December 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 08, 2023 3:25 pm Hope the weather next week / especially thursday isnt bad, im graduating from Texas A&M with a degree in environmental studies! I joined this group right as i began my first year at A&M, amazing how fast time goes by
Congratulations. What will you do after graduation?
Stratton20
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tireman4 not entirely sure yet, im exploring my options, hopefully something to do with the weather though given its one of my biggest passions
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 08, 2023 5:52 pm tireman4 not entirely sure yet, im exploring my options, hopefully something to do with the weather though given its one of my biggest passions
Stick with what you’re passionate about. In the end it’ll make you a successful person. Don’t let money be a deciding factor either. If you find a job making big money that you’re passionate about then it’s a win win situation but just make sure you’re passionate about your job, because in the end, the money will come with your success. When I was in my teenage years, all I cared about was money and wanting a six-figure income. I found out the hard way that’s the wrong mentality to have. Also, don’t let your parents spoil you too much. Be as independent as possible. My mom spoiled the heck outta me and it really stunted my growth.
Cpv17
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The 12z EPS has a pretty good signal for rain. Love what I’m seeing there.
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Ptarmigan
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Dec 08, 2023 10:24 am Defining those terms is a slippery slope. Machine Learning is a subcomponent of AI and the models have been incorporating machine learning for decades now. The way the models were built in the first place isn’t very different from machine learning. Conceptually it’s the same - you get a set of initial conditions, run a set of possible outcomes, choose the most accurate outcomes verified against the control (the actual weather verification), rinse and repeat to improve the outcome. We’ve been essentially doing that since 1956 with every model update but now it’s accelerating like an exponential curve with today’s computing power.

Interestingly, AI is now advancing at a much faster rate than Moore’s law. It’s exciting and scary all at once.
There is also quantum computing.
https://www.ibm.com/topics/quantum-computing

Quantum computers can be used to solve complex problems that traditional computers cannot. They can solve the traveling salesman problem. It could be used weather forecast.
Pas_Bon
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Quantum computing will prove to be one of the greatest technological leaps in human history. Y’all think technological advancements happen quickly now? Wait until quantum computing pervades almost every aspect of technology. The potential applications are mind-boggling.
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Stratton20 wrote: Fri Dec 08, 2023 3:25 pm Hope the weather next week / especially thursday isnt bad, im graduating from Texas A&M with a degree in environmental studies! I joined this group right as i began my first year at A&M, amazing how fast time goes by
Congradulations.
javakah
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Nearly 80 degrees here, but other parts of the state (Amarillo) are below freezing right now. Always wild.
Stratton20
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Models are trending towards bringing the cut off low next week much closer to our neck of the woods, that could help rain chances around here, fingers crossed
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jasons2k
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Congratulations to you Stratton!

As for the weather, playing-out as expected - from the NWS:

Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 32. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Cromagnum
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What time today is the front expected in the Houston metro?
davidiowx
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 1:04 pm What time today is the front expected in the Houston metro?
In the next hour or so
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davidiowx wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 4:01 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 1:04 pm What time today is the front expected in the Houston metro?
In the next hour or so
Is the forum clock off? My phone says 3:41 and it's showing you posted that at 4:01
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tireman4
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 4:06 pm
davidiowx wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 4:01 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 1:04 pm What time today is the front expected in the Houston metro?
In the next hour or so
Is the forum clock off? My phone says 3:41 and it's showing you posted that at 4:01

NWS said 4 to 6 pm
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Rip76
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I guess it got held up.
Wind is picking up, ever so slightly.
javakah
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Storms out here on the western side of the area are really starting to blow up.
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I see lightning ⚡️ off to the west.
Cromagnum
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I see Directv is still in a pissing match with someone and I can't watch CBS.
davidiowx
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 4:06 pm
davidiowx wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 4:01 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Dec 09, 2023 1:04 pm What time today is the front expected in the Houston metro?
In the next hour or so
Is the forum clock off? My phone says 3:41 and it's showing you posted that at 4:01
Yea, I was referencing what the NWS said earlier today in their discussion (4pm to 6pm fropa). It’s about to roll through here. Some nice storms along the front.
suprdav2
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Nothing here in Cypress. Guess it decided to blow up after coming through this side of town.
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