Wind has kicked up a good amount, even more so than has been today here in Orange.

LCH AFD: 000 FXUS64 KLCH 032151 AFDLCH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 451 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011 .DISCUSSION... TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO DISPLAY SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... AS REVEALED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY HIGHLIGHTS A VERY LARGE VORTICI...

Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limb...

Not too bad looking.....

Edit to add-- perfect "comma"...

[quote="djjordan"]I took a look at the NAM this morning did anyone else look at what it does to Lee???

Edit to add I know the NAM isn't very reliable but the scenario it painted was interesting to say the least.


Now that would be some set-up......

I can only hope that you folks in Houston get in on some of this rain. Here in the Golden Triangle it has been nice with rain today, windy, and temps in the low 70's. Fingers and prayers for you folks west!!!

LCH AFD Snippet: HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING TS LEE THIS EVENING ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE CENTER AS IT APPEARS TO BE RE-LOCATING WITH EACH PASS. STILL IT IS A TAD FURTHER TO THE NORTH. THE 00Z SOUNDING INDICATES TROPICAL AIRMASS WITH PW UP TO 2.36 THIS EVENING. DESPITE THIS PRECIPITA...

If we can just get that moisture to wrap around the center...

Anyone's thoughts on the center reforming south of its current location?

[quote="Andrew"][quote]WHXX01 KWBC 012232 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2232 UTC THU SEP 1 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE I...

LCH AFD: "THE VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE SHEAR IS WEAKENING ACROSS THE BROAD LOW SITUATED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. A NOAA PLANE IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...FROM EAST-TO-WEST. WINDS WILL BE INCR...

LCH AFD: NOW...A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. AT THIS TIME THERE IS NUMEROUS DIFFERENCES AND SOLUTIONS. OVER ALL IT LOOKS LIKE THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL INCREASE WINDS AND SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. THE GOOD NEWS FOR SOUTH...

Nice blow up of convection. Emily by night....??????

Steve, or anyone that might know the answer. What is the site where recon data can be retrieved? I can't remember. I had it book marked but not sure why I deleted it. Thanks.

Looking Healthy--

Not to shabby....

Orange Now (30%) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ROUGHLY A HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA CONTINUES TO SHOW...

unome wrote:animated models http://flhurricane.com/sbanimator.php?year=2011&storm=1

"Would be" Arlene" is moving fast

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

After a long winter’s hibernation I return to what looks to be yet another “exciting” season.

Snippet from the Lake Charles NWS AFD, “LONG TERM...SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE CLOSED UPPER LOW BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE EURO WILL MAKE A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE ON THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR DRAGGED INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT NEXT WEEK. USED A BLEND OF THE MUCH COLDER GFS WITH...