April: Sunny and Dry Heading Into May

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djjordan
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
442 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN TRINITY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 530 AM CDT

* AT 441 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
SOUTH OF RIVERSIDE TO NEAR WILLIS...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE DAMAGING WINDS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLEVELAND...WILLIS...LIVINGSTON...SHEPHERD...PANORAMA VILLAGE...
ONALASKA...NEW WAVERLY...COLDSPRING...POINT BLANK...GOODRICH...
NORTH CLEVELAND...SEVEN OAKS...LAKE LIVINGSTON STATE PARK...WEST
LIVINGSTON...EVERGREEN...LEGGETT AND OAKHURST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
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BlueJay
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My rain gauge reports 0.01 inches of rain. Currently it's 59F.
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jasons2k
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Not a drop here.

I used to live about a mile from that baseball stadium in Frisco when it first opened. That place went from nothing to major suburb overnight.
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srainhoutx
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Not a drop of rain overnight. The pollen is the worse I've seen in years and is giving me fits. The overnight guidance continues to be bullish of a potent short wave to our W and a Coastal trough developing as the frontal boundary lifts N as a warm front. It appears the best chance of showers and some isolated storms may be on Sunday into early Monday. Fingers crossed!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
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Kludge
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0.82" "IMBY" . Lots of FUNder. ;)

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BlueJay
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Kludge - Is this a symbol? Break the cap? Clever!
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mckinne63
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srainhoutx wrote:Not a drop of rain overnight. The pollen is the worse I've seen in years and is giving me fits. The overnight guidance continues to be bullish of a potent short wave to our W and a Coastal trough developing as the frontal boundary lifts N as a warm front. It appears the best chance of showers and some isolated storms may be on Sunday into early Monday. Fingers crossed!
I was just saying that to a friend and he said "we get this every year." I don't recall it being this bad! I thought our pool was having an algae problem, than realized it was all pollen at the bottom. I washed my car on Wednesday, by Thursday it was coated again! Going to rinse it off today, though I know it's a futile effort.
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mckinne63
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Kludge wrote:0.82" "IMBY" . Lots of FUNder. ;)

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Too funny!
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BlueJay
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It certainly was a beautiful day on the fourth day of the fourth month 2014!
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SusieinLP
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I'll be outside early in the morning until about noon near Sealy. Do I need a jacket or sweater?
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BlueJay
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Susie - Take a jacket and an umbrella, just in case!
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Katdaddy
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Cold front stationary offshore will begin moving N as a warm front this morning. Some light rain or drizzle may develop this afternoon. A strong upper level disturbance and coastal trough will lead to high rain chances overnight and Sunday morning. A few storms could possibly become strong. Most of the rain and thunderstorms should push out of SE TX around noon tomorrow.
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jojotheidiotclown
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When does the warmup start? This spring has been strange. Too cold. Next week has lows damn near in the 40's.
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Paul Robison

Does any one if the atmospheric dynamics support any severe thunderstorms for tonight and Sunday?
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jeff
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Models seeming overdone on precip thus far...same thing all winter. They really go to town over C LA where a good bit a cell training looks possible on the warm front which surges inland...that could be a bit high also given the current lack of development off the LA coast compared to what the models are suggesting should be ongoing.
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Paul Robison

[quote="Ed Mahmoud"]
Shape of 6 hour precip on WxBell PPV Euro could suggest very isolated supercells travelling ESE, which would be favorable for severe, but not a widespread beneficial rainfall. I-10 and South are under the center of it. 5 days out, and not good agreement with the GFS, it is a hope, not an expectation. Euro WxBell PPV ensembles nowhere near as cheerful on precip.
I'll quote this post in a page or two, but 0Z and 12Z GFS will hotlink below. Fantasy land GFS has somerain, at this point, but is pretty depressing.



Are you saying, Ed, that Houstonians should brace for severe t-storms to blast through the area in six hours?
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djmike
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OK. When is it going to rain? NWS for Beaumont has had 70-80% all day and nothing has transpired. Its actually been a nice sunny breezy day here. Im afraid models have overdone all these rain events. Oh well...ready for a good thunderstorm. :(
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Paul Robison

djmike wrote:OK. When is it going to rain? NWS for Beaumont has had 70-80% all day and nothing has transpired. Its actually been a nice sunny breezy day here. Im afraid models have overdone all these rain events. Oh well...ready for a good thunderstorm. :(
They sure have overdone them. Even new NAMHIRES doesn't seem sold on the idea of heavy/severe rain events here in the Houston metro. But then, I could be wrong....
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BlueJay
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I can report a dampened driveway but NO measurable rain at this time.
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BlueJay
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Looks like most of us are under a severe thunderstorm watch until 2 pm today.
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