The front can be picked up on radar progressing west to east across far western Harris county. The front has passed through old town Katy and looks to have just passed Cypress (290 and Fry rd. area). High resolution models have been doing an ok job with the handling of the front and associated preci...

Secondary cold front pushing across the city at this time with temperature's falling into the 40's quickly, along with increasing northerly winds. It looks like we may have already seen our high temperatures for the day as clouds and drizzle combined with the stronger cold air advection will likely ...

Have had over 2'' here on the far west side so far today with some good moderate rain continuing. It looks like there is some high water in the northbound lanes of I-45 the gulf freeway at the 610 south loop. Good low level moisture convergence continues to support heavy showers and thunderstorms ac...

Not to get anyone's hopes up too much, but I am possibly seeing some good news in the not too far future...I say possibly because it is still about a week out and we have seen things fall apart only a few days out with this very persistent synoptic pattern in place. Anyways, the extended GFS and ECM...

Lee continues to fight the upper level low centered over the Port Arthur area with all of the convection off on the east side. Even though the atmosphere continues to slowly moisten over the region, subsidence from Lee along with subsidence on the western side of the upper low are not allowing much ...

Does anyone know what caused those showers and thunderstorms to form? These storms can be tracked all the way back to Arkansas early this morning in association with an upper level disturbance riding around the edge of the ridge of high pressure. Extreme daytime heating allowed these storms to hold...

Our eastern and northeastern zones look to have the best chance for rain this afternoon and evening as local RUC analysis indicates a good amount of low level convergence over those locations. The latest radar trends would suggest a slow increase in activity over Polk county. Just your typical isola...

The latest radar data indicates a meso-low currently moving out of Hardin and into southern Polk county associated with the light to moderate rain shield. There could be some gusty winds (20-30mph) associated with this feature before it slowly weakens. Moisture levels are up when compared to yesterd...

Seems like a major "bust" based on projections as recently as a few hours ago. Can this be attributed to (1) the same sounding issues that caused similar busts in winter weather forecasts for our area last year; (2) interactions with the parched ground in the region; or (3) some other rea...

The latest high-res visible satellite imagery clearly shows a vort max slowly drifting west-southwest out of northern Jasper county into northern Tyler county. This feature is currently helping enhance the shower and thunderstorm activity across our northeast zones. We will have to watch to see how ...

21z sounding from College Station this afternoon confirms previous thinking and confirms the ACARS soundings with a distinct warm layer just above 700mb remaining over the region, especially west of I-45. Even though moisture levels across the southern sections are higher then what is seen up at CLL...

Quite a bit of rain east of here where PW's AOA 2'' currently reside. PW's across our part of the state look to be running in the 1.6-1.8'' range with things continuing to moisten up. The latest CIMSS PW product indicates a large slug of tropical moisture headed this way from the western gulf and wo...

12z extended range models still show a glimmer of hope in about 7-8 days or around the middle of next week into next weekend as they continue to show a weakness developing across east Texas with much deeper tropical moisture (pws in the 1.75-2.00'' range) surging into the region from the Gulf. There...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms now starting to break out across areas north of I-10 as temps have warmed into the upper 90's and low 100's. Will have to watch out for strong winds in the stronger storms this afternoon and evening. The latest mesoanalysis shows a nice tongue of deeper moisture a...

sleetstorm wrote:Thank you for clearing that up for me, svrwx0503.

No problem! So far though have only received a report of 1'' hail 2 miles south of Huntsville. It looks like most of the larger hail likely fell in a sparsely populated section of Walker county.

^svrwx, Storms to the west appear to be re-intensifying as well. Do you think some of these storms could at least make it into Northern Harris county before the night is over? The storms out west look to be falling apart as they move away from the frontal boundary where the best low level convergen...

The first hail core has dropped with a second one developing aloft around 25,000 ft. 4.37'' hail possible! That is an impressive chunck of ice falling to and striking the ground, svrwx0503. Rectify me if I am wrong, but would that size be grapefruit or very close to it? Come on thunderstorms, coerc...

Large hail core dropping once again just south of Huntsville with a 78.5db return on the lowest tilt of the radar which up there is at about 7,000ft. Good bet that golf ball sized hail or larger might be falling about 4.5 miles south of Huntsville and 2 miles west of I-45. It looks like that storm i...

The first hail core has dropped with a second one developing aloft around 25,000 ft. 4.37'' hail possible!

While the line as a while is breaking up, some cells are re-strengthening and becoming more discrete. Big hailer in southern Walker county! Yes indeed! Radar indicating 3'' hail just southwest of Huntsville. Nice 71.5db core up around 23,000 ft with a storm top over 50,000ft. Watch out around New W...