I think Wxman57 put it the best by saying the GFS is like pulling the handle on a slot machine. Last evening, the GFS has Louisiana getting in on the winter weather and in less than 24 hours, we now look to stay warm again. It's impossible to tell with these major swings in the runs.

vci_guy2003 wrote:What does the Euro say?

I don't believe it goes out that far yet.

What did the 18Z GFS show?

Anybody see the temperature anomalies from the 12z GFS today by the end of the run? A 1056 mb high dropping into central Montana with departures running 25+ degrees below normal. Seems to be lots of hints in the long range in each model run of a big shift to drastically colder temps nation wide. De...

What kind of temps is it projecting?

Thank you for the response.

I follow this forum (especially in winter) because what ya'll get there, we get the next day here in SE Louisiana. Case in point is last week's snow. Does the GFS still have precip for the Gulf Coast for the Christmas front?

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:

harp wrote:Got quiet in here. Did the GFS back off on the cold, etc.?

No, still there on 18z

Thanks. Precip as well?

Got quiet in here. Did the GFS back off on the cold, etc.?

Thank you for your response!!!

Yesterday, srain mentioned something about long term ensembles indicating another cold blast coming in the 12 day range, maybe? Any updates on that? Thanks very much.

srainhoutx wrote:Media in Bryan/College Station reports flurries now.

Do you know what surface temps are in that region?

tireman4 wrote:This is just for fun purposes only and it is the NAM, but Srain was alluding to this factor in his morning forecast...

Looks encouraging for us here in SE Louisiana....

From JB:

Euro has it snowing all the way to the gulf coast late next week.
Interesting

As all of us who live along the Gulf Coast know, the timing is EVERYTHING with these arctic systems. Usually, the moisture is gone once the cold air arrives. But, every once in a while, either a ULL or gulf surface low develops that throws moisture up over the cold air giving us some winter fun. Wil...

djjordan wrote:That is good to hear about our upcoming pattern change. Looking forward to it feeling like the holiday season!!!

Yes! Looking forward to it here in SE Louisiana as well!

Interesting.... ^^^^^

No posts in three days? Is this mic on??