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srainhoutx wrote:

stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?

Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.

Modoki Nino's tend to be fairly generous to our area during our favorite time of the year... WINTER!

Typically cool and wet.

srainhoutx wrote:

stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?

Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.

When there is a Modoki El Nino, the winters tend to be colder. 1904-1905, 1911-1912, 1963-1964, 1976-1977, 1977-1978,and 2009-2010 were Modoki El Nino with cold winters.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 has warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remains the same. Region 3 cooled.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.8ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 warmed. Region 3.4 and 4 remains the same.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.0ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 4.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.0ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. The rest are unchanged.

El Niño Watch
https://www.climate.gov/enso

Looks like El Nino could develop again this year.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -1.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 remains the same. Region 3.4 and 4 warmed.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -1.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 remains the same. All the regions warmed.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.7ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remain the same.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 have warmed. Region 3.4 is the same. Region 4 has cooled.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 remains the same. All other regions cooled.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 remains the same. Region 3 and 3.4 has cooled.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.1ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 cooled.

Modoki El Nino is looking more and more likely this winter...

srainhoutx wrote:Modoki El Nino is looking more and more likely this winter...

Let's see. The last time we had a Modoki El Nino was 2009-2010. The previous winter of 2008-2009 was a weak La Nina. Last winter was also a weak La Nina and was back to back with 2016-2017, like 2007-2008. Winter of 2009-2010 is one of the coldest winter. This suggests a cold winter is possible.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 and 4 warmed.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed up.

Here comes the Nino