HAHAHAHA, I can do better than a cough, but I shouldn't spout things like that on the internet. LOL. I was a pro at skipping school in my "younger" days---until one time I thought I had gotten away scott free heading into Houston when I looked to my left and realized my dad was right next ...

18z GFS is a good bit warmer for the March 2nd event. Looks like all rain event at this point with an intense cyclone developing off the coast. Just an FYI

The development of a coastal trough or low certainly makes the picture more interesting, doesn't it? Could prolong precip in SE Texas but also wouldn't it provide warmer, overrunning moisture above the surface and dampen the air column? I am not well-versed enough in meteorology to have an answer f...

Here's the latest at 60 hrs: NAM: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_pcp_060m.gif GFS: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_060m.gif Euro (hour 72) http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMWF_12z/ecmwfloop.html#picture

I just got off the phone with a reliable source and here is what was said: Forecasting winter weather for Houston is challenging to say the least. Drawing lines is arbitrary. The snow line could fall anywhere from Downtown Houston to Huntsville at this time. It is likely that watches will be issued ...

I see the Winter Storm Watches are starting to be issued. I bet watches are issued for some of the Houston area tonight or tomorrow. If I had to guess a watch will be needed for Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Walker, Madison, Houston, Trinity and San Jacinto counties. It's possible that Montgomery County...

Wow, that's good for Conroe. How are they getting this data? Is it extrapolated from KLCH and KCPS? These are model soundings, made off the latest GFS, RUC or NAM. They're not extrapolated between LCH-CRP, they're forecast soundings for any time up to 16 days from now. I see. For some reason I thou...

Wow, that's good for Conroe. How are they getting this data? Is it extrapolated from KLCH and KCPS?

brazoria_county22 wrote:so nothing but a cold rain for us n brazoria county im guessing?

Hey, don't roll your eyes at us! It is my belief that parts of northern Harris and S. Montgomery Counties have gotten shafted when it came to the last several snowfalls. BRING ON THE SNOW--NORTH of I-10

Also take note how Dallas has much less QPF according to this run. They may escape with next to nothing. We'll see...

The 18z looks to have trended towards the Euro with less QPF. It does seem to be further south with the precip, but temps finally cool below freezing as the precip is ending. Now we wait for the 0z. LOL

Interesting 18z run for sure.

18z seems to be faster with the cold, slower with the disturbance and a bit further south. The temps look about the same for us. This is definitely a good run for us. Runs still coming in. Will discuss further in a few.

Houston: THE LATEST GFS HAS MAINTAINED CONSISTENCY CONCERNING A CHC OF SNOW ON TUE AND INTO TUE NIGHT ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. ONLY MADE A COUPLE OF ADJUSTMENTS CONCERNING THIS EVENT. ADDED A MENTION OF A RAIN/SNOW MIX TO THE EXTREME NW ON TUE MORNING AS 1000/500 MB THICKNESSES W...

18z gfs is running. I wait patiently but with bated breath..

Shreveport: They Mention WSW May Be Needed MODEL RUNS CONCERNING TUESDAY/S POTENTIAL SNOW LOOK SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY/S...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE EURO LOOKING A LITTLE DRIER. MODELS ARE STILL INDICATING PLENTY OF COLD AIR FOR SNOW MAKING...SO REALLY THE ONLY QUESTION IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE ENOUGH ...

Austin: (hardly enthusiastic) A COOLER AIRMASS WILL FILTER SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON MONDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORT WAVE TROF. A MUCH STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROF IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION ON TUESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL DRAW A COLDER CONTINENTAL AIRMASS SOUTH...

Dallas Thoughts: THERE IS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY THAT WILL ELONGATE WEST-EAST BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH TEXAS ON TUESDAY. FORECAST NORTH TEXAS SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO INDICATE GOOD SNOWFALL POTENTIAL WITH FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...AS...

the numerical data shows -SN for IAH...

http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_Kiah.txt

12z gfs is rather chintzy with the snow for us...

http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overla ... TIONID=HGX

Candy Cane, After looking at tonight's 00Z runs do you think chance for wintry precipitation here in the houston area is looking more likely? Just looking at it, and I'm by no means a "seasoned" weather guy, I think this is the best setup for snow in Houston since December 4th. 850 temps ...