Search found 224 matches

by brooksgarner
Sat Jun 16, 2018 10:20 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 138147

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

So I'm confused I just washed Blake Matthews live on Facebook and he was saying that blob down there wasnt impressive he assured us of that....now we have Brookes saying things could get interesting.. so what do we believe? I’m not making a forecast assurtion in these posts — only suggesting trends...
by brooksgarner
Sat Jun 16, 2018 7:44 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 138147

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

I agree that the satellite presentation this morning is impressive and honestly a little bit eyebrow raising… I suspect if this convection persists through 2 PM Eastern time ( assuming it’s not purely nocturnal convection ), we will see at least a 40% hatch area in the NHC update. Of course, doing t...
by brooksgarner
Fri Jun 15, 2018 11:04 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 138147

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

How many inches? Got your attention. If consensus models (averaged separate models) like ICON (see tropicaltidbits.com) are even remotely accurate, the rainfall timing will change by 24hrs delay (M-T instead of S-M) plus totals would go up significantly. Will be interesting to track training potenti...
by brooksgarner
Fri Jun 15, 2018 3:09 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 138147

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Hey y'all, just checkin' in. All possibilities on the table. 12z GFS closes off weak low near Brownsville. Even a tiny close-off of pressures could focus rain bands, near wherever that center approaches shore. Low level jet comes into play, and more... So many options still on the table... this is o...
by brooksgarner
Tue Apr 03, 2018 6:18 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- April To End Cooler/Drier Than Normal
Replies: 257
Views: 49638

Re: April 2018- Severe Storms Possible on Tuesday

Severe storm warning issued for quarter sized hail.
by brooksgarner
Tue Apr 03, 2018 6:14 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- April To End Cooler/Drier Than Normal
Replies: 257
Views: 49638

Re: April 2018- Severe Storms Possible on Tuesday

TEGNA WX Earth Design.png How about that gravity wave set traversing Texas from north to south?? Interesting to see on GOES 16 WV in its interaction with the shortwave coming out of Mexico at this time! (That shortwave I think may be a little punchier than models had indicated for much of the day. ...
by brooksgarner
Tue Apr 03, 2018 3:02 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- April To End Cooler/Drier Than Normal
Replies: 257
Views: 49638

Re: April 2018- Severe Storms Possible on Tuesday

What's up, guys. Watching this shortwave being ejected into Texas from Mexico, where there's very little upper level data for the models to process. It may provide, "unexpected" energy and dynamics for the late evening storms. Not sure if models are advertising this as much as it may become.... As o...
by brooksgarner
Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: FEBRUARY 2018 - Roller Coaster WX To End February
Replies: 388
Views: 93574

Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Warming Trend/Weekend Cold Front

Not planting that garden, yet! :D
by brooksgarner
Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:32 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference
Replies: 36
Views: 26751

Re: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference

I am pleased to announce that our KHOU Weather Forum will be well represented again this year in S Padre Island April 3rd through 7th at the 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference. I also want to personally thank KHOU and particularly Christine DiStadio for allowing me to attend representing our...
by brooksgarner
Tue Feb 13, 2018 1:29 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Poor forecasting day after frontal passage
Replies: 6
Views: 3578

Re: Poor forecasting day after frontal passage

Many times, as was mentioned, the daytime high comes at midnight or 12:01am, then it falls all day so by afternoon it's 30 degrees colder than the recorded, "daytime high" graphic shows. Arctic air masses are also -- as has been mentioned -- notoriously under forecast by the models due to their shal...