This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.3ºC
Niño 3 1.3ºC
Niño 1+2 0.9ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 1+2, which warmed.

New AI euro model added to tropical tidbits, first time I've seen that, comes out 4 times a day like the GFS, goes out through 360 hours, it will be interesting to see how this model preforms It will probably suck. AI is programmed by humans and is way overrated. AI recently sent my grant applicati...

Happy Leap Day! The meteorological winter is over tomorrow.

It is like all the rain in January was used up for winter.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:47 am Not a great way to start March.

I am not likely to put stock in long term forecast. Anything can happen.

When you’re from a small town like me then you’d understand. People from small towns count the suburban areas as part of the city. Fair enough. Are you from Wharton or El Campo? Both are pretty small towns, but El Campo is a good bit bigger as it's at least over 10,000 in population. That said, as ...

Feels like February 1996 when it got hot.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.2ºC
Niño 3.4 1.5ºC
Niño 3 1.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.7ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Looks like El Nino is transition away slowly.

I have seen freezes in March regardless of El Nino or La Nina.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2024 2:29 pm While march is looking below average temperature wise which is nice, the precipitation outlook is going in the wrong direction, march could be on the dry side

A cool March is nice, but the drier trend is not cool.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2024 12:45 am Thundersleet couldnt agree more, i don’t care if its 5 degrees below average or 20 below average, anything to delay the awful heat that is happening inevitably coming is highly welcomed!

I will take that for sure.

Many of the forecast I have seen have an active 2024 season.

I was having trouble too.

sambucol wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 10:42 pm Watching the Trinity River rising in Liberty. Projected major flood and projected cresting at 30.3’. The highest crest ever was 32.7’ from Harvey. Best friend is from there. Hoping there it homes don’t flood again.

Whoa! Harvey dumped 30 inches over a large area.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 6:08 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 5:44 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 24, 2024 5:36 pm

As of right now July and August look wet around here with a TC risk.

If it rained every day in Summer I would be more tolerant of Summer.

I think 2007 was the wettest summer that I can recall.

Summer of 2007 was post-El Nino becoming La Nina summer.

I would not be surprised if there is more rain tonight. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 000 FXUS64 KHGX 242335 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 535 PM CST Wed Ja...

Long night ahead.

50-70 year round with less than 50% humidity and I would be sold. Doubt such a place exists. A Mediterranean climate would suit you just fine. As it would for a lot of people!! San Diego. At this hour of writing, San Diego is currently 59°F with rain, and at 93% humidity. Even San Diego gets an El ...

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 1.7ºC
Niño 3 1.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled.

don wrote: ↑Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:57 pm qpf_acc-imp.us_sc (11).png

I rarely see forecast total this high in January. That looks like more like spring, summer, or fall.