All lined up with another nice wave coming off Africa.

Pretty good convection starting to fire with 98L.

A little wobble south

97L doesn’t look too bad tonight. It has nice cyclonic flow and symmetry. No “real” deep convection (although it of course has convection) just yet but I expect that to change very soon.

In our prayers and thoughts daily.

From the LCH NWS: "AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1059 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2010 .UPDATE... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SPIN OFF THE LOUISIANA COAST...CENTERED ABOUT 60 NM SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY. EAST OF THE CENTER...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM...

TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010 500 AM AST MON AUG 23 2010 DANIELLE HAS BEEN EXHIBITING A CLASSIC BURSTING PATTERN WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS -85C DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. AMSR-E AND TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 0351 AND...

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 PM EDT MON AUG 16 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. T...

Sure isn't in a hurry to go anywhere.

"May" be dying but the pressure did drop 1 mb

Latest visible

Recon won't be able to provide much additional info for a system that's embedded in a region with more surface obs than any other part of the entire Atlantic Basin. Obs confirm a weak surface low near 28.9N/86.2W. Winds around the low average around 15 kts, though there could be a few 20-25 kt wind...

srainhoutx wrote:18Z GFS @ 48 hours

Off shore in the GOM?????

Rip76 wrote:That blow up right at the Miss/Bama state line.

That’s the blow up I was referring too. Sorry for any miscommunication.

Check out the exploding convection to the west.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Went to SW LA this weekend - they don't seem too worried about this system. They need the rain and a break from the heat wave too. So where-ever it goes if it develops into a recognizeable system is somewhere along the gulf coast. TD5 wasn't much and this is the ghost of TD5 so I'm not expecting an...

Candy Cane wrote:Looks like Vermilian Bay/Innercoastal City, LA this run. If I'm not mistaken, that's a good bit west of the previous runs, is it not?

FYI, its Intracoastal City

Candy Cane wrote:Looks like Vermilian Bay/Innercoastal City, LA this run. If I'm not mistaken, that's a good bit west of the previous runs, is it not?

I’m still thinking closer to Grand Chenier. Maybe split the difference between Grand Chenier and Vermilion and say around White Lake??

Starting to see a decent amount of convection to the north wrapping around to the south-southeast.

How does one a link or rather radar in motion type link?