Search found 5648 matches

by DoctorMu
Fri Mar 15, 2024 11:16 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2kh7KvYrVc :lol: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 704 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday Night) Issued at 307 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 A potentially active short-term is expected with ...
by DoctorMu
Fri Mar 15, 2024 11:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Today and tonight's chances of rain have tanked to 40% and 30%.
by DoctorMu
Fri Mar 15, 2024 11:10 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Radar was looking good but then poof. Gotta wait till this evening I guess. Yep. As predicted today has been a bust so far with storms remaining north and east of us. This evening or Sunday are the best chance now of rain.. The system brought tornadoes and large hail to central Arkansas, north of H...
by DoctorMu
Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:55 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

HRRR has a big fat Lucy for us with both the front and coast low.

Image
by DoctorMu
Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:53 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Most of the rain per NAM will be from the coastal low south of Hwy 1*5.

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by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 6:46 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

We're right on the edge of the cap, mitigating severe weather, but also rain.

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by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 5:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

12z NAM has not bought in yet, but tomorrow will tell on the coastal low.

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by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 5:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

If that SoTX low develops and moves up the coast, then it's a maybe for HOU. I expect the frontal precip will largely affect the northern and northeastern outskirts of the HGX area - CLL and Piney Woods. Saturday is your best chance of rain (could be heavy) south of Hwy 1*5. Area Forecast Discussion...
by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 11:29 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Here is the mid-level water vapor GOES from the area. The cap in living color. It's pretty much self-explanatory.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/s ... &length=24
by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 11:26 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Question for those native to this part of Texas (my stomping grounds are all west…and beyond of I-35) and more knowledgeable. The Mexican desert has always been there (relatively speaking) but it seems as though its influence on capping here has substantially increased over time based on the commen...
by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 11:22 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Cromagnum wrote: Wed Mar 13, 2024 7:24 am Man. That's the classic setup for us missing totally out right there. Same old crap.
Same old CAP you mean. :lol:
by DoctorMu
Wed Mar 13, 2024 1:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

"There's a chance" up here in the NW territories


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by DoctorMu
Tue Mar 12, 2024 4:38 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

The rain has been pushed back to Friday here. 70% now per NOAA.
by DoctorMu
Tue Mar 12, 2024 12:08 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

I think it’s been about a month since I posted ‘get ready for a mostly dry, cap-filled spring’ Seems to be going as expected. Get your sprinklers and hoses ready. Yep. Sprinklers are being engaged today (my rain dance). We're right on the edge of the cap in CLL. More fertilizer and weed killing fir...
by DoctorMu
Tue Mar 12, 2024 12:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

The Hwy 6/Hwy 1*5 progs continue.
by DoctorMu
Tue Mar 12, 2024 11:09 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 646 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday Night) Issued at 130 AM CDT Tue Mar 12 2024 The initial period will be characterized by a persistent onshore surface flow regime that, while no...
by DoctorMu
Tue Mar 12, 2024 11:07 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

GFS has capitulated and now has a northern solution as well.

It looks like the cap in HOU area is progged to dig in.
by DoctorMu
Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:58 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Ensembles see most of the rain east of Hwy 6 and north of Hwy 1*5. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2024031112/gem-ens_apcpn_us_24.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2024031118/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_25.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/eps...
by DoctorMu
Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:49 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

Euro AI has some coast low forming. GFS hammers us with a series of unsettled events. CMC is more of what I would expect. The Ensembles bring in rain, but late in the forecast period. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2024030912/gfs_apcpn_us_64.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/...
by DoctorMu
Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2024
Replies: 350
Views: 12025

Re: March 2024

I'm running the sprinkler system tomorrow. That's bound to bring rain. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 636 PM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday Night) Issued at 253 PM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024 No major issues with th...