado.
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Belmer
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Euro and GFS starting to go back and disagreeing with each other on track wise. Euro is staying consistent in it moving back out over the Gulf and making another landfall south of Bay City and slowly moving N/NE.

For those who didn't see the GFS, it has it moving back south near Rockport, flirting with the coast before ejecting north into central TX. Tiring days ahead... :roll:
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Belmer
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HRRR has been very concerning (and consistent with several runs now) showing Houston and eastward getting 10+ inches of rain during the next 12+ hours. Showing eventually one of the rainbands will develop and just sit over our area like what is happening over Brazoria Co.
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First let me thank everyone that has been tireless giving of themselves during this event. As always it is appreciated. Also, could someone let us know if Jeff is Ok? A simple yes or no is fine. I won't pry for information I am simply worried because I know he was in Rockport and the backside of the storm was coming in

Thanks again for everything
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djjordan
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So here in Sugar Land I've been through 3 Tornado Warnings which were well warranted based on the swirling wind that we experienced. I heard about the damage in Sienna, but the big take from this was the torrential rainfall that seemed not to want to stop due to training. Flooding is a huge concern!!! Places that don't normally flood are even in play with these type of rainfall rates.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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djjordan
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
254 AM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
South central Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
West central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...


* Until 330 AM CDT.

* At 254 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Sweeny, moving northwest at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Sweeny, southwestern Wild Peach Village, Boling-Iago and Damon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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srainhoutx
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Catastrophic Flood Event underway. Jeff has reported that Rockport High School was destroyed. Day 1 and 2 Excessive Rainfall are High Risk for the next 48 hours as Harvey meanders over portions of S Central Texas.
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relic57
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Power out here in Atascocita (Eagle Springs)
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srainhoutx
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4:00 AM Saturday Update from Jeff:

Powerful hurricane Harvey pounding the coastal bend and SC TX with hurricane force winds

Event will slowly transition into a very dangerous and life threatening flood event

A devastating hurricane landfall has occurred with many reports of structural damage and collapsed homes/buildings. Numerous towns have 911 calls with trapped persons inside collapsed buildings including: Portland, Rockport, Refugio, and Port Aransas

Many observation sites have either failed or lost power so we are getting very few winds reading any more. The surface pressure has risen from 938mb at landfall to 956mb currently and sustained winds have decreased from 130 to 110. Hurricane force winds…mainly in strong gust will continue to affect the Matagorda Bay region and SC TX/brush country through late morning.

Damaging storm surge continues to fill NW Matagorda Bay with Port Lavaca currently reporting a surge of 7.47 ft (appears near peak) and Seadrift on the eastern part of San Antonio Bay reporting 5.40 ft. Given the position of Harvey, continued strong (near hurricane force) winds will continue to push water into Matagorda Bay and pile it into the upper portions of Lavaca Bay around Port Lavaca and Point Comfort

Rainfall:
Overall event will be transitioning to a flash flood/flood event today and continue for the next several days. Heavy core rainfall continues near the center with rainfall totals already nearing 15 inches. Significant banding continues to develop and train NW across SE TX especially over Fort Bend and Brazoria Counties where widespread rainfall of 6-8 inches has occurred overnight with isolated totals of up to nearly 10 inches. A LCRA gage at Bay City has recorded 8.92 inches in the last 24 hours.

Recent discussion from WPC highlights the I-45 corridor through the morning hours for the formation of very heavy rainfall and this appears possible given recent radar trends showing rapid development of numerous training cells over the NW Gulf and the slow approach of an impressive feeder band currently moving into Fort Bend and Brazoria Counties. Hourly rainfall rates have been increasing on radar into the 2.0-2.5 inch range. Trends on radar will need to be monitored closely over the next several hours

Tornadoes:
There have been numerous tornado warnings overnight with cells moving across Brazoria and Fort Bend Counties. These cells are racing NW and producing short lived tornadoes. One touch down in Missouri City has produced damage to homes and minor injuries. Additionally, the stronger cells in the feeder bands are resulting in the transport of higher momentum to the surface and wind gusts of 45-55mph which is causing some power outages.


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srainhoutx
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Tornado Watch remain in effect until 100 PM this afternoon. That may need to be re issued. Seeing numerous reports of quick spin up Tornadoes across our Metro Houston Region as Harvey's feeder bands expand outward from its center. Current location of now CAT 1 Harvey is about 25 miles SW of Victoria.
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srainhoutx
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Update from Jeff:

Flash Flood Warning for south and central Harris County until 845am

Strong feeder band is approaching from the SSW and converging with numerous incoming cells moving inland off the Gulf of Mexico. A quick 2-3 inches of rainfall will be possible over the SW half of Harris County over the next 1-1.5 hours.

Street flooding is the main concern at this time, but rises on creeks and bayous will commence with these heavy rains.


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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
626 AM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Jackson County in south central Texas...
Southeastern Grimes County in southeastern Texas...
Washington County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Montgomery County in southeastern Texas...
Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Waller County in southeastern Texas...
Northern Harris County in southeastern Texas...
Colorado County in southeastern Texas...
Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
Austin County in southeastern Texas...
Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 830 AM CDT.

* At 623 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding will persist
this morning. Much of this area received between 6 and 9 inches of
rain and any additional rain will run off and contribute to
flooding.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Southwestern Sugar Land, southwestern Conroe, Matagorda, Rosenberg,
Lake Jackson, Angleton, Bay City, Brenham, Humble, Katy, Freeport,
Richmond, El Campo, Clute, Tomball, Wharton, Sealy, Hempstead,
Prairie View and Edna.
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srainhoutx
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Last 24 hour preliminary Rainfall Totals for SE Texas. In "Code" setting. Scroll down to see reports for your County and Locations.

Code: Select all

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
627 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

...Preliminary 24 Hour Rainfall Reports...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Lat/Lon              

...Texas...

...Austin County...
7 NE Eagle Lake              8.42 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.66N/96.24W        
San Felipe                   5.08 in   0603 AM 08/26   29.80N/96.12W        
Bellville                    4.60 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.94N/96.27W        
8 ENE Fayetteville           3.67 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.98N/96.55W        

...Brazoria County...
6 SSE Danbury                7.86 in   0528 AM 08/26   29.15N/95.30W        
3 SW Alvin                   7.53 in   0613 AM 08/26   29.40N/95.28W        
8 SE Needville               7.51 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.30N/95.74W        
4 NW West Columbia           5.16 in   0611 AM 08/26   29.18N/95.71W        
9 SW Jones Creek             4.44 in   0529 AM 08/26   28.86N/95.57W        
1 S West Columbia            4.33 in   0617 AM 08/26   29.13N/95.65W        
Cr 128                       3.88 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.48N/95.29W        
Fm 518                       3.40 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.56N/95.39W        
Fm 1128                      3.28 in   0543 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.33W        
Veterans Drive               3.17 in   0543 AM 08/26   29.56N/95.29W        
Brazos River Near Freeport   2.88 in   0433 AM 08/26   28.95N/95.38W        
Country Club Drive           2.88 in   0546 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.25W        
2 NW Freeport                1.95 in   0345 AM 08/26   28.98N/95.38W        
Cloverfield Road             1.32 in   0451 AM 08/26   29.51N/95.24W        

...Burleson County...
1 SSE Somerville             1.36 in   0600 AM 08/26   30.32N/96.53W        

...Chambers County...
8 SSW Stowell                3.36 in   0612 AM 08/26   29.67N/94.44W        
Spindletop Bayou @ State Hig 2.95 in   0517 AM 08/26   29.75N/94.38W        
1 WSW Old River-winfree      1.47 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.87N/94.85W        
3 SSW Mont Belvieu           1.37 in   0549 AM 08/26   29.80N/94.91W        
Nr Charlotte                 1.13 in   0530 AM 08/26   29.87N/94.71W        

...Colorado County...
5 W Eagle Lake               6.25 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.58N/96.42W        
Columbus                     6.21 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.71N/96.54W        
7 E Ellinger                 6.03 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.83N/96.58W        
6 S Weimar                   5.57 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.60N/96.77W        
6 NE Eagle Lake              3.05 in   0535 AM 08/26   29.67N/96.27W        
4 E Weimar                   2.92 in   0614 AM 08/26   29.71N/96.71W        

...Fort Bend County...
4 WSW First Colony           8.99 in   0616 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.67W        
Greatwood                    8.12 in   0534 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.68W        
1 NNW Pecan Grove            7.19 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.65N/95.74W        
Sugarland                    6.96 in   0544 AM 08/26   29.61N/95.64W        
Park Street                  6.64 in   0556 AM 08/26   29.63N/95.64W        
Eldridge                     6.48 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.63N/95.62W        
Ditch H                      6.36 in   0534 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.64W        
2 SE Richmond                6.36 in   0617 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.73W        
Flour                        6.28 in   0555 AM 08/26   29.61N/95.63W        
5 W Mission Bend             5.46 in   0611 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.75W        
1 ENE Stafford               5.46 in   0619 AM 08/26   29.63N/95.54W        
1 SE Missouri City           5.18 in   0552 AM 08/26   29.56N/95.52W        
2 W Mission Bend             4.96 in   0615 AM 08/26   29.70N/95.70W        
Richmond                     4.92 in   0515 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.76W        
1 W Stafford                 4.84 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.62N/95.59W        
2 SW Rosenberg               4.55 in   0619 AM 08/26   29.52N/95.81W        
5 SSE Katy                   4.47 in   0605 AM 08/26   29.73N/95.79W        
3 SSE Katy                   4.47 in   0619 AM 08/26   29.76N/95.80W        
Stafford                     4.13 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.61N/95.56W        
Dulles                       3.80 in   0533 AM 08/26   29.61N/95.58W        
4 N Pecan Grove              3.70 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.74W        
3 SE Katy                    3.41 in   0614 AM 08/26   29.76N/95.78W        
Sugarland                    2.28 in   1245 AM 08/26   29.64N/95.65W        

...Galveston County...
Giww @ State Highway 124 Bri 4.69 in   0614 AM 08/26   29.60N/94.39W        
2 WSW Santa Fe               4.43 in   0615 AM 08/26   29.36N/95.13W        
Chigger Creek @ Windsong     4.37 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.51N/95.22W        
2 ENE Hillcrest              4.19 in   0620 AM 08/26   29.41N/95.18W        
La Marque                    3.59 in   0614 AM 08/26   29.36N/95.00W        
Cowart Creek                 3.36 in   0542 AM 08/26   29.50N/95.22W        
Moses Lk Tide Gage           3.10 in   0530 AM 08/26   29.45N/94.92W        
Galveston Causeway           2.80 in   0529 AM 08/26   29.47N/94.98W        
1 NNE League City            2.74 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.50N/95.10W        
Marys Creek At Melodywood    2.56 in   0554 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.20W        
Clear Creek Near Freindswood 2.51 in   0542 AM 08/26   29.52N/95.18W        
2 W League City              2.48 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.49N/95.15W        
Jamaica Beach                2.40 in   0430 AM 08/26   29.18N/94.97W        
La Marque Levee Pump Station 2.39 in   0530 AM 08/26   29.35N/94.96W        
2 W League City              2.27 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.48N/95.15W        
1 E Nassau Bay               2.25 in   0612 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.06W        
Friendswood                  2.19 in   0542 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.20W        
Port Bolivar                 2.16 in   0546 AM 08/26   29.32N/94.77W        
18 E San Leon                2.06 in   0748 PM 08/25   29.45N/94.64W        
2 SW Kemah                   1.90 in   0619 AM 08/26   29.51N/95.05W        
1 WSW Clear Lake Shores      1.55 in   0616 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.05W        
Kemah                        1.04 in   0325 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.02W        

...Harris County...
Mason Ck Prince Ck Dr        3.92 in   0559 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.73W        
1 NNW Mission Bend           3.74 in   0611 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.67W        
Brays Bayou @ State Hwy 6    3.68 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.72N/95.64W        
Katy 1.0 NNE                 3.62 in   0555 AM 08/26   29.81N/95.82W        
Keegans Bayou Keegan Rd      3.56 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.67N/95.60W        
Brays Bayou At Alief         3.28 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.59W        
5 NW Mission Bend            3.15 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.76N/95.73W        
Clear Creek At Mykawa Street 2.80 in   0556 AM 08/26   29.60N/95.30W        
Brays Bayou @ Beltway 8      2.76 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.55W        
4 NE Katy                    2.68 in   0603 AM 08/26   29.85N/95.77W        
Meyerland                    2.64 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.66N/95.46W        
Buffalo Bayou Nr (below) Add 2.56 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.76N/95.61W        
Sims Bayou At Hiram Clarke S 2.56 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.62N/95.45W        
2 NNE Friendswood            2.55 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.18W        
3 NNW Nassau Bay             2.53 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.59N/95.11W        
Clear Creek At Bay Area Blvd 2.52 in   0539 AM 08/26   29.50N/95.16W        
3 NW Webster                 2.49 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.15W        
3 ENE Pearland               2.42 in   0530 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.21W        
Sims Bayou At M L King Fwy   2.35 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.65N/95.34W        
Brays Bayou Gessner Dr       2.32 in   0553 AM 08/26   29.67N/95.53W        
3 ENE Pearland               2.30 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.23W        
Ih 10 At Sh 6                2.28 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.79N/95.67W        
Ih 10 At Eldridge            2.28 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.62W        
Brays Bayou At Rice Ave      2.24 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.68N/95.47W        
7 WSW Jersey Village         2.21 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.84N/95.68W        
Reliant Park                 2.21 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.41W        
Addicks Reservoir            2.16 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.79N/95.62W        
Brays Bayou At Bellaire Blvd 2.16 in   0603 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.55W        
Taylor Lake Village          2.16 in   0612 AM 08/26   29.56N/95.05W        
Holcolmbe                    2.16 in   0530 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.43W        
Beamer Ditch Hughes Rd       2.15 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.59N/95.22W        
Taylor Lake @ Nasa Road 1    2.15 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.57N/95.05W        
Rummel Creek                 2.12 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.57W        
Turkey Ck At Fm 1959         2.11 in   0549 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.19W        
2 E West University Place    2.09 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.39W        
Addicks                      2.08 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.83N/95.69W        
6 WSW Jersey Village         2.08 in   0613 AM 08/26   29.87N/95.67W        
Webster                      2.05 in   0613 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.11W        
6922 Old Katy Rd             2.04 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.44W        
Bay Area Blvd At Horsepen Cr 2.03 in   0547 AM 08/26   29.58N/95.10W        
Pierce Junction              2.00 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.68N/95.38W        
Ih 10 Addicks Park And Ride  2.00 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.81N/95.66W        
Brays Bayou At Stella Link   2.00 in   0556 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.44W        
7 E Katy                     2.00 in   0553 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.70W        
2 S Houston                  1.99 in   0615 AM 08/26   29.74N/95.39W        
3 WNW Taylor Lake Village    1.97 in   0614 AM 08/26   29.60N/95.11W        
Pearland                     1.96 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.63N/95.39W        
1 SSW Piney Point Village    1.93 in   0618 AM 08/26   29.75N/95.52W        
Telepsen                     1.92 in   0605 AM 08/26   29.72N/95.33W        
Berry Bayou @ Nevada         1.88 in   0558 AM 08/26   29.66N/95.23W        
3 W Bellaire                 1.87 in   0612 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.52W        
Nassau Bay                   1.85 in   0613 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.08W        
Fm 529 And Us 290 Nr Jersey  1.84 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.57W        
Us 59 At Jefferson           1.80 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.75N/95.36W        
1 NE Houston                 1.79 in   0615 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.37W        
Galveston Road @ Allendale   1.72 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.68N/95.25W        
Amand Bayou @ Nasa Road 1    1.72 in   0503 AM 08/26   29.57N/95.07W        
Spring Valley                1.72 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.50W        
Clear Creek At Pearland      1.72 in   0314 AM 08/26   29.59N/95.38W        
2 NE West University Place   1.68 in   0601 AM 08/26   29.74N/95.40W        
Piney Point Village          1.68 in   0601 AM 08/26   29.77N/95.51W        
Sh 288 And Macgregor         1.68 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.38W        
Berry B Forest Oaks          1.64 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.68N/95.24W        
Brays Bayou S Main Str       1.64 in   0556 AM 08/26   29.70N/95.42W        
7 W Jersey Village           1.64 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.90N/95.70W        
Buffalo Bayou @ Milam        1.60 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.76N/95.36W        
1 W Shoreacres               1.60 in   0553 AM 08/26   29.62N/95.02W        
2 NW Pasadena                1.59 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.68N/95.18W        
Ih 10 Uprr Bridge @ Ih 610   1.56 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.43W        
9 WNW Jersey Village         1.53 in   0618 AM 08/26   29.95N/95.71W        
5 WNW Jersey Village         1.53 in   0615 AM 08/26   29.91N/95.66W        
2 NNW West University Place  1.53 in   0610 AM 08/26   29.75N/95.45W        
Little Cedar Bayou At 8th St 1.52 in   0454 AM 08/26   29.65N/95.02W        
Cedar Bayou Near Crosby (us  1.49 in   0558 AM 08/26   29.97N/94.99W        
Sh 288 @ Mcgowen             1.49 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.74N/95.37W        
Buffalo Bayou @ San Felipe   1.48 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.75N/95.51W        
6 NE Katy                    1.48 in   0553 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.77W        
Clear Lake Second Outflow    1.48 in   0327 AM 08/26   29.55N/95.02W        
1 N La Porte                 1.48 in   0520 AM 08/26   29.68N/95.05W        
Webster                      1.44 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.54N/95.10W        
White Oak Bay Heights Blvd   1.44 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.40W        
Houston                      1.44 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.73N/95.37W        
Rosslyn                      1.44 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.85N/95.46W        
2 ESE Pasadena               1.44 in   0334 AM 08/26   29.65N/95.11W        
Brays Bayou @ Lawndale       1.43 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.72N/95.30W        
Jacinto City                 1.40 in   0550 AM 08/26   29.77N/95.19W        
Vince Bayou At Pasadena (ell 1.40 in   0559 AM 08/26   29.69N/95.22W        
Highland Heights             1.40 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.47W        
Halls Bayou Jensen Dr        1.36 in   0555 AM 08/26   29.86N/95.33W        
Buffalo Bayou At Turning Bas 1.36 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.75N/95.29W        
Hunting Bayou @ Loop 610 Eas 1.36 in   0534 AM 08/26   29.79N/95.27W        
Cypress Creek Ay Katy-hawkin 1.36 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.95N/95.81W        
4 SSW Aldine                 1.36 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.85N/95.40W        
Bunker Hill Village          1.35 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.56W        
5 S Tomball                  1.35 in   0600 AM 08/26   30.02N/95.61W        
San Jacinto River Near Sheld 1.35 in   0504 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.09W        
Humble                       1.34 in   0559 AM 08/26   30.00N/95.26W        
Halls Bayou At Airline Drive 1.32 in   0556 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.40W        
Little Mound Creek At Betka  1.32 in   0608 AM 08/26   30.02N/95.89W        
Highland Heights             1.32 in   0605 AM 08/26   29.87N/95.47W        
Little White Oak Bayou @ Tri 1.32 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.37W        
White Oak Bayou @ Pinemont   1.32 in   0548 AM 08/26   29.83N/95.45W        
Spring Valley                1.30 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.50W        
2 WSW La Porte               1.28 in   0501 AM 08/26   29.65N/95.08W        
Garners Bayou Beltway 8      1.28 in   0527 AM 08/26   29.93N/95.23W        
Mount Houston                1.28 in   0539 AM 08/26   29.85N/95.28W        
1 E Aldine                   1.28 in   0603 AM 08/26   29.92N/95.36W        
Ih-10 @ Normandy             1.28 in   0457 AM 08/26   29.77N/95.21W        
5 W Jersey Village           1.27 in   0614 AM 08/26   29.90N/95.67W        
Gum Gully At Diamond Head    1.27 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.90N/95.08W        
5 NW Sheldon                 1.25 in   0610 AM 08/26   29.93N/95.19W        
Garners Bayou @ Rankin Road  1.25 in   0547 AM 08/26   29.98N/95.28W        
Middle Bayou Genoa Red Bluff 1.25 in   0336 AM 08/26   29.65N/95.13W        
Cypress Creek @ Cypresswood  1.24 in   0557 AM 08/26   30.03N/95.33W        
Trailside                    1.24 in   0606 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.63W        
White Oak Bayou At Lakeview  1.24 in   0548 AM 08/26   29.89N/95.56W        
1 NW Highlands               1.24 in   0547 AM 08/26   29.83N/95.08W        
Ih 45 S Hov @ Dwt Terminus   1.24 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.74N/95.36W        
Brick House Gully At Cost Ri 1.23 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.83N/95.47W        
White Oak Bay - Alaborson St 1.23 in   0544 AM 08/26   29.87N/95.48W        
Greens Bayou Us 59           1.20 in   0555 AM 08/26   29.92N/95.31W        
Hunting Bayou At Lockwood Dr 1.20 in   0607 AM 08/26   29.81N/95.33W        
Us 290 Nw Station Park And R 1.20 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.90N/95.61W        
Ih 45 W Road Hov Enterance   1.20 in   0605 AM 08/26   29.92N/95.41W        
Satsuma                      1.17 in   0602 AM 08/26   29.92N/95.58W        
Jersey Village               1.16 in   0552 AM 08/26   29.88N/95.52W        
2 NW Baytown                 1.16 in   0338 AM 08/26   29.77N/95.00W        
Kohrville                    1.16 in   0551 AM 08/26   29.99N/95.57W        
7 N Jersey Village           1.14 in   0559 AM 08/26   29.99N/95.59W        
9 WNW Jersey Village         1.13 in   0617 AM 08/26   29.95N/95.71W        
Carpenters Bayou @ I-10      1.13 in   0527 AM 08/26   29.77N/95.14W        
Hunting Bayou At I-10        1.13 in   0550 AM 08/26   29.77N/95.23W        
Buffalo Bayou Shepherd Dr    1.12 in   0453 AM 08/26   29.76N/95.41W        
3 WNW Crosby                 1.12 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.95N/95.11W        
L Cypress Ck-cypress Rosehil 1.12 in   0605 AM 08/26   30.02N/95.70W        
6 NNE Jersey Village         1.12 in   0604 AM 08/26   29.98N/95.53W        
Cypress Creek @ Huffmeister  1.12 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.96N/95.62W        
Greens Bayou Nr. Us Hwy 75   1.12 in   0609 AM 08/26   29.96N/95.42W        
Cypress Ck Nr Hockley (sharp 1.12 in   0515 AM 08/26   29.92N/95.84W        
Ih 10 @ Silber               1.12 in   0547 AM 08/26   29.78N/95.49W        
Cypress Ck At Stuebner Airli 1.12 in   0601 AM 08/26   30.01N/95.51W        
Greens Bayou @ Bammel N. Hou 1.08 in   0605 AM 08/26   29.95N/95.48W        
Greens Bayou Ley Rd          1.08 in   0503 AM 08/26   29.84N/95.23W        
Little Vince Bayou At Jackso 1.08 in   0553 AM 08/26   29.71N/95.20W        
Spring Creek Near Spring     1.08 in   0603 AM 08/26   30.11N/95.44W        
1 NNE Houston                1.05 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.79N/95.38W        
White Oak Bayou              1.04 in   0541 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.45W        
5 NE Jersey Village          1.04 in   0557 AM 08/26   29.95N/95.52W        
Cypress                      1.04 in   0608 AM 08/26   29.98N/95.63W        
2 SW Sheldon                 1.00 in   0535 AM 08/26   29.84N/95.16W        
Carpenters Bayou At Wallisvi 1.00 in   0528 AM 08/26   29.79N/95.14W        
Cypress Ck At Grant Rd       1.00 in   0558 AM 08/26   29.97N/95.60W        
Houmont Park                 1.00 in   0540 AM 08/26   29.85N/95.23W        
Cedar Bayou Sh 146           1.00 in   0457 AM 08/26   29.77N/94.92W        
7 ESE Waller                 1.00 in   0608 AM 08/26   30.03N/95.80W        
Greens Bayou At Mt. Houston  1.00 in   0554 AM 08/26   29.89N/95.23W            

...Jackson County...
Edna                         9.02 in   0615 AM 08/26   28.98N/96.65W        
La Ward                      6.33 in   0618 AM 08/26   28.84N/96.46W        
7 E La Ward                  5.55 in   1215 AM 08/26   28.86N/96.34W        
7 S Ganado                   5.41 in   0616 AM 08/26   28.94N/96.52W        
9 W La Ward                  4.90 in   0811 PM 08/25   28.82N/96.62W        
4 SSE Edna                   3.71 in   0420 AM 08/26   28.91N/96.63W        
5 S La Ward                  3.65 in   0225 AM 08/26   28.77N/96.46W        
8 SSE La Ward                2.88 in   1038 PM 08/25   28.73N/96.42W        
Ganado                       2.49 in   0617 AM 08/26   29.04N/96.51W        

...Matagorda County...
2 W Bay City                 8.61 in   0600 AM 08/26   28.97N/96.01W        
1 WNW Bay City               5.80 in   0548 AM 08/26   28.99N/95.98W        
9 W Markham                  5.00 in   0600 AM 08/26   28.72N/95.99W        
14 S Sweeny                  4.38 in   0600 AM 08/26   28.84N/95.66W        

...Montgomery County...
1 SE Chateau Woods           1.23 in   0620 AM 08/26   30.15N/95.41W        
Oak Ridge North              1.19 in   0610 AM 08/26   30.17N/95.44W        
2 W Stagecoach               1.02 in   0608 AM 08/26   30.15N/95.76W        
Panther Branch@gosling Rd    1.01 in   0600 AM 08/26   30.19N/95.48W        
2 NE Spring                  1.00 in   0601 AM 08/26   30.09N/95.36W        
Tomball 1n                   1.00 in   0600 AM 08/26   30.12N/95.65W        

...Waller County...
3 W Katy                     6.21 in   0613 AM 08/26   29.79N/95.88W        
Buffalo Bayou At Us 90       3.84 in   0601 AM 08/26   29.80N/95.83W        
Brookshire                   3.72 in   0444 AM 08/26   29.77N/96.04W        
Hempstead                    1.40 in   0607 AM 08/26   30.11N/96.08W        
6 W Stagecoach               1.17 in   0614 AM 08/26   30.13N/95.81W        

...Washington County...
6 ESE Burton                 2.44 in   0614 AM 08/26   30.13N/96.52W        
Brazos River At Hempstead    1.09 in   0515 AM 08/26   30.13N/96.19W        
10 E Brenham                 1.01 in   0604 AM 08/26   30.19N/96.23W        

...Wharton County...
East Bernard                 8.36 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.53N/96.06W        
8 WSW Boling-iago            8.13 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.19N/96.07W        
Wharton                      7.18 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.31N/96.10W        
6 W Wharton                  6.93 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.34N/96.20W        
1 NW El Campo                4.84 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.22N/96.29W        
7 N Ganado                   3.80 in   0618 AM 08/26   29.16N/96.53W        
8 N Ganado                   3.13 in   0600 AM 08/26   29.16N/96.51W        

...Maritime Stations...
16 E Palacios                7.38 in   0600 AM 08/26   28.68N/95.97W        
Goose Creek At Baker Road    1.44 in   0519 AM 08/26   29.71N/94.99W        


Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers 
for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Jeff reports S Mayde Creek @ Greenhouse will go out banks shortly (Western Harris County)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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08262017 mcd1572.gif
Mesoscale Discussion 1572
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

Areas affected...the Galveston Bay/Greater Houston area

Concerning...Tornado Watch 467...

Valid 261149Z - 261345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 467 continues.

SUMMARY...The intermittent but long-duration risk for short-lived
supercell tornadoes will maximize in the Galveston Bay/Greater
Houston area this morning.

DISCUSSION...The latest subjective surface streamline analysis
implies low-level convergence is focused across the Galveston Bay
vicinity. Surface observations also show temperatures in the lower
80s degrees F from Brazoria County to Houston Hobby and
east-northeast to Beaumont. Dewpoints are ranging from the upper
70s to around 80 at the coast. As a result, buoyancy is maximized
in the discussion area compared to areas farther inland and closer
to the center of Harvey. Time trends in the KHGX VAD suggest a
decrease in hodograph size has occurred during the past few hours
with 0-1 km SRH less than 50 m2/s2 according to observed storm
motions. Nonetheless, the moist-tropical airmass will support
intermittent low-level rotation with the strongest updrafts embedded
within convective bands and clusters for the next several hours.

..Smith.. 08/26/2017
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Hurricane Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 24A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
700 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

...HARVEY MOVING SLOWLY OVER TEXAS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS...
...CATASTROPHIC FLOODING EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 97.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WSW OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Baffin Bay to High Island Texas

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Baffin Bay to Port O'Connor Texas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Port O'Connor to High Island Texas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the
indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see
the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.

Interests in southwestern Louisiana should continue to monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Harvey was located by
NOAA Doppler radar near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 97.2 West.
Harvey is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).
Harvey is expected to slow down through the day and meander over
southeastern Texas through the middle of next week.

Doppler radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds have
decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds
are confined to a small area near the eye of the hurricane.
Additional weakening is forecast, and Harvey is likely to become a
tropical storm later today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.79 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
15 to 30 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches over the
middle and upper Texas coast through next Wednesday. During the same
time period Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 5 to 15 inches in far south Texas, the Texas Hill Country
and southwest and central Louisiana. Rainfall of this magnitude
will cause catastrophic and life-threatening flooding. A list of
rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center
can be found at: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Port Aransas to Port O'Connor...6 to 12 ft
Port O'Connor to Sargent...6 to 9 ft
Sargent to Jamaica Beach...4 to 6 ft
Baffin Bay to Port Aransas...3 to 6 ft
Jamaica Beach to High Island...2 to 4 ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield...1 to 3 ft
High Island to Morgan City...1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large
and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are occuring inland from the coast
within Harvey's eyewall, and hurricane-force winds, especially in
gusts, are still possible near the middle Texas coast for the next
several hours. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in other
portions of the hurricane and tropical storm warning areas.
Tropical storm conditions are likely to persist along portions of
the coast through at least Sunday.

SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the Texas,
Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible today and tonight near the middle
and upper Texas coast into far southwest Louisiana.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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