March 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Weekend Showers?

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srainhoutx
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Re: March 2019: Cooler/Drier WX

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Mar 14, 2019 7:15 am

Cooler and drier air is filtering South behind the band of showers this morning. A stronger 850mb cold front is advancing South from N Texas and should arrive later today bringing some additional cooler and drier air for tonight into the Weekend. I emptied 0.63 of an inch from the gauge and the pollen seems to have washed away. Get out and enjoy the weather the next few days. That noisy sub tropical jet looks to bring a series of disturbances through our Region keeping some mid and high level clouds overhead and a chance of some rain closer to the Coast and offshore. No significant rain chances throughout the next 7 days.

Our next weather maker does show up in the extended range and may offer another severe weather episode toward the last week of March.
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Re: March 2019: Rain/Storm Chances Tuesday/Wednesday

Post by jasons » Thu Mar 14, 2019 7:24 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 2:14 am
Interesting line of storms up to our NW headed this way. Intense rainfall for sure. Was not expecting to see that on the radar during the middle of the night.
Yes, something changed on yesterday. We were supposed to get a squall line with a cold front, stalling near the coast, and then a push of colder air today to clear us out. Simple and straightforward.

Then yesterday, almost changing in real-time, front comes through with squall line, we cool into the 50’s, then front washes out with rising temperatures last night (that wasn’t expected), followed by another frontal push with storms this morning (again, never mentioned until last night), and then we do finally get the colder push today with the 850mb front. I thought, maybe I was losing it, but I went back and re-read Jeff’s emails and the NWS discussions, and I can’t find anything mentioning the initial front washing out and then another round of storms Thur AM. Crazy.

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Re: March 2019: Rain/Storm Chances Tuesday/Wednesday

Post by BlueJay » Thu Mar 14, 2019 9:13 am

jasons wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 7:24 am
Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 2:14 am
Interesting line of storms up to our NW headed this way. Intense rainfall for sure. Was not expecting to see that on the radar during the middle of the night.
Yes, something changed on yesterday. We were supposed to get a squall line with a cold front, stalling near the coast, and then a push of colder air today to clear us out. Simple and straightforward.

Then yesterday, almost changing in real-time, front comes through with squall line, we cool into the 50’s, then front washes out with rising temperatures last night (that wasn’t expected), followed by another frontal push with storms this morning (again, never mentioned until last night), and then we do finally get the colder push today with the 850mb front. I thought, maybe I was losing it, but I went back and re-read Jeff’s emails and the NWS discussions, and I can’t find anything mentioning the initial front washing out and then another round of storms Thur AM. Crazy.

On KHOU, Chita and Blake reported that this would happen. They were pretty dead on with the timing also.

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Re: March 2019: Rain/Storm Chances Tuesday/Wednesday

Post by jasons » Thu Mar 14, 2019 10:52 am

BlueJay wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 9:13 am
jasons wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 7:24 am
Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 2:14 am
Interesting line of storms up to our NW headed this way. Intense rainfall for sure. Was not expecting to see that on the radar during the middle of the night.
Yes, something changed on yesterday. We were supposed to get a squall line with a cold front, stalling near the coast, and then a push of colder air today to clear us out. Simple and straightforward.

Then yesterday, almost changing in real-time, front comes through with squall line, we cool into the 50’s, then front washes out with rising temperatures last night (that wasn’t expected), followed by another frontal push with storms this morning (again, never mentioned until last night), and then we do finally get the colder push today with the 850mb front. I thought, maybe I was losing it, but I went back and re-read Jeff’s emails and the NWS discussions, and I can’t find anything mentioning the initial front washing out and then another round of storms Thur AM. Crazy.
On KHOU, Chita and Blake reported that this would happen. They were pretty dead on with the timing also.
That's awesome!! I was surprised. Maybe I should watch KHOU more :lol:

Nice few days ahead! Enjoy it everyone!

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Re: March 2019: Cooler/Drier WX

Post by DoctorMu » Thu Mar 14, 2019 12:28 pm

TG! DRY AIR at last in the Brazos Valley! Low dewpoints for the next week. The weeds are out of control, despite pre-emergence treatment. Am scalping the front lawn late this afternoon. Will have to raise the mower just to handle the back.

One of our yellow labs loves to roll on newly cut lawns. Her back will be green again for St. Patrick's Day!


A puzzling yellow orb is out in the sky this afternoon - enjoy this fine weather while it lasts!! Severe season and summer lurk in our future.

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Re: March 2019: Cooler/Drier WX

Post by Belmer » Thu Mar 14, 2019 6:34 pm

What a complicated start to meteorological Spring we've already had... yet the season has yet to officially begin.
Dixie Alley has lived up to its name so far the last few weeks. Even a confirmed large tornado hit just SW of Flint, MI earlier this evening. This 'bomb cyclone' meant business.

Unfortunately what was looking like a beautiful weekend earlier this week doesn't look quite as beautiful anymore. The front looks to stall closer to the coast than being pushed out further into the Gulf as models once indicated. Along the stationary front, a couple shortwave troughs will move through along the active SW flow throughout the weekend. Models have generally been keeping the bulk of the precipitation offshore, though recent runs are hinting that the precip may be closer to the coast/south of I-10. Tomorrow may be wetter than is being advertised, especially near the late afternoon and evening.

Hopefully Sunday we can squeeze out a decent day with a bit of sunshine.
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Re: March 2019: Cooler/Drier WX

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Mar 14, 2019 6:43 pm

Belmer wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 6:34 pm
What a complicated start to meteorological Spring we've already had... yet the season has yet to officially begin.
Dixie Alley has lived up to its name so far the last few weeks. Even a confirmed large tornado hit just SW of Flint, MI earlier this evening. This 'bomb cyclone' meant business.

Unfortunately what was looking like a beautiful weekend earlier this week doesn't look quite as beautiful anymore. The front looks to stall closer to the coast than being pushed out further into the Gulf as models once indicated. Along the stationary front, a couple shortwave troughs will move through along the active SW flow throughout the weekend. Models have generally been keeping the bulk of the precipitation offshore, though recent runs are hinting that the precip may be closer to the coast/south of I-10. Tomorrow may be wetter than is being advertised, especially near the late afternoon and evening.

Hopefully Sunday we can squeeze out a decent day with a bit of sunshine.
These fronts are giving forecasters fits the past couple weeks. I don’t ever recall it being this bad.

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Re: March 2019: Cooler/Drier WX

Post by Belmer » Thu Mar 14, 2019 6:56 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Mar 14, 2019 6:43 pm
These fronts are giving forecasters fits the past couple weeks. I don’t ever recall it being this bad.
Agreed - I have a few friends/connections that work at some NWS offices across the country and we've been discussing how complicated the past 3-4 months have been across much of the U.S., not just down here.

Mother Nature will do what Mother Nature wants to do. :roll:
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Re: March 2019: Cooler WX/Coastal Showers Possible

Post by unome » Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:16 pm

NWS Omaha evacuated due to flooding, radar temporarily off - hope everyone stays safe
NWS Hastings is backing up NWS Omaha. We will do the best we can to continue the flow of information. Please bear with us.

https://weather.com/news/news/2019-03-1 ... st-impacts
https://www.weather.gov/oax/
https://twitter.com/NWSOmaha
https://www.facebook.com/pg/NWSOmaha/posts
https://twitter.com/iembot_oax
https://water.weather.gov/ahps/?current ... fresh=true

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Re: March 2019: Cooler WX/Coastal Showers Possible

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:24 pm

Models are starting to trend wet for next weekend. Could be our next big rainmaker.

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