March Ends As One Of The 'Wettest' March On Record

[BlueJay]

Sigh...I guess it will be OK if we can stay above freezing!

[Heat Miser]

True, but NWS H/G again says it will be the far northern areas of southeast Texas. Houston and southward, same ole same ole (cold rain and misery).....

[srainhoutx]

Actually the 00Z GFS shows a bit of sleet after the next Arctic front arrives at IAH.

[BlueJay]

Will March 2015 be the coldest month of this winter? I hope not...

[unome]

http://www.cpcpara.ncep.noaa.gov/

For Monday March 02 - Friday March 06: An arctic air mass is forecast to move southward and eastward out of western Canada early in the period. Unseasonably cold air is expected to overspread most of the lower 48 states, reaching the Eastern Seaboard by the end of next week. Temperatures are predicted to range between 12 and 32 degrees F below normal, with the largest departures in the Central CONUS.

[redneckweather]

No, we will not see any wintry precip with next weeks front, no matter what the models say. How many times have the models shown wintry precip for us this fall/winter season in the medium to long range? Way too many times to count and NADA when the time came. More miserable weather with a cold rain next week.

[Heat Miser]

Actually the 00Z GFS shows a bit of sleet after the next Arctic front arrives at IAH.

That would be interesting, but I'm pretty sure it will be well north of the Houston area. NWSHG still sees this possible event as a far north event.

strong cold front that is expected to move through the area on Wednesday.
The frontal timing will play a significant role on wednesday's high
temperatures...and for now have indicated falling readings in the afternoon.
It will become breezy and colder behind the front...and up north where
temperatures might get close to the freezing level Wednesday night through
Thursday morning we might need to keep an eye on the possibility of
some frozen precipitation.

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z GFS continues the trend of advertising wintry weather across a lot of our Region which includes, Central/N/NE/E and portions of SE Texas into Louisiana. The GFS suggests 2 meter temperatures running anywhere from the mid to upper 20's to the low 30's by Thursday morning depending on your location, if the GFS is correct.

The attachment 02282015 12Z GFS 108 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png is no longer available

[harpman]

The 12Z GFS continues the trend of advertising wintry weather across a lot of our Region which includes, Central/N/NE/E and portions of SE Texas into Louisiana. The GFS suggests 2 meter temperatures running anywhere from the mid to upper 20's to the low 30's by Thursday morning depending on your location, if the GFS is correct.

02282015 12Z GFS 108 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png

02282015 12Z GFS 114 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_19.png

02282015 12Z GFS 120 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_20.png

It's been showing this set up for 6 to 7 runs in a row now.

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z Euro has trended 'wetter' and 'colder' as the shortwave (upper air disturbance) embedded in the mean cold upper trough lingers back to our W a bit longer. We will see, but somewhere across Texas/Louisiana on N and E may see a fairly good shot of seeing a wintry mix if the trends continue.

[Ptarmigan]

The 12Z Euro has trended 'wetter' and 'colder' as the shortwave (upper air disturbance) embedded in the mean cold upper trough lingers back to our W a bit longer. We will see, but somewhere across Texas/Louisiana on N and E may see a fairly good shot of seeing a wintry mix if the trends continue.

02282015 12Z Euro f120.gif

Maybe Houston will see some winter weather........

[Heat Miser]

Maybe Houston will see some winter weather........

Probably not according to the local NWS office.
That window of opportunity is dwindling even more now as we head into March.

Temperatures Thursday morning
should reach freezing mainly for College Station over to
Huntsville. While precipitation should be ending there may be enough
moisture early Thursday morning for a wintry mix of precipitation for these
same areas. Precipitation chances should be ending through the morning so
do not expect there to be much of an impact. Still will mention to
keep people on their toes after a rapid increase in temperatures followed
by the cold front.

[jasons2k]

Maybe Houston will see some winter weather........

Probably not according to the local NWS office.

Temperatures Thursday morning should reach freezing mainly for College Station over to
Huntsville.

Yeah, well they said something very similar 2X just in the last week, and we all saw how that worked out.

[Paul Robison]

If thunderstorms erupt during the forecast period, how strong will they be? Curious, since that seems to be turning up in the AFDs

[nuby3]

They'd be pretty typical, Paul. Rain with some lightning and a few gusty breezes

[Kludge]

I just bought a 50 gallon drum of fly killer, so that we can keep them out of the ointment.

I also dispatched a memo to mr gore, asking that if the globe is warming, can it hurry the efff up and do so???!

I'm ready to close this winter chapter, and move on to some rumblin' storms and Spring gully washers.

Winter '14/15 over & out...

[jasons2k]

Bah humbug! From the NWS:

WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...HAVE CONTINUED YESTERDAY`S TREND OF SLIGHTLY LOWERING
TEMPERATURES.

CONDITIONS STILL LOOK FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE FROZEN PRECIP UP NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LOT OF TIME FOR THIS FORECAST TO CHANGE...SO STAY TUNED.

[cperk]

Bah humbug! From the NWS:

WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...HAVE CONTINUED YESTERDAY`S TREND OF SLIGHTLY LOWERING
TEMPERATURES.

CONDITIONS STILL LOOK FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE FROZEN PRECIP UP NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LOT OF TIME FOR THIS FORECAST TO CHANGE...SO STAY TUNED.

jasons (SO STAY TUNED)we're several days away from this event.

[redneckweather]

Boy howdy, ain't gonna lie. It looks like this front coming in next week is gonna have some elbows on it!

[srainhoutx]

The 12Z GFS continues the trend seen yesterday via the Euro of a slower ejection of the upper air disturbance over Northern Mexico after the Arctic front arrives Tuesday night into Wednesday. This next front appears to have a punch with it and with upper energy associated with the upper trough hanging back to our West and SW, over running precipitation appears to be gaining some strength Wednesday night into at least early Thursday.