srainhoutx wrote:Now Met Tech can get a field test for his 'device' that will help in getting some valuable data. A team effort as always.

I sure hope so! I'm glad we've finally gotten a chance to get it into some action.

Glad he's had you to help him out! Sounds like you had him on quite a set up with that ride to Veracruz, which is good since he seemed really frazzled yesterday.

Figured I'd share this here too. Forecast through 21Z tomorrow. The model crashed after that time, so that's as far as I have. It's for novelty purposes anyway.

That rain band just doesn't want to quit. Refiring over southeastern Medina county and Bexar county, both of which were already bombed the past 24 hours.

wxman57 wrote:

Some fascinating climo. I plotted all September storms passing within 65nm of Igor's point of formation from 1851-2009. There were 13 such storms. Here's the breakdown:

Very interesting...could be a suspenseful 10 days or so then. Thanks for posting that!

San Antonio to Austin area getting pummeled. This looks set to train over the same area for quite awhile.

Got my gif script working, so here's a link to an animated gif of today's KWRF tropical run (2.3 mb in size). It starts with the 10th and runs through the 13th at random time steps since that's how my computer rolls.

http://www.sanfordlabs.com/WRF/wind.gif

Andrew wrote:

Well I am home and a lot of the city is really wet but as of now flooding looks minimal.

Latest:

Hey Andrew...which terrain background are you using in your GR?

It's been confusing that some have seen this eastern movement when it has hardly shown much evidence of it since landfall. Steady N to NNW. Otherwise by now it would have been tracking more towards Austin. In some respects a track such of that may have lessened the rain in our area with the banding...

Kelly Field in San Antonio reporting peak wind of 45 kt/52 mph.

KSKF 071724Z 02030G45KT 1/2SM R15/2200V3000FT +RA BR BKN003 OVC014 24/23 A2954 RMK AO2A PK WND 36045/1720 PRESFR SLP994 $

Models are still having a hard time initializing the low in the right place, even the hourly-updating high-res models like RUC, Rapid Refresh, and HRRR are putting it too far west and too slow. Many seem to keep the axis of heavy rain west of Houston because of it.

Did a zoomed-in KWRF run for you guys again, but it's doing poorly with the east-of-track movement just like the others and I don't think it'll do a good job with totals. I'll try again in a bit. Just for fun, here's what it does from 18Z today through 18Z tomorrow (unfortunately, it's not counting ...

Nice increase in convection around the center in the past hour or so.

I was telling a few folks this last night ... these tropical systems almost NEVER behave as progged once they make landfall. There always seems to be a few surprises with the track. And here we are with HERMINE, who is definitely moving more northeast than predicted. [/i] Yesterday it looked like a...

I love this radar too. It is probably the best radar system out there. I just started using place-files and wow! They sure are useful and I am going to start looking for some more soon. [/quote] ----------------------------------- I even have my 73 year old grandma operating GRLEVEL3 on her compute...

I'll give it that but seems to be more in character of the NAM. I think someone on Eastern was mentioning that there were plans to tweak it so it handled tropical systems better. I know the locals were readily dismissing the NAM and really isn't that unexpected with its tropical track record. HPC di...

Not surprising. Your computer has been cursed with all that NAM talk you were typing earlier. It obviously has migrated into your hard drive. :mrgreen: Haha. I should have known better than to stick up for that thing. Although, still seems it had the right idea of a tighter and stronger system comp...

Sorry I didn't get back to you guys with rainfall projections. I've had off and on computer problems today, and also when I made that double-nested run, the model didn't produce any rainfall anywhere, not even in Hermine which caused it to remain as a loose low wobbling around with no precip process...

I'm wondering about a core rain event myself, especially if it drifts along with the NHC track because it brings it in between Del Rio and San Antonio where my family lives (Sabinal) They have some botched flood-control road construction going on there and if this thing does an overnight dump it's g...

srainhoutx wrote:RECON may have had a mechanical issue. Data suggests they have turned around and are heading back to base.

D'oh!! I've been anxiously awaiting them getting into this thing while it's looking so good. Sure hope we don't miss an ob from the best part.