December 2016- End Of Year Forecast

[Ptarmigan]

Merry Christmas to everyone!

[kayci]

Hey yall! Merry Christmas!!! We are up at the deer lease in Fredericksburg, TX. Weatherman said that we are expecting a hard freeze this evening and for the next few days. I looked on my weatherbug and it says mild 40's to 50's. We are looking to get a better outlook on our forecast. Anyone up this way can help would purely appreciate it!!!!

[TexasBreeze]

I am not there today, but I will be around there this week and forecasts show 50''s the next several days. Cooler by Thursday, but no freeze anytime soon anywhere...

[kayci]

thanx txbreeze!! much appreciated! Need one more deer to tag before season is over.

[srainhoutx]

Spent Christmas Day spreading deer corn at the lease and boy was it breezy and muggy. The pesky Pacific semi zonal pattern continues as yet another upper low settles of the Baja Peninsula in the Eastern Pacific. Expect the warm, muggy and showery pattern to continue most of the week with a shot of Pacific air arriving Thursday bring temperatures closer to normal for a day or two, then the Baja upper low begins to move NE over the New Years Eve/New Years Day Weekend increasing our onshore flow once again along with rain chances to end 2016 and begin 2017.

[cperk]

The O6z GFS shows some wintry weather for us at hour 252 and again at hour 300, lets see if this becomes a trend.

[srainhoutx]

The O6z GFS shows some wintry weather for us at hour 252 and again at hour 300, lets see if this becomes a trend.

The GFS has been rather suggestive for several days that the first week on January could be interesting for the winter weather lover and the various ECMWF/GFS/Canadian longer range scheme do suggest a large bridge of blocking High Pressure Complex develops across the Arctic. We will follow these trends in the January Topic as the week unfold, but caution is advised in a highly volatile Hemispheric Pattern shift. That said a lobe of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex may set up shop near Hudson Bay driving both the Polar and Arctic jet streams into the Lower 48 which can spell trouble in the form of shallow Arctic cold air and the potential of a NW Gulf Coastal/low/trough developing. Not sure I care to see a multiday freezing rain event if the truth be told...

[MontgomeryCoWx]

The O6z GFS shows some wintry weather for us at hour 252 and again at hour 300, lets see if this becomes a trend.

The GFS has been rather suggestive for several days that the first week on January could be interesting for the winter weather lover and the various ECMWF/GFS/Canadian longer range scheme do suggest a large bridge of blocking High Pressure Complex develops across the Arctic. We will follow these trends in the January Topic as the week unfold, but caution is advised in a highly volatile Hemispheric Pattern shift. That said a lobe of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex may set up shop near Hudson Bay driving both the Polar and Arctic jet streams into the Lower 48 which can spell trouble in the form of shallow Arctic cold air and the potential of a NW Gulf Coastal/low/trough developing. Not sure I care to see a multiday freezing rain event if the truth be told...

I'll take any cold weather here even if it means freezing rain.

With that said, I'm leaving our tropical problem city tomorrow and headed to the Great White Big Sky back country for some hiking, hunting and skiing. I'm looking forward to bringing cold air and snow back with me!

[Portastorm]

Yesterday was the warmest Christmas Day in Austin since 1964. We topped out at 80 degrees. This morning we tied a record from last year for warmest minimum temp at Camp Mabry (KATT) at 70 degrees. I'm getting tired of these WARM weather benchmarks.

[Ptarmigan]

Yesterday was the warmest Christmas Day in Austin since 1964. We topped out at 80 degrees. This morning we tied a record from last year for warmest minimum temp at Camp Mabry (KATT) at 70 degrees. I'm getting tired of these WARM weather benchmarks.

Christmas is suppose to be cold.

[BlueJay]

We had a wonderful Christmas day with a late lunch on the patio and lingered outside chatting until after dark. No mosquitos attended. It will be a Christmas we will not soon forget because it was not cold!

Enjoy the day everyone!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Euro,Canadian and GFS all believe in a big front the first week of January with sun freezing temps and potentially some precip...

[DoctorMu]

Euro,Canadian and GFS all believe in a big front the first week of January with sun freezing temps and potentially some precip...

Now THAT'S cold!

[Portastorm]

Set new record high temps today in Austin with 84 at Camp Mabry and 85 at the airport. The unseasonable warmth continues unfortunately.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Euro,Canadian and GFS all believe in a big front the first week of January with sun freezing temps and potentially some precip...

Now THAT'S cold!

Special kind of cold

[snowman65]

Whatever the GFS was saying about cold is all gone now....

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Whatever the GFS was saying about cold is all gone now....

No it hasn't

[texan2]

I saw a vote on khou / twitter but couldn't get my vote counted!
I would like to see cold weather.....at least below 60!

[srainhoutx]

Tuesday morning briefing from Jeff:

As if 2015 was not hot enough in late December….2016 will not be outdone.

High temperature records are falling almost daily at the local climate sites with IAH having reached 84 yesterday making it the second hottest December temperature ever in the City of Houston. Warm and very muggy conditions will continue today and Wednesday before a cold front moves into the area on Thursday. Until Thursday dewpoints running 68-73 over the lower 60 degree water temperatures will continue to promote a dense sea fog bank along the coast. Sea fog has been very thick overnight with visibilities running 1/8 to ¼ of a mile at most coastal sites into the Houston Ship Channel. Will see very slow visibility improvements today along the coast with light winds and some locations may remain socked in all day. Visibilities will crater again this evening as sea fog spreads back inland. Will continue to deal with sea fog until the front passes off the coast on Thursday.

SW winds ahead of the approaching front on Wednesday will likely result in another day of record warmth with surface highs pushing toward the lower 80’s. Cold front will move across the area on Thursday morning with falling temperatures in the 60’s and possibly into the upper 50’s on Thursday. Cold Friday with lows into the 40’s and highs in the 50’s.

An upper level storm system currently off the S CA coast will begin to move toward TX this weekend. Clouds will rapidly increase late Friday while warm air advection regime allows a warm front to move northward and into SE TX on Saturday. Expect sloppy conditions with fog, drizzle, light rain and showers for much of the weekend as a warm muggy air mass returns to the region to end 2016. 2017 looks to begin as much of 2016 has been…warm!

While it has been warm locally, it has been very warm in the northern Arctic regions. Temperatures over the last few days have risen to nearly 50 degrees above normal with the actual surface temperature nearing 32 which is extremely rare for this time of year. Arctic sea ice continues its decline at a time of year where sea ice expansion would be expected.

[Thundersleet]

Ouch, bummer! But, yeah, I also noticed that while I was viewing the temperatures across the globe. No good I take it, particularly if you are a cold weather reveler.