Search found 224 matches

by brooksgarner
Mon Nov 05, 2018 3:39 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Update: KHOU Weather Forum IS Back..for now
Replies: 31
Views: 32420

IT'S BACK!!! - Re: Good Bye KHOU Weather Forum

3:25PM Monday 11/5/18- All, There was some miscommunication today, but the KHOU weather forum is back. It has been reinstated and will be alive through this month. At that time, the forum will either be transferred to an upgraded platform with a more secure way of communicating, or perhaps the data...
by brooksgarner
Tue Sep 18, 2018 11:57 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 327619

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances Increase Late Week

As of Noon, this Tuesday 9/18/18 .... The NHC has stopped tracking the, "0% region", removing the yellow hatch area ... But, storms there continue to fire around the wave... Hopefully the wind shear continues to do its job to end this thing... Tracking high PWATs coming our way, to SETX, T...
by brooksgarner
Thu Aug 30, 2018 1:29 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 327619

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Labor Day Weekend Outlook

Here's my briefing on PTC#6 and the tropical wave.
link --> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XU5igTw ... e=youtu.be
by brooksgarner
Wed Aug 29, 2018 12:49 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: AUGUST 2018 - Scatterd Showers/Storms To End August
Replies: 263
Views: 120339

Re: AUGUST 2018 - Scatterd Showers/Storms To End August

We've had 3.2" of rain on the west side in under 2hrs... street flooding possible.
by brooksgarner
Wed Jul 11, 2018 3:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: a shout-out to Brooks Garner from chaser, Jim Edds
Replies: 1
Views: 3299

Re: a shout-out to Brooks Garner from chaser, Jim Edds

Oh yeah, Jim's a great guy. Met him at a conference years ago. He's an amazing dude, traveling the world to chase typhoons, cyclones and hurricanes. Thanks for thinking of me!
by brooksgarner
Thu Jun 21, 2018 1:09 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Flood Advisory for Crosby area, south of Lake Houston... Activity like this should generally dissipate as the day continues. This storm is tiny, by the way, just 7mi by 4mi.... or 28 sq miles... and it's stationary. Dropped 2.12" in an hour at HCFC gauge - Gum Gully @ Diamond Head Boulevard nea...
by brooksgarner
Thu Jun 21, 2018 11:24 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

A HUGE thank you to all the pro mets ( Brooks, Andrew, Srain, Wxman 57, Jeff, Belmer and Mcheer) that came on here and helped with the forecasts and general observations. It is because of you and the amateur mets that we are able to have such a strong board. Thank you again. You are too kind to wri...
by brooksgarner
Thu Jun 21, 2018 10:47 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

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Seeing the short range model trends and observing the rain dissipating in Matagorda County, I'm growingly confident that we'll see an end to this rain faster than earlier anticipated. HRRR forecasts a quiet evening commute with generally dissipating rain.
by brooksgarner
Thu Jun 21, 2018 7:06 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

On this last day of heavy rain event ... Ball park future precip estimates range from 1"-3" where storms set up this morning along and south of 59, and most impactful rain ends before evening commute. NWS says last time Bush IAH airport saw greater than 1" of rain for four consecutive...
by brooksgarner
Wed Jun 20, 2018 3:58 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Checking the gauges on harris county flood control, the highest rainfall we've spotted in this band is about 2" per hour.... cold pooling behind this line MAY push it through, sparing us... Hoping the westward progression of that low doesn't effectively stop forward motion of this line.
by brooksgarner
Wed Jun 20, 2018 3:19 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Any chance this band coming in from the west slows down and trains like it did in Beaumont or Corpus area? Or will this move through by this evening? I guess that is a tough question lol.. This has been pretty difficult to forecast by the NWS I imagine. Yes. That's what we're worried about... that ...
by brooksgarner
Wed Jun 20, 2018 1:52 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

The HRRR shows a possible focus of rain coming closer to our region over next 18hrs.... Not to say that this would cause flooding, but it would cause rain.
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by brooksgarner
Wed Jun 20, 2018 12:19 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

The threat for Houston metro will be enhanced by any outflow boundaries which result from this energy cruising up through Wharton and Colorado Counties after Matagorda... Thanks for posting!
by brooksgarner
Wed Jun 20, 2018 11:52 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

mcd0336.gif MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0336 NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1215 PM EDT WED JUN 20 2018 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST TEXAS CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE VALID 201615Z - 202115Z SUMMARY...TRAINING BAND AND SLOW MOVING CELLS ALONG TROUGH AXI...
by brooksgarner
Wed Jun 20, 2018 11:51 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Remember what Dr. Frank always preaches, " Until a tropical system is completely gone, you always have to have your guard up" . We still have a warm moist atmosphere, low convective temperatures and onshore flow. HGX still has a 70 percent of heavy rain today.. That's very good advice -- ...
by brooksgarner
Mon Jun 18, 2018 8:29 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

I’m probably preaching to the choir, but ... ‪a reminder to those who don’t know: It is scientifically impossible to make a 100% accurate/specific forecast for acute flooding. On a day like this you may see 1” or you could see 10+”. That’s wet roads vs inundated. Chaos theory still rules tropical fo...
by brooksgarner
Sun Jun 17, 2018 7:52 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Brooks, will this be a bust??? Wasn’t it supposed to be heavy rains all day today To me, it looks like we will have more rain than expected. At this point, a bust seems very unlikely unless your benchmark was 6 inches of rain. When models are calling for a foot of rain, anything less than a few inc...
by brooksgarner
Sun Jun 17, 2018 7:42 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Brooks, will this be a bust??? Wasn’t it supposed to be heavy rains all day today No, today was not a bust. We could never commit to specifics due to the inherent uncertainty of tropical forecasting. It downpoured periodically almost exactly as forecast. The the heaviest banding rain may happen Mon...
by brooksgarner
Sun Jun 17, 2018 6:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 313752

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Stating the obvious, but the next 12hrs will be telling.