March: Comfortable Weekend Weather & Warming Trend

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srainhoutx
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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by srainhoutx » Fri Mar 28, 2014 3:22 pm

Update from Jeff:

SPC has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the northern parts of SE TX effective until 1000pm.

The watch is along and mainly north of FM 2920 and US 290.

Line of severe thunderstorms that have had a history of producing damaging hail and winds over C TX this moving eastward and will be approaching the College Station area in the next 2-3 hours. 19Z balloon launch from UH showed excessive instability of over 3700 J/kg, but capping still in place. 17Z launch from A&M showed capping still holding, but this was several hours ago and surface heating has likely eroded the cap in that region and as far south as Montgomery County. Looks like surface temperatures will need to reach 85-86 degrees to overcome the mid level warm layer (cap) and that is looking unlikely across the southern half of the region. Recent cell develop just west of College Station suggest the cap is very weak in this area and incoming C TX storms will hold severe intensities as they move ESE. Severe storms along the dryline have held together nicely this afternoon and are likely generating a cold pool of air that will help sustain their forward progress into the evening hours into the northern portions of SE TX. With such excessive amounts of instability in place over the region damaging hail…and a few extreme reports up to baseball size…will be possible along with wind gusts to 70mph. Should see the storms cross the northern portions of the area between 600pm and 900pm with the greatest threat for damaging severe weather from College Station to Conroe to Liberty and on northward.
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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by jasons2k » Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:02 pm

These storms are right-turners so they may hold together for a long time.

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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by unome » Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:06 pm

from WeatherNation's Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation

Golf ball sized hail reported with the severe storms moving through Texas and Arkansas. Thanks to @timbofowler for the photo from Copperas Cove, Texas.

Image

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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by srainhoutx » Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:23 pm

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been expanded to include all of SE Texas and Coastal waters.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by mckinne63 » Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:26 pm

When can we expect the storms? Skies are clear in Stafford.

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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by srainhoutx » Fri Mar 28, 2014 4:38 pm

Update from Jeff:

Watch has been expanded to include all SE TX counties except Jackson and Matagorda until 1000pm.

Line of severe thunderstorms is approaching the area the NW. Air mass over SE TX is very unstable and should help to support this line all the way to the coast. Appears just enough heating has taken place to allow the capping to be broken, but I am still a bit wary on just how far south the line will make it.

Given the linear look of the line…damaging wind threat will be the increasing threat into the evening hours.

 
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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by cisa » Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:03 pm

I friend just posted a picture on his Facebook of a goofball sized hail stone in Temple. When I left work in Conroe about 4pm, it was 90 degrees.
No rain, no rainbows.

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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by Andrew » Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:30 pm

Unfortunately locally the "aggie bubble" as it is called hit pretty hard and we didn't get much rain but we did have some pretty awesome outflow gusts. All around us though some pretty intense storms took place with strong winds and large hail
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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by weatherguy425 » Fri Mar 28, 2014 5:34 pm

Time to watch 'discrete' cells developing ahead of the main line. Storm in far northwestern Harris County is strengthening and could become severe-warned before too long, IMO. Also, while not easily defined on radar, I wouldn't be surprised if there was some sort of sea/bay breeze today - just adding to the mix.

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Re: March: Slight Risk Severe Storms Friday. Nice Weekend

Post by Ptarmigan » Fri Mar 28, 2014 6:15 pm

First severe thunderstorm of the season.

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