January: Calmer Pattern To End The Month

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Paul Robison

Oboy! And I thought WE were going to have problems!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
931 PM CST MON JAN 27 2014

...SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
COLD AIR WILL FILTER IN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY AND SPREAD
PRECIPITATION BACK INTO THE AREA. WITH A VERY COLD AIRMASS ALREADY
IN PLACE... PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO FALL AS FREEZING
RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW ACROSS MOST OR ALL OF THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FROM ICING DUE TO FREEZING
RAIN AS WELL AS SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS WITH TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES FALLING.

LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-281145-
/O.CON.KLIX.WS.W.0001.140128T1200Z-140129T1200Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-
ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-
LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER...
BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...
LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...
BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...DONALDSONVILLE...
DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...
PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...RESERVE...
THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...
KENNER...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...
HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...CHAUVIN...DULAC...MONTEGUT...GALLIANO...
CUT OFF...GOLDEN MEADOW...PORT SULPHUR...EMPIRE...YSCLOSKEY...
AMITE...KENTWOOD...HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...CENTREVILLE...
WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN...
PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...
BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...
ST. MARTIN
931 PM CST MON JAN 27 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

* TIMING...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS
DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED FROM MIDDAY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN IN THE FORM OF FREEZING
RAIN ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL SLOWLY
TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW GENERALLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE
10 CORRIDOR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED IN ALL
LOCATIONS WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY NEARING ONE HALF INCH
SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND IN THE METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS AREA. SNOW AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT LOUISIANA PARISHES. ELSEWHERE IN
THE WARNED AREA...SNOW AMOUNTS OF NEAR TO LESS THAN ONE INCH
ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...A HARD FREEZE IS LIKELY ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AND WIND CHILL VALUES
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACT...DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BECOME ESPECIALLY
HAZARDOUS BEGINNING BY DAYBREAK TOMORROW MORNING THROUGH MID-
MORNING. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE DAY
ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT RISE
ABOVE FREEZING FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF TIME...HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY. IN
ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS WITH POWER LINES AND
TREE LIMBS BECOMING TOO HEAVY TO MAINTAIN THEIR INTEGRITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET... AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.


Hey, I'm not laughing at them. We've been there too, right?
Last edited by Paul Robison on Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
relic57
Posts: 23
Joined: Mon Nov 01, 2010 6:21 pm
Location: Atascocita, Tx.
Contact:

Temp is starting to drop quickly here in Atascocita...46 and dew point of 16
Paul Robison

relic57 wrote:Temp is starting to drop quickly here in Atascocita...46 and dew point of 16

That's nothing compared to New Orleans. From NOLA.COM:

Louisiana utility giants Entergy and Cleco are preparing for a winter weather system that could bring snow, ice and freezing temperatures to much of their service territories on Tuesday morning (Jan. 28). Citing grim weather forecasts, both companies warned on Monday that accumulating ice could lead to broken trees and branches, which in turn could result in widespread power outages.

"Ice storms can present a difficult restoration because temperatures can fall during the night and refreeze melting ice," Cleco executive Anthony Bunting said in a news release.

Cleco warned that downed power lines can be energized and present safety hazards. The company also noted that the buildup of ice on highways and roads can lead to closures or difficulty accessing certain areas of the state.

"The impact of ice storms is very difficult to predict," Entergy spokesman Dennis Dawsey said in a news release. "Power outage restoration may extend into three to five days for some customers, depending on the severity of the damage."

Entergy advised customers who lose power during extreme cold to turn off their electric heating systems, lights and appliances. Once power is restored, Entergy officials advised turning the devices back on one at a time, and slowly, to avoid a power surge.

Entergy listed some tips for individuals in the path of a winter storm:

•Don't trim trees or remove debris on or near downed power lines. Only power company crews or their contractors should remove trees or limbs touching power lines.
•If you plan to use a generator for temporary power, get a licensed electrician and disconnect from the utility electric system before hooking up to your home main electric panel.
•Keep away from the areas where crews are working. There is always the danger of moving equipment and the possibility of construction materials or limbs or overhead wires falling to the ground.
•Do not run a generator in a confined space without adequate ventilation.


To report a live wire or dangling power lines, contact at Cleco at 1.800.622.6537, or Entergy at 1.800.968.8243.

For power outage information, visit Cleco and Entergy websites.

Grim would understating things!
Last edited by Paul Robison on Tue Jan 28, 2014 1:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Paul
Posts: 535
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 11:46 pm
Location: Pearland
Contact:

a lot of weather stations in CLL reporting 32F-33F....line moves up just north of Madisonville at 32F....

Katy at 39F 24F dewpoint....slowly filtering in...
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3438
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston
Contact:

Ed Mahmoud wrote:CLL is 33ºF with very light rain. It won't be a complete bust there. 45 minutes ago.

Looking at temps, one can predict where precip has started, rather efficient wet bulbing happening..

Freezing rain already starting. Cars are freezing over especially. Back-building out west looks concerning
For Your Infinite Source For All Things Weather Visit Our Facebook
User avatar
wthrwave
Posts: 13
Joined: Sun Dec 09, 2012 10:28 pm
Location: Bryan Briarcrest/Boonville
Contact:

Sorry, I fell asleep. Very, very, very light precip @ about my 1:45 time. I could actually change my location within a few feet and feel the difference of no precip at tall for a good 5 seconds ... that's how light it was ! Temp. at my house has been holding and waffling .. ( lets talk! ). Love this forum and its pro mets (WOW). Can't wait to see what happens in the morn. :? ;)
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3438
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston
Contact:

The models just did an absolutely HORRIBLE job at predicting moisture coverage. Way more moisture than predicted and farther north (yet again). Should transition south as we go throughout the night into tomorrow. Sitting pretty at 31 right now up here in KCLL and RH has increased a good 25-30%
For Your Infinite Source For All Things Weather Visit Our Facebook
basketballrox
Posts: 6
Joined: Mon Jan 27, 2014 7:15 pm
Contact:

I live in San Marcos which is just south of Austin. It seems to me that stuff is building like crazy to my west. Any chance of decent accumulations in my neck of the woods?
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3438
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston
Contact:

basketballrox wrote:I live in San Marcos which is just south of Austin. It seems to me that stuff is building like crazy to my west. Any chance of decent accumulations in my neck of the woods?
Already hearing reports of some accumulation around those parts.
For Your Infinite Source For All Things Weather Visit Our Facebook
vci_guy2003
Posts: 203
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 4:04 am
Contact:

Biggest bust in Houston weather history
nuby3
Posts: 387
Joined: Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:25 pm
Location: THE WOODLANDS PARKWAY and FM 2978
Contact:

I think now is the time I am going to say that computers are not as intelligent as humans and we should begin to abandon the idea that they can predict the weather. younger generations are only going to depend on them more and themselves less and this trend will only continue
ticka1
Posts: 1265
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:02 pm
Location: Baytown/Mont Belvieu
Contact:

bust
MRG93415
Posts: 123
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 3:36 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

I have a serious question here. I have to go to work downtown..According to what is happening now, will it be ok to get home. I have to drive because the Park n rides are closed. Just dont want to deal with ice coming home. It doesnt look like it but I just want to make sure before I head out.
Brandy3835
Posts: 10
Joined: Sun Jan 26, 2014 6:42 pm
Contact:

I am in Beaumont still under warning should I expect anything major out of this or can I go to work?
User avatar
wxman57
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 2621
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:34 am
Location: Southwest Houston (Westbury)
Contact:

U of H sounding in progress. Balloon just passed 500mb (18,000 ft).
ticka1
Posts: 1265
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:02 pm
Location: Baytown/Mont Belvieu
Contact:

wxman57 wrote:U of H sounding in progress. Balloon just passed 500mb (18,000 ft).
wxman your thoughts please?
basketballrox
Posts: 6
Joined: Mon Jan 27, 2014 7:15 pm
Contact:

Here in Austin, our morning weather man said he has never seen the radar blow up like it has in the last three hours! I'm in San Marcos and hoping the band will move through us as well. What comes through here usually heads to Houston
nuby3
Posts: 387
Joined: Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:25 pm
Location: THE WOODLANDS PARKWAY and FM 2978
Contact:

ya know, I am starting to think that we have only seen the first in a series of disturbances and maybe we will still get some later. not quite what we were expecting but I haven't given up yet
nuby3
Posts: 387
Joined: Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:25 pm
Location: THE WOODLANDS PARKWAY and FM 2978
Contact:

I have pretty good returns at my location but still np precip. I bet the temps fall quickly now. dry air starting to be overcome. I'm not giving up on this thing.
nuby3
Posts: 387
Joined: Mon Feb 22, 2010 10:25 pm
Location: THE WOODLANDS PARKWAY and FM 2978
Contact:

Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 56 guests