Ed Mahmoud wrote:
I was looking for the Klotzbach update for April. We are going to get an April update, right?

Tomorrow I believe Ed.

Morning e-mail from Jeff...could get interesting after all...and looking at guidance from overnight, next week may offer better chances of severe weather. We shall see. Strong onshore flow continues to pump low level moisture into the area this morning. Low level stratus deck in not as thick and hig...

Could get a bit bumpy as the SPC has expanded the Slight Risk area into SE TX for Wednesday... http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee298/srainhoutx/04062010day2otlk_0600.gif http://i228.photobucket.com/albums/ee298/srainhoutx/04062010day2probotlk_0600_any.gif DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDIC...

HGX thoughts this afternoon. Perhaps a chance of storms as the rather strong early Spring Cold Front makes a run on SE TX... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 231 PM CDT MON APR 5 2010 .DISCUSSION... NO REAL CHANGES FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS A MODERATE TO STRONG O...

Ed Mahmoud wrote:Out of holidays for about 7 weeks.

I'll edit the Topic to cover April now. It does appear that we may be heading into an active severe weather season. Tomorrow night may spawn so bumpy weather in Central TX if the cap can be broken.

Many analog years will be mentioned as we approach the Tropical Season. 1995 may be a fairly good 'match' to what we can expect. As always, we shall see.

Cloud may linger a bit longer than expected today. HGX Morning Update... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1000 AM CDT SUN APR 4 2010 .UPDATE... MORNING UPDATE BELOW. && .DISCUSSION... ANOTHER EPISODE OF SEA FOG IS AFFECTING THE COAST AROUND GALVESTON BAY...

What a beautiful day. Temp just hit 87 here in NW Harris County. Hope everyone has a very Happy Easter! Almost pool time.

Another thing about these upgrades will the positive effects on longer range forecasting of tropical systems. I believe wxman57 has stated after re analysis of Ike after the parallel upgrade, the GFS infact showed an Upper TX Coast strike instead of the Lower TX Coast/Corpus Christi. With the upgrad...

Fog has lifted and skies are clear with a light S wind in NW Harris County this morning. Front? Not here. Enjoy the bike ride wxman57 and get the sun screen ready.

Hopefully the tweaking of the model will provide for some better guidance. TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 10-15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 853 AM EDT FRI APR 2 2010 TO: SUBSCRIBERS: -FAMILY OF SERVICES -NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE -EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWO...

Interesting to see the SE Ridge develope so early this season. Anyone notice the High Temps in the Eastern CONUS today?

Very cool 'Tags' wxdata.

I am beginning to think that the front may stall near or just W of our area. I noticed Austin-Bergstrom is at 75 with dewpoints in the upper 60's at this hour. Should that occur, it may throw another wrinkle in the weekend forecast.

Dan and I were just discussing how there is better moisture the futher W one goes which matches the thoughts of the NWS of an E of I-35 corridor senario. Beginning to see some cumulus clouds structures to my N and W.

Why is HGX radar still in clear air mode?

Looks like it. Noticing the showers/storms NW of Austin moving E fairly quickly. A lot of wind damage reports from KS and MO as well.

Austin / San Antonio WFO morning update thinking E of I-35 as well... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1034 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010 .UPDATE... ATMOSPHERE VERY CAPPED THIS MORNING AND ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS/PATCHES OF LIGHT DRIZZLE BENEATH THE INVERSION. WITH LIMITED HEATING DUE TO CLOUD C...

HGX morning Update... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 913 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010 .UPDATE... MORNING DISCUSSION BELOW. && .DISCUSSION... AT 13Z...LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH TEXA...

Perhaps a bit more daytime heating than previously thought as stratus deck is not that thick and a little destabilization could get things firing.