The Canadian may be picking up on what the European is showing...



And the Euro shows the moisture gown by the time the air gets cold enough for anything frozen in southeast Texas...

Not quiet a decade yet as the last time it was right for something that far out was the Christmas 2004 smowstorm...FWIW
But anyway I would like to see the GFS latch on to a winterstorm like the euro before i start buying into snything.

Srain suggested another topic be created so i guess ill start it off again

The Euro looked very interesting late next week (showing another strong high coming out of canada with a trough out to the west...) and the Canadian loooked interesting allso for late next weekend...

Hmm does make you wonder if we could possibly have another "suprise" snow event? similar to december 2008...

Yea what the CMC suggest is that the low tracks closer to the coast and there for we get under the cold core of the low as rain changes to snow on the backside of the system similar to the 2008 snow event.But i dont think that will happen though... On a Sidenote some of the GFS Esembles also show th...

While that looks nice if you want snow in southeast texas not buying it though...

Seems like Arizonadessert is back......

2. The models will dramatically shift showing colder than expected conditions. I've seen this happen and a watch or advisory will be issued. I was thinking of the same possible scenario that we've seen happen in the past when the models (especially the GFS) first shows a colder solution at first an...

GFS shows temps at (Hooks) in the mid 30's (35F-36F) during the peak of precip (temps only have to be 2-4 degrees cooler for precip too probably change over to the frozen variety) if we could get some wet bulbing/evaperating cooling things could definatly get interesting for northern areas.But im no...

Larry Cosgrove tonight in the Houston Examiner...very interesting... http://www.examiner.com/x-3775-Houston-Weather-Examiner~y2010m2d7-Weather-Forecast-For-Houston-And-Vicinity-Monday-February-8-2010 Yes his thoughts are very interesting indeed,I guess he's thinking the system will be stronger and ...

here we go again......

Hmm tyler you do make a point ,even the slightly warmer 6z run shows a liitle snow at IAH FWIW

It certainly is looking like a terrific sleet storm is going to end up transpiring here in southeast Texas sometime next week with moderate to feasilbly even heavy sleet. Would a rain snow mix be out of the question with highs in the mid or lower thirties, anyone :?: I am going to say no because if...

FWIW 0z GFS is slightly colder though not as cold as it was yesterday but colder and more moisture non the less. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_pcp_132m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_pcp_138m.gif http://www.nco....

snipit from Houston/Galveston nws discussion this morning: LOW CONFIDENCE FCST BEYOND WED WITH VARYING MODEL SOLNS. GFS DEPICTING A VERY ACTIVE & MOIST SW FLOW ALOFT OVERUNNING COLD AIR AT THE SFC DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND IS SHOWING A WAA SCENERIO WITH THE SFC HIGH MOVING...

GFS 2 meter temps for IAH have temps around 34-33F during the event:

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sampl ... ?text=KIAH

And at Hooks temps are right along the freezing mark from 33-32F:

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sampl ... ?text=KDWH

FWIW

Yep the GFS shows the freezing line a little north of the I-10 corridor for most of the event with light to moderate snow and freezing rain/sleet over areas north of I-10 for what its worth.

Wxman57 I think you accidently posted the 12z Raw data instead of the 18z

The run looks a lot like the 0z run. It has gone back to much colder and more precip ... basically saying "game on" for a winter storm threat for much of Texas late next week. I'll refrain from commenting further. ;) http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/model_l.sh...