Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:51 am

don wrote: ↑Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:46 am 12Z models have come in less progressive and more south with the storm system.Friday now looks to be a washout also due to the slower movement.Here are some QPF amounts from some of the 12z models.

The -NAO is working its magic.

So is the SOI…the lowest I’ve seen all year.

In addition to utilizing your local NWS pinpoint forecasts and weather apps, I would strongly recommend also utilizing the National Blend of Models 1D Viewer when determining your local temperature, wind, and precipitation forecasts. Just click on the menu option in the upper right corner to select ...

I’m just now catching this 10/24 Houston AFD from Monday Afternoon giving props to the Houston Astros while low key taking shots at the NY Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies. Very cleverly worded and comprised… LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 427 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022 Whel...

Any Aggies recently settle into the area, recently? Because that is one helluva AggieDome. I can't believe those cells moving just west of I-45 missed you. 1.72 in of rain today in CLL. Salvation at last. Now I can begin preparations for brown patch season. ;) I’m glad you finally hit the jackpot! ...

Honestly, from ABC13 to Space City Weather, all these forecasters just suck. All you see is lipservice and flimsy ad hoc justifications, there's no real substance at all. NWS discussion tends to be the most informative. But even there, some of the same faults can occur, as seen in @Cromagnum's abov...

4239536E-1576-48DB-B8A4-6686AE7EACEF.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0850 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 134 AM EDT Tue Aug 23 2022 Areas affected...southeastern/eastern TX into northern LA and western MS Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 230532Z - 2310...

F49D7C9E-D410-4B1C-A3B0-CBCD275C7A7C.jpeg Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0808 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 809 AM EDT Sat Aug 20 2022 Areas affected...far southeast TX & southwest LA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 201208Z - 201708Z Summary...Sho...

I hear you Stratton, but I was going to share my opinion back at the beginning of July when you first began to post some mid-term & long-term models that were initially showing a good moisture feed into Texas, and then eventually started forming a circulation of various strengths moving into the...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 06, 2022 11:11 pm 00z Icon with a weak depression/ tropical storm into The corpus area by next saturday

So Stratton, tells us why we don't want this ICON run, or any other forecast model with this solution, to be correct with this prognostication?

After yet another day with rain showers and thundershowers dissipating as they moved toward my neighborhood, I decided to do a little auditing and compare this year with 2011 with respect to rainfall totals. And as I expected, my general area is running ahead of 2011's totals, but disturbingly, not...

After yet another day with rain showers and thundershowers dissipating as they moved toward my neighborhood, I decided to do a little auditing and compare this year with 2011 with respect to rainfall totals. And as I expected, my general area is running ahead of 2011's totals, but disturbingly, not ...

I didn't know he was a member on here but I did follow him on Twitter. I do remember my wife and I met him at a Houston/Galveston Hurricane Workshop a few years ago at the George R. Brown Convention Center. He was sitting at the same table as us and I remember him telling us stories while we were th...

Most of the computers models haven't done a very good job with forecasting the current activity moving through SE Texas at this time. For example, the 06Z NAM-3km does not reflect the current level of convection over the area... nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_6.png Now compare that forecast to the current rad...

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 815 PM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022 ...NWS Damage Survey for 03/21/22 - 03/22/22 Tornado Event .Beasley... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 90 mph Path Length /statute/: 0.8185 miles Path Width /maximum/: 30.0 yards Fatalities: 0 Inj...

Unfortunately, the latest monthly CFS run from March 20th continues the drier anomalies over SE Texas during the month of April: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2022032006/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png As far as the CanSIPS, the March run for the month of April won't init...

Remarkable video footage here...

https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/statu ... 4929286152

Confirmed tornado near College Station in particular near the Texas A&M campus right now. Seek shelter now if you're near this area!

Texas Storm Chasers Live provides good, relevant information during severe weather events in Texas such as this...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sdjAwY4j8w

Unfortunately, the latest monthly CFS run from March 20th continues the drier anomalies over SE Texas during the month of April: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2022032006/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png As far as the CanSIPS, the March run for the month of April won't initi...

The CFS Monthly has trended drier and drier for the month of March for SE Texas with each run... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2022022818/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png The latest March run of the CanSIPS supports the CFS Monthly with drier anomalies for SE Texas for the ...