With the NAO the most negative its been in 11 years causing some serious blocking over Greenland, it doesn't surprise me. The GFS has been hinting at an extreme arctic outbreak here and there over the last week. Last week, it was showing a low of 0 deg in College Station. Then it lost it. Keep in mi...

Next Sunday looks very similar to this storm. We’ll see what happens. I think this one was a huge let down across the board. The GFS and Euro definitely scored big. One thing that surprised me is at my house it went from rain, to all sleet to all snow for 5 minutes and then back to rain and stayed r...

Snow transitioned back to all rain and the ice/snow accumulation we had briefly is melting. Strange!

ALL SNOW AT MY HOUSE NEAR THE WOODLANDS! Roofs are turning white!

Sleeting in the Woodlands, at times heavy!

Euro and GFS (00z) both now have accumulating snow in Harris County. See my twitter. @KHOUBlake11

With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' o...

With dynamics like we have, not only could we see thunder snow tomorrow but snow ratios may be 12:1 or 13:1. If latest models are right, this will be historic. It's important not to let our imaginations run wild. Rarely will the model be correct. I've always been taught to always take the 'under' on...

I think the accumulations will drop off quick but to have snow in the air? Yeah, I-10/59 is a good arbitrary boundary. Expect the unexpected. Rarely do these systems behave the way they’re forecast to.

Austin just went under a Winter Weather Advisory. I suspect the same is coming for Montgomery, San Jac and Polk counties soon.

Winter Storm Warnings are starting to go up with the afternoon packages. Will be interesting to see what they do with Montgomery, San Jacinto and Polk counties.

Not often you see the HOUSTON forecast office use the word "heavy snow" and "convective snow banding." If the NAM model is correct, we could see a 2018 situation where the event gets underway and all of a sudden a Winter Storm Warning is issued for areas that aren't even currentl...

This is the first winter storm watch the NWS has issued in almost 7 years—which interestingly enough Winter Storm Warnings have been issued since then. So those of us closer to Houston, we may end up in a watch or warning yet. In 2017 and 18, no watches were issued but warnings were as the event got...

Thank heavens such freezes are a thing of the past. Probably will never happen again. No, a freeze of that extent may NOT happen again in your life. True. However, I guarantee you it'll happen again. With the changing climate, the jet is becoming more erratic which tells me we may see more arctic o...

Greetings! Been a while, y'all... Anybody heard from Mr. T? :lol: Despite a seemingly boring December, we're still running almost 3 degrees below normal for the month and we'll add to that departure most of the next 7 to 10 days. The positive NAO that we've been dealing with is forecast to go slight...

Thankfully as a SE Texas native I remember 1973 like it was yesterday. The late 50's and early 60's offered a couple of memorable "snow events' here in the Houston area as well. So proud of Blake! And to think he cut his 'weather teeth' right here on our Forum... :mrgreen: Thanks, Steve! Yup, ...

WE DO SEEM TO GET A GLANCING BLOW BUT THE BLOW IS LEGIT! OR SEEMS TO BE ANYWAYFF3933D4-02AD-4EE9-84A6-1DC4782C4730.pngi4E716A9E-E482-4D3B-92BD-0E4D2D7A67F7.png524AA421-0115-483A-80E0-EFBD982ED01C.png Not really. The Euro only gets us to 32 degrees in that time frame. The GFS leaves our entire area ...

I think the bigger story is what may happen with the polar vortex dropping into the midwest a week from today. The 00z Euro showing scary low temps -- coldest in years for Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin? This would be seriously dangerous stuff that just boggles my mind. #BarneyOnTheAttack 00z euro mi...

Anybody see the 12z Euro for next week? Wow. Severe cold right through the center of the US.

Sorry, folks. No Arctic air coming down this weekend. There isn't any Arctic air in western Canada (source region for our fronts). It's only modified Canadian air from the Northern Plains. Perhaps a light freeze (32F) Sunday/Monday. It's a cold front, which we see quite often in winter, but that's ...