i am watching this one with its small size it can form quickley

i dont think the models were initialized in the right spot

in my opinion i think this system bears watching

may want to keep a close eye on this one....starting to build more convection

what time do the 0z models start???could be interesting

Dr. Neil said he is concerned about how slow the storm is moving and that it's moving more to the north than the west, indicating weak steering currents. Also,the track is widening and that means an uncertainty of the track. He also said it won't take much to shift the storm to the north. Those are...

where can i see Gene Norman's forecast?

i am not completely sold on the south texas landfall just yet i think the speed right now and the incoming front and the general direction of alex is giving the models a hard time. thats just my opinion.

in my opinion the slower this storm moves the more of a chance the upper texas coast and possibly sw louisiana will be in its path

TWC starting to hint at a more northern track for alex

when is the next model run coming out?

just eyeballing

latest visible satellite looks like alex is moving NNW

alex is starting his NW movement so i am almost convinced to go and fill the car up tomorrow....what do you think??

srainhoutx wrote:Latest

thank you very much

could someone please post a satellite view?

i think alex is starting to feel the weakness and possibly may start taking a more northerly track

what time do the 12z runs come out?

23.6N 93.7W
25.0N 94.1W
thats a pretty big jump to the north

the canadian, nam, gfs, and gfdl moved north.