ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Fri May 18, 2018 9:08 am

srainhoutx wrote:
stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?
Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.
Modoki Nino's tend to be fairly generous to our area during our favorite time of the year... WINTER!

Typically cool and wet.
Team #NeverSummer

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Ptarmigan
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Sun May 20, 2018 10:36 am

srainhoutx wrote:
stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?
Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.
When there is a Modoki El Nino, the winters tend to be colder. 1904-1905, 1911-1912, 1963-1964, 1976-1977, 1977-1978,and 2009-2010 were Modoki El Nino with cold winters.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon May 21, 2018 6:11 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 has warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remains the same. Region 3 cooled.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Tue May 29, 2018 6:06 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.8ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 warmed. Region 3.4 and 4 remains the same.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 04, 2018 6:54 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.0ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 4.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 11, 2018 6:09 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.0ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. The rest are unchanged.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Sun Jun 17, 2018 11:08 am

El Niño Watch
https://www.climate.gov/enso

Looks like El Nino could develop again this year.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 18, 2018 5:59 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -1.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 remains the same. Region 3.4 and 4 warmed.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 25, 2018 9:45 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -1.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 remains the same. All the regions warmed.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 02, 2018 8:25 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.7ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remain the same.

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