This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 2.0ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

No change, except Region 1+2, which cooled.

The -AO and -NAO combo isn’t enough to give us anything really cold. I thought that was key to getting us cold??? -EPO is the king of getting cold down here. Need strong ridging over Alaska and the far NW Territories and for that ridge to extend north into the Beaufort Sea. So very true about the E...

Harp1 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 02, 2024 8:07 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 02, 2024 8:01 pm The -AO and -NAO combo isn’t enough to give us anything really cold.

I thought that was key to getting us cold???

Negative Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) do give cold air.

The winter of 1930-1931 did not have freezing temperature. January 1930 had a low of 5°F. 1931 did not see freezing temperature. March 1932 had freezing temperatures and it snowed. 1931 and 2023 are years without freezing temperature recorded. Of course, data from the past should be taken with caut...

2023 was an atrocious weather year. 2024 better be way better. The only time that I will side with you and others on this board concerns summer weather — droughts like in 2022 and especially 2023 are useless, I'd much rather have cooler, wetter summers like that from 2021. But freezes are also usel...

2023 comes to a close.

Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation/ Interesting read. Judah Cohen has a Twitter account and has a forecast for polar vortex to be over the Lower 48 by early January 2024. https://twitter.com/judah47/statu...

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 2.0ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 1.6ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

No change, except for Region 1+2, which warmed.

Merry Christmas!

A wet Christmas weekend. Not often it happens.

Has anyone noticed how the predictions about cold coming to Houston get quickly deflated, and reinstated for a later date? Remember the initial conversation was about mid to late December. Next was late December to early January. We are already taking about late January into February. There is a pa...

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 2.0ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 1.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 4. Region 4 remains the same from last week.

I’ve never been a huge Nino fan like most on here and Storm2K. We are little too far south to benefit from a good Nino. Dallas to OKC is your sweet spot for a Nino. We need a weak Modoki to squeeze anything out of the frozen variety. Consider me a fan of neutral ENSO or weak Nina’s more for Winter ...

What’s the latest date of Houston’s first freeze? Have we ever had a freeze less winter? I used this to see Houston first and last freeze. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx Houston's latest first freeze is March 9, 1932. It snowed that time in March 1932. Turns out Houston did not have a ...

Sunspot Region Produces X2.8 Flare, Largest Since Sep 10, 2017
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/sunspot- ... ep-10-2017

Strong solar flare has arrived.

Talk about a bust right there.

Extremely Rare Southeast Pacific Subtropical Cyclone Forms Off the Chilean Coast https://www.wunderground.com/article/storms/hurricane/news/2018-05-08-subtropical-cyclone-chile This article is from 2018. The Southeast Pacific off the west coast of South America does not see tropical cyclone developm...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 11:30 am I can feel another bust coming, wouldn’t be surprised lol

The bust can go either way.

Nice to see cooler weather. It should of been on a weekend.

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 1.9ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 1.3ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, while Region 3 remains the same. Region 1+2 dropped a lot from last week.