Why so much trouble with predictions as it nears the coast?
1) because it's the GOM which is notoriously troublesome?
2) because of a frontal passage or trough?
3) because it's too far out to predict well?
4) some other reason?
Search found 138 matches
- Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:19 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
- Replies: 1801
- Views: 989719
- Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:44 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
- Replies: 1801
- Views: 989719
Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo
I am in awwwwwwweeee with this run. What is this 2/3 straight days of this making landfall then coming back into the GoM and then strengthening into a full blown hurricane only to make landfall again on the Tx/La border area? This is just insane! David - you're in Sugar Land - I am in southwest Hou...
- Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:37 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
- Replies: 1801
- Views: 989719
Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo
Latest from Jeff: Tropical depression Harvey forms in the southern Gulf and threat to the TX coast. Potentially dangerous and life threatening rainfall and flood event increasingly likely over a large portion of SE TX and the coastal bed Preparations for the landfall of a strong tropical storm or we...
- Wed Aug 23, 2017 10:46 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
- Replies: 1801
- Views: 989719
Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo
Tropical Depression Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 12 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-232330- Tropical Depression Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 12 National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX AL092017 1024 AM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017 This product covers Southeast Texa...
- Tue Aug 08, 2017 12:43 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
- Replies: 1801
- Views: 989719
Re: August 2017: Rain Chances/ TS Franklin Nearing BoC
I heard a forecaster say that the low was going to drift back over town and we are due to get more heavy rain. I just wanted to see if that's the general consensus here?
thanks.
thanks.
- Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:12 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
- Replies: 676
- Views: 314399
Re: June 2017: TS Cindy/Tropical Storm Warning Issued
Agreed. I don't think it's the NWS or NHC or even the city government that is at fault here. I just think that people/companies/institutions have become quite complacent. We've had so many near misses that people just figure this is another one, as indeed, it might be. Re the experimental products: ...
- Tue Jun 20, 2017 4:05 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
- Replies: 676
- Views: 314399
Re: June 2017: TS Cindy/Tropical Storm Warning Issued
Unfortunately, we usually have to wait for the UH System to make any announcements like this. And they can be a bit slow... we are usually one of the last to find out if we are closing. Last year we had an incident where the university didn't announce closing until well after most employees were alr...
- Tue Jun 20, 2017 3:53 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
- Replies: 676
- Views: 314399
Re: June 2017: TS Cindy/Tropical Storm Watch/Warning Issued
So... even though the center could pass right over Houston, there seems to be little in the way of concern. I guess it's because most of the rain is in the NE quadrant? But I've been reading observations that the west side is filling in, is that correct? And that it's taking on more traditional trop...
- Mon May 29, 2017 12:36 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
The blob over southwest Houston seems to be building right on top of us...
- Mon May 29, 2017 12:04 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
Nice downpour in southwest houston. Feels like it took forever to get here!
- Tue May 23, 2017 7:43 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017: Late May Cool Front/Weekend Rain?
In southwest Houston it looks like we will just get one blob and then it will be over. Are more storms forecast to build?
- Tue May 23, 2017 12:37 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017: Late May Cool Front/Weekend Rain?
I just saw this article by Blake Mathews on twitter regarding the potential for heavy rain on Memorial Day. I know Blake started as on of us on this board which is why am a bit taken aback by the implications made in his post. It looks as if he is referring to one GFS model run that was 7 days out ...
- Tue May 23, 2017 11:47 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017: Late May Cool Front/Weekend Rain?
SPC has moved the Slight risk into parts of Hou/Galv
- Sun May 21, 2017 8:08 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017:Weekend Showers/Storms Possible
Finally getting nice rain, thunder and lightness my here in southwest Houston. The dog isn't happy but I am!!
- Sun May 21, 2017 1:57 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017:Weekend Showers/Storms Possible
Storms brewing up along I-10!
Haven't reached quite as far south as Chinatown, but I'm crossing my fingers!
Haven't reached quite as far south as Chinatown, but I'm crossing my fingers!
- Wed May 03, 2017 9:01 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017 Weather -Active pattern contine?
Getting a nice storm and shower in far southwest Houston!
- Wed May 03, 2017 1:50 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017 Weather -Active pattern contine?
Risk for storms continues this afternoon: Outlook from Jeff: Risk for severe thunderstorms remains this afternoon and evening. Flash flood event currently unfolding from southern Louisiana into extreme E/SE TX where warm front has stalled out allowing intense thunderstorms producing rainfall rates o...
- Wed May 03, 2017 1:49 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2017: Memorial Day/End Of May Outlook
- Replies: 238
- Views: 124714
Re: May 2017 Weather -Active pattern contine?
Travel question: My brother and his wife are here in Houston visiting for the week. They had trouble getting here (spent part of the night in the bathroom of their hotel room in Blytheville, Ark) due to storms and I am wondering if they will run into equally bad weather when they leave on Saturday. ...
- Mon Apr 03, 2017 12:12 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
- Replies: 275
- Views: 144340
Re: April 2017 - Warm & Quiet WX Week Ahead
I like what he says later too... " There are no explicit records forecast, but we are uncomfortably close at both Bush and Hobby, and a warmer than forecast day might be enough to do it. Yes, I am forecasting high temps warmer than the day before the cold front. Yes, I am still calling it a col...
- Mon Feb 20, 2017 11:19 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2017- Spring Like Weather Returns
- Replies: 206
- Views: 119724
Re: February 2017- Warm With Storms Possible Late Sunday/Mon
I see a new storm causing trouble for the Pacific Northwest. Will this be our next storm system?