August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Katdaddy
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The Flash Flood Watch has expired for SE TX this evening as we head toward a more typical late Summer pattern with scattered afternoon showers.

33 year's ago this evening, CAT 3 Hurricane Alicia was approaching the Upper TX Coast.
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Skyguy

Hi everybody.

Well, the slow-moving tropical low that caused all the trouble in Florida, Mississippi, Louisiana and SE Texas seems (that's with a big "S") to have moved on. Can I safely assume my services will no longer be needed on this forum?
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Rip76
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This was the night before Alicia, with plywood we didn't use.

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Katdaddy
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1022 AM CDT Thu Aug 18 2016

.MORNING FORECAST UPDATE...

Radar is starting to get active with showers forming mainly along
the coast. More scattered activity is expected today with still
quite a bit of moisture over the region. Precipitable water values
at 12z for CRP/LCH around 2.2-2.3 inches. Upper level analysis at
500mb shows some ridging developing along the coast but it is
rather flat and elongated. Day time heating should be enough for
storms to develop and re-develop this afternoon. Wind profiles are
rather weak so storm motions will be driven by mesoscale processes
and outflow/cold pool interactions. Rain rates will be a solid 1-2
inches of rain an hour but thinking storm motions like yesterday
may just be enough to not cause flooding problems other than
typical street flooding.

Not much else to update in the forecast other than conditions for
today. Rain chances look to continue through the weekend.
houstonia
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Pouring rain, lots of lightning/thunder in downtown Houston right now... More thunder than we have had with the last few days of showers...
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djjordan
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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT

* AT 1253 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. STREET FLOODING
IS A STRONG POSSIBILITY IN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATER COVERED ROADS!

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
TOMBALL...JERSEY VILLAGE...SPRING BRANCH WEST...SPRING...ELDRIDGE /
WEST OAKS...SPRING BRANCH NORTH...ADDICKS PARK TEN...GREATER
GREENSPOINT...CYPRESS...SPLASHTOWN...WILLOWBROOK...CARVERDALE...
WESTBRANCH...HOOKS AIRPORT...FAIRBANKS / NORTHWEST CROSSING...BRIAR
FOREST...GREATER INWOOD...ADDICKS AND MEMORIAL.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
unome
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some wicked rainfall rates at a few gages in the last 1/2 & 1 hr http://www.harriscountyfws.org/

intense lightning also http://www.lightningmaps.org

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David Paul
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Rip76 wrote:This was the night before Alicia, with plywood we didn't use.

Image
May I use this pic on the air tonight please!!!? This is exactly what I and the rest of Houston Galveston was doing the evening before Alicia hit... nothing.

Cheers!

David Paul
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I'll be watching!
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Portastorm
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Looks like TD #12 in the EPac may create some trouble this weekend for those of us in soaked parts of south central and southeast Texas. I believe the word "mischief" is appropriate ... one of srainhoutx's faves. ;)
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Rip76
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Of course.

What time?
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10 pm newscast.

Thanks and Cheers!
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Rip76
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Haha awesome.
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Ptarmigan
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Katdaddy wrote:The Flash Flood Watch has expired for SE TX this evening as we head toward a more typical late Summer pattern with scattered afternoon showers.

33 year's ago this evening, CAT 3 Hurricane Alicia was approaching the Upper TX Coast.
How a summer cold front set off thunderstorms in the Gulf of Mexico. Those thunderstorms became Hurricane Alicia. That can happen easily even in quiet years like 1983.
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GBinGrimes
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If I remember correctly, in the spring of '83, Houston had a rash outbreak of tornadoes. I grew up and lived in Oak Forest. There were trees down everywhere. Pine trees had twisted tops and when I drive back thru the neighborhood I can still see a few of them alive today, having survived in a mangled fashion, growing at angles not synonomous with pines. Limbs that were ripped from trees were scattered across rooftops, streets, sidewalks and yards. I remember waking up in the midst of it during the night. The lightning was so intense and quick, it was as if someone was switching a light switch on and off in the sky. The train sound...yes it was heard.

We may not have "seasons" in Southeast Texas but there are days when a day can be a season unto itself. That's why I love weather.
Skyguy

GBinGrimes wrote:If I remember correctly, in the spring of '83, Houston had a rash outbreak of tornadoes. I grew up and lived in Oak Forest. There were trees down everywhere. Pine trees had twisted tops and when I drive back thru the neighborhood I can still see a few of them alive today, having survived in a mangled fashion, growing at angles not synonomous with pines. Limbs that were ripped from trees were scattered across rooftops, streets, sidewalks and yards. I remember waking up in the midst of it during the night. The lightning was so intense and quick, it was as if someone was switching a light switch on and off in the sky. The train sound...yes it was heard.

We may not have "seasons" in Southeast Texas but there are days when a day can be a season unto itself. That's why I love weather.

Where can I find out more about that? My friend, CoreChaser1 is a science teacher lecturing his students about tornadoes. Any info you can refer me to I'll pass on to him. :D :) ;)
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Katdaddy
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May 1983 brought a significant severe weather event to SE TX which pounded Houston and areas to the N. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will develop along the coastal and move inland similar to yesterday. Rain chances decrease to 30% Saturday but ramp back up to 60% for Sunday. Models show Invest 99L turning more NW before entering the Caribbean Sea.
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David Paul
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GBinGrimes wrote:If I remember correctly, in the spring of '83, Houston had a rash outbreak of tornadoes. I grew up and lived in Oak Forest. There were trees down everywhere. Pine trees had twisted tops and when I drive back thru the neighborhood I can still see a few of them alive today, having survived in a mangled fashion, growing at angles not synonomous with pines. Limbs that were ripped from trees were scattered across rooftops, streets, sidewalks and yards. I remember waking up in the midst of it during the night. The lightning was so intense and quick, it was as if someone was switching a light switch on and off in the sky. The train sound...yes it was heard.

We may not have "seasons" in Southeast Texas but there are days when a day can be a season unto itself. That's why I love weather.
... and December 1983 brought a hard Christmas FREEEEEZE! I ran the sprinklers and killed all the plants in the backyard, but the icicles were amazing.
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Katdaddy
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
138 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

TXZ199-200-213-191930-
LIBERTY TX-HARRIS TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
138 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN LIBERTY...SOUTHEASTERN
MONTGOMERY AND NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM CDT...

AT 138 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...OR NEAR GREATER GREENSPOINT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUMBLE...ALDINE...SPRING...GREATER GREENSPOINT...KINGWOOD...NORTHERN
NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE...PATTON VILLAGE...ROMAN FOREST...WOODBRANCH...
BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...PORTER HEIGHTS...SPLASHTOWN...HIDDEN
VALLEY...EASTEX / JENSEN AREA...LAKE HOUSTON...PORTER AND NEW CANEY.
Ounce
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David Paul wrote:
GBinGrimes wrote:If I remember correctly, in the spring of '83, Houston had a rash outbreak of tornadoes. I grew up and lived in Oak Forest. There were trees down everywhere. Pine trees had twisted tops and when I drive back thru the neighborhood I can still see a few of them alive today, having survived in a mangled fashion, growing at angles not synonomous with pines. Limbs that were ripped from trees were scattered across rooftops, streets, sidewalks and yards. I remember waking up in the midst of it during the night. The lightning was so intense and quick, it was as if someone was switching a light switch on and off in the sky. The train sound...yes it was heard.

We may not have "seasons" in Southeast Texas but there are days when a day can be a season unto itself. That's why I love weather.
... and December 1983 brought a hard Christmas FREEEEEZE! I ran the sprinklers and killed all the plants in the backyard, but the icicles were amazing.
Was that the year that frozen pipes were cracking right and left? Or was that 1989 when it got to 9 or 10 degrees? My now ex-wife thought I wasn't doing enough to prevent that, but with metal pipes and insulation draped over the pipes, I thought we were fine. And we were. :lol:
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